Maintenance policy selection considering resilience engineering by a new interval-valued fuzzy decision model under uncertain conditions

Different maintenance policies, including preventive maintenance and predictive maintenance, are introduced to enhance the execution of systems. Maintenance professional experts have faced numerous challenges with distinguishing the proper maintenance policy, among which causes of failure, accessibility, and the capability of maintenance should be regarded seriously. Moreover, most organizations do not have a deliberate and compelling model for evaluating maintenance policies under uncertainty to deal with real-world conditions. The aim of this paper is to introduce a new interval-valued fuzzy (IVF) decision model for the selection of maintenance policy based on order inclination with comparability to ideal solutions by Monte Carlo simulation. This paper introduces novel separation measures and a new IVF-distinguish index via possibilistic statistical concepts (PSCs) which can assist maintenance decision makers to rank maintenance policy candidates. Also, resilience engineering (RE) factors are considered along with conventional evaluation criteria. Finally, the steps of the proposed IVF model-based PSCs are applied to survey a real case in manufacturing industry. Results of the presented model are compared with the recent literature and could help maintenance personnel in identifying the best policy systematically.

[1]  G. Anand,et al.  Justification of world‐class maintenance systems using analytic hierarchy constant sum method , 2009 .

[2]  S. Meysam Mousavi,et al.  A new interval-valued hesitant fuzzy pairwise comparison–compromise solution methodology: an application to cross-docking location planning , 2019, Neural Computing and Applications.

[3]  Ying-Ming Wang,et al.  Fuzzy TOPSIS method based on alpha level sets with an application to bridge risk assessment , 2006, Expert Syst. Appl..

[4]  D. N. Prabhakar Murthy,et al.  Optimal decision making in a maintenance service operation , 1999, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[5]  Michael R. Lovell,et al.  Material and process selection in product design using decision-making technique (AHP) , 2012 .

[6]  R. M. Chandima Ratnayake,et al.  Implementing company policies in plant level asset operations: measuring organisational alignment , 2010 .

[7]  Marcello Braglia,et al.  The analytic hierarchy process applied to maintenance strategy selection , 2000, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[8]  A. Zarei,et al.  Using fuzzy Delphi method in maintenance strategy selection problem , 2008 .

[9]  Maurizio Bevilacqua,et al.  A combined goal programming - AHP approach to maintenance selection problem , 2006, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[10]  Sinan Gürel,et al.  Machining conditions-based preventive maintenance , 2007 .

[11]  Ting-Yu Chen,et al.  Comparative analysis of SAW and TOPSIS based on interval-valued fuzzy sets: Discussions on score functions and weight constraints , 2012, Expert Syst. Appl..

[12]  Didier Dubois,et al.  Theorem Proving Under Uncertainty - A Possibility Theory-based Approach , 1987, IJCAI.

[13]  Farhad Azadivar,et al.  Maintenance policy selection for JIT production systems , 1999 .

[14]  B. Bidanda,et al.  Optimal decision of an economic production quantity model for imperfect manufacturing under hybrid maintenance policy with shortages and partial backlogging , 2018, Int. J. Prod. Res..

[15]  Hoda A. ElMaraghy,et al.  A Periodicity Metric for Assessing Maintenance Strategies , 2010 .

[16]  R. Goetschel,et al.  Elementary fuzzy calculus , 1986 .

[17]  Gerald M. Knapp,et al.  Determining the most important criteria in maintenance decision making , 1997 .

[18]  S. Meysam Mousavi,et al.  Soft computing based on a selection index method with risk preferences under uncertainty: applications to construction industry , 2018 .

[19]  Barry L. Nelson,et al.  A ranking and selection project: experiences from a university-industry collaboration , 1999, WSC '99.

[20]  S. Kar,et al.  Robust decision making using intuitionistic fuzzy numbers , 2017, GRC 2017.

[21]  Antoine Grall,et al.  Continuous-time predictive-maintenance scheduling for a deteriorating system , 2002, IEEE Trans. Reliab..

