Between ignorance and truth: Partition dependence and learning in judgment under uncertainty.
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] F. Attneave. Psychological probability as a function of experienced frequency. , 1953, Journal of experimental psychology.
[2] D. Erlick,et al. ABSOLUTE JUDGMENTS OF DISCRETE QUANTITIES RANDOMLY DISTRIBUTED OVER TIME. , 1964, Journal of experimental psychology.
[3] W. T. Singleton,et al. Man-machine systems , 1974 .
[4] A. Tversky,et al. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , 1974, Science.
[5] Lynn Hasher,et al. Automatic encoding of category size information. , 1980 .
[6] B. Fischhoff,et al. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory , 1980 .
[7] N. Anderson. Foundations of information integration theory , 1981 .
[8] L Hasher,et al. Automatic processing of fundamental information: the case of frequency of occurrence. , 1984, The American psychologist.
[9] J. G. Hollands,et al. Engineering Psychology and Human Performance , 1984 .
[10] L. Barsalou,et al. The roles of automatic and strategic processing in sensitivity to superordinate and property frequency , 1986 .
[11] A Parducci,et al. The category effect with rating scales: number of categories, number of stimuli, and method of presentation. , 1986, Journal of experimental psychology. Human perception and performance.
[12] J. Jonides,et al. On the automaticity of frequency coding: effects of competing task load, encoding strategy, and intention , 1986 .
[13] R. Hastie,et al. The relationship between memory and judgment depends on whether the judgment task is memory-based or on-line , 1986 .
[14] G. Northcraft,et al. Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring-and-adjustment perspective on property pricing decisions , 1987 .
[15] A. Tversky,et al. Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment , 1983 .
[16] William F. Wright,et al. Effects of situation familiarity and financial incentives on use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic for probability assessment , 1989 .
[17] M. Peterson,et al. Frequency judgements: the problem of defining a perceptual event. , 1989, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.
[18] J. S. Freund,et al. Judgments of Category Size: Now You Have Them, Now You Don't , 1989 .
[19] M H Birnbaum,et al. Judgments of proportions. , 1990, Journal of experimental psychology. Human perception and performance.
[20] Scot Burton,et al. TASK CONDITIONS, RESPONSE FORMULATION PROCESSES, AND RESPONSE ACCURACY FOR BEHAVIORAL FREQUENCY QUESTIONS IN SURVEYS , 1991 .
[21] G. Gigerenzer. How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases” , 1991 .
[22] C. Wickens. Engineering psychology and human performance, 2nd ed. , 1992 .
[23] N. Sanders,et al. Journal of behavioral decision making: "The need for contextual and technical knowledge in judgmental forecasting", 5 (1992) 39-52 , 1992 .
[24] K. Fiedler,et al. Two halfs may be more than one whole : category-split effects on frequency illusions , 1994 .
[25] A. Tversky,et al. Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. , 1994 .
[26] G. Gigerenzer. On Narrow Norms and Vague Heuristics: A Reply to Kahneman and Tversky (1996) , 1996 .
[27] Derek J. Koehler,et al. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes a Strength Model of Probability Judgments for Tournaments Plished by Estimating Two Strength Values for Each , 2022 .
[28] D Kahneman,et al. On the reality of cognitive illusions. , 1996, Psychological review.
[29] A. Tversky,et al. Heuristics and Biases: Unpacking, Repacking, and Anchoring: Advances in Support Theory , 2002 .
[30] F. Conrad,et al. Strategies for estimating behavioural frequency in survey interviews. , 1998, Memory.
[31] Gary L. Brase,et al. Individuation , Counting , and Statistical Inference : The Role of Frequency and Whole-Object Representations in Judgment Under Uncertainty , 1998 .
[32] A. Tversky,et al. A Belief-Based Account of Decision Under Uncertainty , 1998 .
[33] Maria Sonino Legrenzi,et al. Naive probability: a mental model theory of extensional reasoning. , 1999, Psychological review.
[34] C. Fox. Strength of Evidence, Judged Probability, and Choice Under Uncertainty , 1999, Cognitive Psychology.
[35] C. Gettys,et al. MINERVA-DM: A memory processes model for judgments of likelihood. , 1999 .
[36] D. Koehler,et al. Probability judgment in three-category classification learning. , 2000, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.
[37] Brian P. Dyre,et al. Bias in proportion judgments: the cyclical power model. , 2000, Psychological review.
[38] N. Epley,et al. Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic: Differential Processing of Self-Generated and Experimenter-Provided Anchors , 2001, Psychological science.
[39] M. Young,et al. Likelihood judgment based on previously observed outcomes: the alternative-outcomes effect in a learning paradigm , 2002, Memory & cognition.
[40] D. Kahneman,et al. Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment , 2002 .
[41] Craig R. Fox,et al. Partition Priming in Judgment Under Uncertainty , 2003, Psychological science.
[42] M. Dougherty,et al. Probability judgment and subadditivity: The role of working memory capacity and constraining retrieval , 2003, Memory & cognition.
[43] F. Conrad,et al. Estimating the frequency of events from unnatural categories , 2003, Memory & cognition.
[44] Jonathan Levav,et al. Partition-edit-count: naive extensional reasoning in judgment of conditional probability. , 2004, Journal of experimental psychology. General.
[45] N. Epley,et al. When effortful thinking influences judgmental anchoring: differential effects of forewarning and incentives on self‐generated and externally provided anchors , 2005 .
[46] Robert T. Clemen,et al. Subjective Probability Assessment in Decision Analysis: Partition Dependence and Bias Toward the Ignorance Prior , 2005, Manag. Sci..
[47] F. Strack,et al. Playing Dice With Criminal Sentences: The Influence of Irrelevant Anchors on Experts’ Judicial Decision Making , 2006, Personality & social psychology bulletin.
[48] Michael R. Dougherty,et al. Differences between probability and frequency judgments: The role of individual differences in working memory capacity☆ , 2006 .
[49] George R. S. Weir,et al. ON MAN-MACHINE SYSTEMS , 2007 .
[50] Robert T. Clemen,et al. Interior Additivity and Subjective Probability Assessment of Continuous Variables , 2008, Manag. Sci..