On Real-time Detecting Passenger Flow Anomalies

In large and medium-sized cities, detecting unusual changes of crowds of people on the streets is needed for public security, transportation management, emergency control, and terrorism prevention. As public transportation has the capability to bring a large number of people to an area in a short amount of time, real-time discovery of anomalies in passenger numbers is an effective way to detect crowd anomalies. In this paper, we devise an approach called Kochab. Kochab adopts a generative model and combines the prior knowledge about passenger flows. Hence, it can detect anomalies in the numbers of incoming and outgoing passengers within a certain time and spatial area, including anomalous events along with their durations and severities. Through well-designed inference algorithms, Kochab requires only a moderate amount of historical data to be sample data. As such, Kochab shows good performance in real time and makes prompt responses to user' s interactive analysis requests. In particular, based on the recognized anomalous events, we capture event patterns which give us hints to link to activities or status in cities. In addition, for the convenience of method evaluation and comparison, we create an open Stream Anomaly Benchmark on the basis of large-scale real-world data. This benchmark will prove useful for other researchers too. Using this benchmark, we compare Kochab with four other methods. The experimental results show that Kochab is sensitive to population flow anomalies and has superior accuracy in detecting anomalies in terms of precision, recall and the F1 score.