[22]  Masoud Rahiminezhad Galankashi,et al.  An integrated fuzzy-AHP and TOPSIS approach for maintenance policy selection , 2019 .

[23]  Azlan Shah Ali,et al.  Prediction Cost Maintenance Model of office building based on Condition-Based Maintenance , 2014 .

[24]  Anton Satria Prabuwono,et al.  Maintenance Decision Support System in Small and Medium Industries: An Approach to New Optimization Model , 2008 .

[25]  Kishor S. Trivedi,et al.  Closed-form analytical results for condition-based maintenance , 2002, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[26]  H. Gitinavard,et al.  SOLVING CONSTRUCTION PROJECT SELECTION PROBLEM BY A NEW UNCERTAIN WEIGHTING AND RANKING BASED ON COMPROMISE SOLUTION WITH LINEAR ASSIGNMENT APPROACH , 2019, JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT.

[27]  Shuo-Yan Chou,et al.  Maintenance strategy selection for improving cost-effectiveness of offshore wind systems , 2018 .

[28]  Farhad Azadivar,et al.  Simulation optimization methodologies , 1999, WSC '99.

[29]  Sofia Panagiotidou,et al.  Evaluation of maintenance policies for equipment subject to quality shifts and failures , 2008 .

[30]  J. Shahrabi,et al.  A Combined Approach for Maintenance Strategy Selection , 2008 .

[31]  S. Kar,et al.  Unified Granular-number-based AHP-VIKOR multi-criteria decision framework , 2017, GRC 2017.

[32]  Samarjit Kar,et al.  Group decision making in medical system: An intuitionistic fuzzy soft set approach , 2014, Appl. Soft Comput..

[33]  Noureddine Zerhouni,et al.  Proactive, dynamic and multi-criteria scheduling of maintenance activities , 2008 .

[34]  Samarjit Kar,et al.  Hypertension diagnosis: A comparative study using fuzzy expert system and neuro fuzzy system , 2013, 2013 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ-IEEE).

[35]  Jaime H. Ortega,et al.  Optimal replacement and overhaul decisions with imperfect maintenance and warranty contracts , 2006, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[36]  Shahrul Kamaruddin,et al.  Maintenance policy optimization—literature review and directions , 2015 .

[37]  Ali Nazeri,et al.  A new fuzzy approach to identify the critical risk factors in maintenance management , 2017 .

[38]  David Sherwin,et al.  A review of overall models for maintenance management , 2000 .

[39]  Ming Jian Zuo,et al.  Modelling and optimizing sequential imperfect preventive maintenance , 2009, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[40]  Basim Al-Najjar Condition-Based Maintenance: Selection and Improvement of a Cost-Effective Vibration-Based Maintenance Policy for Rolling element Bearings , 1997 .

[41]  Nidhal Rezg,et al.  Subcontracting integration in a joint maintenance/production policy: study on profitability conditions , 2011 .

[42]  N. S. Arunraj,et al.  Risk-based maintenance policy selection using AHP and goal programming. , 2010 .

[43]  Ahmad Makui,et al.  A new flexible and reliable interval valued fuzzy VIKOR method based on uncertainty risk reduction in decision making process: An application for determining a suitable location for digging some pits for municipal wet waste landfill , 2014, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[44]  Basim Al-Najjar,et al.  Selecting the most efficient maintenance approach using fuzzy multiple criteria decision making , 2003 .

[45]  Ali Azadeh,et al.  An integrated fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy multiple-criteria decision-making simulation approach for maintenance policy selection , 2016, Simul..

[46]  Fei Ye,et al.  Partner Selection in a Virtual Enterprise: A Group Multiattribute Decision Model with Weighted Possibilistic Mean Values , 2013 .

[47]  Reza Tavakkoli-Moghaddam,et al.  New definition of the cross entropy based on the Dempster-Shafer theory and its application in a decision-making process , 2019, Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods.

