Identification of appropriate lags and temporal resolutions for low flow indicators in the River Rhine to forecast low flows with different lead times

The aim of this paper is to assess the relative importance of low flow indicators for the River Rhine and to identify their appropriate temporal lag and resolution. This is done in the context of low flow forecasting with lead times of 14 and 90 days. First, the Rhine basin is subdivided into seven sub‐basins. By considering the dominant processes in the sub‐basins, five low flow indicators were selected: precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, groundwater storage, snow storage and lake storage. Correlation analysis was then carried out to determine the relationship between observed low flows and preselected indicators with varying lags (days) and temporal resolutions (from 1 day to 7 months).

[1]  S. Steinschneider,et al.  Influences of North Atlantic climate variability on low-flows in the Connecticut River Basin , 2011 .

[2]  Simon Parry,et al.  Examining the large‐scale spatial coherence of European drought using regional indicators of precipitation and streamflow deficit , 2011 .

[3]  H. Cloke,et al.  Large‐scale hydrology: advances in understanding processes, dynamics and models from beyond river basin to global scale , 2011 .

[4]  Lukas Gudmundsson,et al.  Spatial cross‐correlation patterns of European low, mean and high flows , 2011 .

[5]  M. L. Kavvas,et al.  Scale Invariance and Self-Similarity in Hydrologic Processes in Space and Time , 2011 .

[6]  Maarten S. Krol,et al.  Identification and classification of uncertainties in the application of environmental models , 2010, Environ. Model. Softw..

[7]  M. de Wit,et al.  Extreme value statistics for annual minimum and trough-under-threshold precipitation at different spatio-temporal scales , 2010 .

[8]  P. Whitfield,et al.  Groundwater level responses in temperate mountainous terrain: regime classification, and linkages to climate and streamflow , 2010 .

[9]  Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts,et al.  Simulating low‐probability peak discharges for the Rhine basin using resampled climate modeling data , 2010 .

[10]  A. Rinaldo,et al.  Impact of stochastic fluctuations in storage‐discharge relations on streamflow distributions , 2010 .

[11]  Remko Uijlenhoet,et al.  Changes in Streamflow Dynamics in the Rhine Basin under Three High-Resolution Regional Climate Scenarios , 2010 .

[12]  E. Sprokkereef,et al.  Verification of ensemble flow forecasts for the River Rhine , 2009 .

[13]  L. Tallaksen,et al.  Space–time modelling of catchment scale drought characteristics , 2009 .

[14]  Gordon E. Grant,et al.  Groundwater dynamics mediate low‐flow response to global warming in snow‐dominated alpine regions , 2009 .

[15]  M. Matthies,et al.  Geo-referenced modeling of zinc concentrations in the Ruhr river basin (Germany) using the model GREAT-ER. , 2009, The Science of the total environment.

[16]  Paolo Reggiani,et al.  Uncertainty assessment via Bayesian revision of ensemble streamflow predictions in the operational river Rhine forecasting system , 2009 .

[17]  T. Ouarda,et al.  Temporal evolution of low‐flow regimes in Canadian rivers , 2008 .

[18]  Carolien Kroeze,et al.  A framework to identify appropriate spatial and temporal scales for modeling N flows from watersheds , 2008 .

[19]  Martin J. Baptist,et al.  Seasonal forecast of cooling water problems in the River Rhine , 2008 .

[20]  Donald H. Burn,et al.  The Processes, Patterns and Impacts of Low Flows Across Canada , 2008 .

[21]  Taha B. M. J. Ouarda,et al.  Statistical Models and the Estimation of Low Flows , 2008 .

[22]  Taha B. M. J. Ouarda,et al.  Introduction to the Special Issue on Low-Flow Prediction in Ungauged Basins (PUB) in Canada , 2008 .

[23]  J. Aerts,et al.  Water balance versus land surface model in the simulation of Rhine river discharges , 2008 .

[24]  Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts,et al.  Comparing model performance of two rainfall-runoff models in the Rhine basin using different atmospheric forcing data sets , 2007 .

[25]  M. Zappa,et al.  © Author(s) 2007. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Extreme heat and runoff extremes in the Swiss Alps , 2022 .

[26]  P.M.M. Warmerdam,et al.  Impact of climate change on low-flows in the river Meuse , 2007 .

[27]  C. Appenzeller,et al.  Swiss alpine snow pack variability: Major patterns and links to local climate and large-scale flow , 2006 .

[28]  J. Kirchner Getting the right answers for the right reasons: Linking measurements, analyses, and models to advance the science of hydrology , 2006 .

[29]  Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano,et al.  Hydrological response to different time scales of climatological drought: an evaluation of the Standardized Precipitation Index in a mountainous Mediterranean basin , 2005 .

[30]  Valentina Krysanova,et al.  Integrating groundwater dynamics in regional hydrological modelling , 2004, Environ. Model. Softw..

[31]  S. Yue,et al.  Scaling of Canadian low flows , 2004 .

[32]  Michael L. Anderson,et al.  Modeling Low Flows on the Cosumnes River , 2004 .

[33]  L. Tallaksen,et al.  Hydrological drought : processes and estimation methods for streamflow and groundwater , 2004 .

[34]  Massimiliano Zappa,et al.  The hydrological role of snow and glaciers in alpine river basins and their distributed modeling , 2003 .

[35]  M. J. Booij,et al.  Determination and integration of appropriate spatial scales for river basin modelling , 2003 .

[36]  H. G. Rees,et al.  Spatio-temporal development of streamflow droughts in north- west Europe , 2002 .

[37]  Martijn J. Booij,et al.  Modelling the effects of spatial and temporal resolution of rainfall and basin model on extreme river discharge , 2002 .

[38]  R. Wilby,et al.  Prospects for seasonal forecasting of summer drought and low river flow anomalies in England and Wales , 2002 .

[39]  Martijn J. Booij,et al.  Extreme daily precipitation in Western Europe with climate change at appropriate spatial scales , 2002 .

[40]  V. Smakhtin Low flow hydrology: a review , 2001 .

[41]  Koos Wieriks,et al.  Transboundary cooperation in shared river basins: experiences from the Rhine, Meuse and North Sea , 2000 .

[42]  V. Klemeš Conceptualization and scale in hydrology , 1983 .

[43]  C. D. Harris The Ruhr Coal-Mining District , 1946 .