The Existence of Rational Expectations Equilibrium: A Retrospective: Essays in Economic Analysis, A Tribute to Roy Radn

This paper provides a selective review of theoretical research on the consistency of rational expectations equilibrium and its properties in microeconomic models. The general equilibrium framework is emphasized throughout the paper. After defining rational expectations equilibrium for a pure exchange economy, the paper presents a simple counterexample to illustrate that rational expectations equilibria need not exist. Results are summarized for the generic existence of fully revealing rational expectations equilibria in smooth economies satisfying additional dimensionality assumptions. Then the rational expectations equilibrium existence problem is related to earlier analysis of informationally decentralized allocation mechanisms. Next the efficiency properties of rational expectations equilibrium allocations are examined. Finally, the possibilities for partially revealing rational expectations equilibria are discussed.

[1]  R. Aumann Correlated Equilibrium as an Expression of Bayesian Rationality Author ( s ) , 1987 .

[2]  Sanford J. Grossman On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets , 1980 .

[3]  S. Reiter,et al.  The informational size of message spaces , 1974 .

[4]  Jerry R. Green The Non-existence of Informational Equilibria , 1977 .

[5]  Martin Hellwig,et al.  On the aggregation of information in competitive markets , 1980 .

[6]  B. Allen The existence of rational expectations equilibria in a large economy with noisy price observations , 1985 .

[7]  Beth E Allen,et al.  Generic Existence of Completely Revealing Equilibria for Economies with Uncertainty when Prices Convey Information , 1981 .

[8]  J. Jordan On the Efficient Markets Hypothesis , 1983 .

[9]  Jean-Jacques Laffont,et al.  On the Welfare Analysis of Rational Expectations Equilibria with Asymmetric Information , 1985 .

[10]  J. Jordan Expectations equilibrium and informational efficiency for stochastic environments , 1977 .

[11]  B. Allen Strict rational expectations equilibria with diffuseness , 1982 .

[12]  J. Jordan,et al.  The generic existence of rational expectations equilibrium in the higher dimensional case , 1982 .

[13]  Sanford J. Grossman Further results on the informational efficiency of competitive stock markets , 1978 .

[14]  B. Allen The existence of fully rational expectations approximate equilibria with noisy price observations , 1985 .

[15]  Hugo Sonnenschein,et al.  On the existence of rational expectations equilibrium , 1982 .

[16]  A. Beja,et al.  The Limited Information Efficiency of Market Processes , 1976 .

[17]  F. Modigliani,et al.  The Predictability of Social Events , 1954, Journal of Political Economy.

[18]  Jerry R. Green Value of Information with Sequential Futures Markets , 1981 .

[19]  Sanford J. Grossman,et al.  Information and Competitive Price Systems , 1976 .

[20]  Sanford J. Grossman An Introduction to the Theory of Rational Expectations Under Asymmetric Information , 1981 .

[21]  J. Jordan,et al.  A dynamic model of expectations equilibrium , 1982 .

[22]  Carl A. Futia,et al.  RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS IN STATIONARY LINEAR MODELS , 1981 .

[23]  Lawrence M. Ausubel Partially-Revealing Rational Expectations Equi-librium in a Competitive Economy , 1990 .

[24]  J. Jordan Admissible market data structures: A complete characterization , 1982 .

[25]  J. Geanakoplos,et al.  Revelation of Information in Strategic Market Games: A Critique of Rational Expectations , 1982 .