[48]  Felix T.S. Chan,et al.  Maintenance policy selection in manufacturing firms using the fuzzy MCDM approach , 2012 .

[49]  S. Alborzi,et al.  An analysis of project risks using the non-parametric bootstrap technique , 2008, 2008 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management.

[50]  Basim Al-Najjar,et al.  An Application of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Sensitivity Analysis for Maintenance Policy Selection , 2014 .

[51]  R. Tavakkoli-Moghaddam,et al.  Dispatching Rule Evaluation in Flexible Manufacturing Systems by a New Fuzzy Decision Model with Possibilistic-Statistical Uncertainties , 2017 .

[52]  S. Meysam Mousavi,et al.  Resilient Supplier Selection Through Introducing a New Interval-Valued Intuitionistic Fuzzy Evaluation and Decision-Making Framework , 2019, Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering.

[53]  Ashraf Labib,et al.  An effective maintenance system using the analytic hierarchy process , 1998 .

[54]  Prasanta Kumar Dey,et al.  Decision support system for inspection and maintenance: a case study of oil pipelines , 2004, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management.

[55]  Ashraf Labib,et al.  Fuzzy adaptive preventive maintenance in a manufacturing control system: a step towards self-maintenance , 2006 .

[56]  Samarjit Kar,et al.  Strategic Decisions Using Intuitionistic Fuzzy Vikor Method for Information System (IS) Outsourcing , 2013, 2013 International Symposium on Computational and Business Intelligence.

[57]  R. Tavakkoli-Moghaddam,et al.  Sustainable-supplier selection for manufacturing services: a failure mode and effects analysis model based on interval-valued fuzzy group decision-making , 2018 .

[58]  Rongjun Li,et al.  Gradually tolerant constraint method for fuzzy portfolio based on possibility theory , 2014, Inf. Sci..

[59]  S. R. Devadasan,et al.  From TPM to analytic maintenance quality function deployment: a literature journey via QFD and AHP , 2011 .

[60]  M. Ilangkumaran,et al.  Multi‐criteria decision‐making approach to evaluate optimum maintenance strategy in textile industry , 2008 .

[61]  Ahmad Makui,et al.  Extension of fuzzy TOPSIS method based on interval-valued fuzzy sets , 2009, Appl. Soft Comput..

[62]  Anish Sachdeva,et al.  A methodology to determine maintenance criticality using AHP , 2008 .

[63]  Sandip Roy,et al.  A decision-making framework for process plant maintenance , 2010 .

[64]  Ashraf Labib,et al.  A decision analysis model for maintenance policy selection using a CMMS , 2004 .

[65]  Zheng Wang,et al.  USING FUZZY LINGUISTICS TO SELECT OPTIMUM MAINTENANCE AND CONDITION MONITORING STRATEGIES , 2001 .

[66]  Wei-Guo Zhang,et al.  Possibilistic mean-variance models and efficient frontiers for portfolio selection problem , 2007, Inf. Sci..

[67]  Ehsan Pourjavad,et al.  Selecting maintenance strategy in mining industry by analytic network process and TOPSIS , 2013 .

[68]  Minqiang Xu,et al.  ELECTRE III Based on Ranking Fuzzy Numbers for Deterministic and Fuzzy Maintenance Strategy Decision Problems , 2007, 2007 IEEE International Conference on Automation and Logistics.

[69]  Kaveh Khalili-Damghani,et al.  Selecting the most appropriate maintenance strategies using fuzzy Analytic Network Process: A case study of Saipa vehicle industry , 2014 .

[70]  Eric Châtelet,et al.  Optimization of maintenance policy using the proportional hazard model , 2009, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[71]  S. Luce,et al.  Choice criteria in conditional preventive maintenance , 1999 .

[72]  Shahrul Kamaruddin,et al.  Development of a model for optimal maintenance policy selection , 2014 .

[73]  John Crocker,et al.  Age-related maintenance versus reliability centred maintenance: a case study on aero-engines , 2000, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..