Electricity decarbonisation pathways for 2050 in Portugal: A TIMES (The Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System) based approach in closed versus open systems modelling

The goal of this research is to analyse the cost-effective opportunities in continental Portugal to achieve full decarbonisation of the electricity generation sector by 2050. Since interconnection with neighbouring Spain may be one of the key drivers to achieve a cost-effective low carbon pathway, combined with new generating technologies, we evaluate its importance by modelling the Portuguese system either as an isolated or as part of an integrated Iberian system.

[1]  V. Martins,et al.  Assessment of legacy generation contracts' costs in the future Portuguese electricity system , 2012, 2012 9th International Conference on the European Energy Market.

[2]  J. Seixas,et al.  Projections of energy services demand for residential buildings: Insights from a bottom-up methodology , 2012 .

[3]  Carlos Henggeler Antunes,et al.  A multi-objective multi-sectoral economyenergyenvironment model: Application to Portugal , 2011 .

[4]  Richard Loulou,et al.  Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programme , 2005 .

[5]  Otto Rentz,et al.  Model-based analysis of effects from large-scale wind power production , 2007 .

[6]  F. Urban,et al.  Modelling energy systems for developing countries , 2007 .

[7]  Subhes C. Bhattacharyya,et al.  A review of energy system models , 2010 .

[8]  Aie.  World Energy Outlook 2011 , 2001 .

[9]  M. Haller,et al.  Fluctuating renewables in a long-term climate change mitigation strategy , 2011 .

[10]  N. V. Beeck.  Classification of Energy Models , 1999 .

[11]  M. Haller,et al.  Bridging the scales: A conceptual model for coordinated expansion of renewable power generation, transmission and storage , 2012 .

[12]  Maryse Labriet,et al.  ETSAP-TIAM: the TIMES integrated assessment model Part I: Model structure , 2008, Comput. Manag. Sci..

[13]  Henrik Lund,et al.  Large-scale integration of wind power into different energy systems , 2005 .

[14]  R. Chedid,et al.  An assessment of the potential benefits from integrated electricity capacity planning in the northern Middle East region , 2006 .

[15]  Ross Baldick,et al.  A strategic review of electricity systems models , 2010 .

[16]  Toshihiko Nakata,et al.  Energy-economic models and the environment , 2004 .

[17]  Carlos Silva,et al.  High-resolution modeling framework for planning electricity systems with high penetration of renewables , 2013 .

[18]  Victor Martins,et al.  How much room for a competitive electricity generation market in Portugal , 2013 .

[19]  Mehdi Nikkhah,et al.  Generation Expansion Planning Considering Renewable Energies , 2013 .

[20]  Rahul Pandey.  Energy policy modelling: agenda for developing countries , 2002 .

[21]  P. Ferrao,et al.  Modeling hourly electricity dynamics for policy making in long-term scenarios , 2011 .

[22]  Poul Alberg Østergaard,et al.  Comparing electricity, heat and biogas storages’ impacts on renewable energy integration , 2012 .

[23]  M. Haller,et al.  Decarbonization scenarios for the EU and MENA power system: Considering spatial distribution and short term dynamics of renewable generation , 2012 .

[24]  A. Botterud,et al.  Multi-agent simulation of generation capacity expansion decisions , 2008, 2008 5th International Conference on the European Electricity Market.

[25]  Arif S. Malik,et al.  Power Generation Expansion Planning Including Large Scale Wind Integration: A Case Study of Oman , 2013 .

[26]  P. A. Østergaard.  Geographic aggregation and wind power output variance in Denmark , 2008 .

[27]  Dimitris Askounis,et al.  Strategic appraisal of energy models for Mozambique , 2003 .

[28]  Aie,et al.  Energy Technology Perspectives 2012 , 2006 .

[29]  Brian Vad Mathiesen,et al.  From electricity smart grids to smart energy systems – A market operation based approach and understanding , 2012 .

[30]  J. Wiseman,et al.  Post carbon pathways: A meta-analysis of 18 large-scale post carbon economy transition strategies , 2013 .

[31]  Brian Ó Gallachóir,et al.  Soft-linking of a power systems model to an energy systems model , 2012 .

[32]  João Peças Lopes,et al.  Characterisation of electrical energy storage technologies , 2013 .

[33]  Goran Krajačić,et al.  How to achieve a 100% RES electricity supply for Portugal? , 2011 .

[34]  Naveed Ahmed,et al.  Optimization Model using WASP-IV for Pakistan's Power Plants Generation Expansion Plan , 2012 .

[35]  Hana Gerbelová,et al.  The effect of retrofitting Portuguese fossil fuel power plants with CCS , 2013 .

[36]  Matteo Bonifacio,et al.  Building a low carbon society , 2011 .

[37]  Brian Vad Mathiesen,et al.  A review of computer tools for analysing the integration of renewable energy into various energy systems , 2010 .