The New Issues Puzzle

Companies issuing stock during 1970 to 1990, whether an initial public offering or a seasoned equity offering, have been poor long-run investments for investors. During the five years after the issue, investors have received average returns of only 5 percent per year for companies going public and only 7 percent per year for companies conducting a seasoned equity offer. Book-to-market effects account for only a modest portion of the low returns. An investor would have had to invest 44 percent more money in the issuers than in nonissuers of the same size to have the same wealth five years after the offering date. Copyright 1995 by American Finance Association.

[1]  R. Banz,et al.  The relationship between return and market value of common stocks , 1981 .

[2]  R. Hansen,et al.  Corporate Earnings and Financings: An Empirical Analysis , 1990 .

[3]  Bharat A. Jain,et al.  The Post-Issue Operating Performance of IPO Firms , 1994 .

[4]  Ronald W. Masulis,et al.  Seasoned Equity Offerings: An Empirical Investigation , 1986 .

[5]  Josef Lakonishok,et al.  Fundamentals and Stock Returns in Japan , 1991 .

[6]  K. Hanley,et al.  Price stabilization in the market for new issues , 1993 .

[7]  Marc R. Reinganum Market microstructure and asset pricing: An empirical investigation of NYSE and NASDAQ securities , 1990 .

[8]  P. Marsh Equity Rights Issues and the Efficiency of the UK Stock Market , 1979 .

[9]  George J. Stigler,et al.  Public Regulation of the Securities Markets , 1964 .

[10]  Tim Loughran,et al.  The Operating Performance of Firms Conducting Seasoned Equity Offerings , 1997 .

[11]  Roger G. Ibbotson,et al.  INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS , 1988 .

[12]  Tim Loughran,et al.  Initial public offerings: International insights , 1994 .

[13]  James L. Davis The Cross-Section of Realized Stock Returns: The Pre- Compustat Evidence , 1994 .

[14]  J. Ritter The Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings , 1991 .

[15]  A. Kalay,et al.  Firm value and seasoned equity issues: Price pressure, wealth redistribution, or negative information , 1987 .

[16]  E. Fama,et al.  Differences in the Risks and Returns of NYSE and NASD Stocks , 1993 .

[17]  W. Mikkelson,et al.  Valuation effects of security offerings and the issuance process , 1986 .

[18]  Ronald J. Lanstein,et al.  Persuasive evidence of market inefficiency , 1985 .

[19]  E. Fama,et al.  Risk, Return, and Equilibrium , 1971, Journal of Political Economy.

[20]  D. Spiess,et al.  Underperformance in long-run stock returns following seasoned equity offerings , 1995 .

[21]  Ronald W. Masulis,et al.  Seasoned Equity Offerings: A Survey , 1995 .

[22]  E. Fama,et al.  The Cross‐Section of Expected Stock Returns , 1992 .

[23]  John W. Peavy,et al.  Optimal Exercise of the Over-Allotment Option in IPOs , 1992 .

[24]  Claudio Loderer,et al.  The pricing of equity offerings , 1991 .

[25]  E. Fama,et al.  Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.

[26]  M. Levis The long-run performance of initial public offerings: The UK experience 1980-1988 , 1993 .

[27]  J. Lerner,et al.  VENTURE CAPITALISTS AND THE DECISION TO GO PUBLIC , 1994 .

[28]  Josef Lakonishok,et al.  Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk , 1993 .

[29]  P. Asquith,et al.  Equity issues and offering dilution , 1986 .

[30]  K. Hanley,et al.  The underpricing of initial public offerings and the partial adjustment phenomenon , 1993 .

[31]  R. Thaler,et al.  Further Evidence On Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality , 1987 .

[32]  Theo Vermaelen,et al.  Market Underreaction to Open Market Share Repurchases , 1994 .

[33]  Ivo Welch,et al.  An empirical investigation of IPO returns and subsequent equity offerings , 1993 .

[34]  Hyuk Choe,et al.  Common Stock Offerings Across the Business Cycle: Theory and Evidence , 1993 .

[35]  Timothy A. Manuel,et al.  Common Stock Price Effects of Security Issues Conditioned by Current Earnings and Dividend Announcements , 1993 .

[36]  Deborah J. Lucas,et al.  Equity Issues and Stock Price Dynamics , 1989 .

[37]  Tim Loughran,et al.  NYSE vs NASDAQ returns: Market microstructure or the poor performance of initial public offerings? , 1993 .