Speeding in urban environments: Are the time savings worth the risk?

Perceived time savings by travelling faster is often cited as a motivation for drivers' speeding behaviour. These time savings, however, come at a cost of significant road injuries and fatalities. While it is known that drivers tend to overestimate the time savings attributable to speeding there is little empirical evidence on how much time drivers genuinely save during day-to-day urban driving and how this relates to speeding-related crashes. The current paper reports on a study to address the lack of empirical evidence on this issue using naturalistic driving data collected from 106 drivers over a period of five weeks. The results show that the average driver saves 26s/day or 2min/week by speeding. More importantly, the cost of these time savings is one fatality for every 24,450h saved by the population on 100km/h roads in dry conditions and one injury for every 2458h saved on the same roads. Full speed compliance - and consequently a dramatic reduction in the road toll - could be achieved through almost imperceptible increases in travel time by each driver.

[1]  Rune Elvik,et al.  A re-parameterisation of the Power Model of the relationship between the speed of traffic and the number of accidents and accident victims. , 2013, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[2]  A Baruya,et al.  THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SPEED AND ACCIDENTS OF RURAL SINGLE-CARRIAGEWAY ROADS , 2002 .

[3]  A. Kooijman,et al.  Using route and survey information to generate cognitive maps: differences between normally sighted and visually impaired individuals , 2009 .

[4]  Seiji S.C. Steimetz,et al.  Defensive driving and the external costs of accidents and travel delays , 2008 .

[5]  Stephen Greaves,et al.  Development of a Global Positioning System Web-Based Prompted Recall Solution for Longitudinal Travel Surveys , 2010 .

[6]  W. Greene,et al.  Embedding risk attitude and decision weights in non-linear logit to accommodate time variability in the value of expected travel time savings , 2011 .

[7]  Margaret M. Peden,et al.  World Report on Road Traffic Injury Prevention , 2004 .

[8]  Rune Elvik,et al.  A restatement of the case for speed limits , 2010 .

[9]  Eyal Peer,et al.  The time-saving bias, speed choices and driving behavior , 2011 .

[10]  Stephen Greaves,et al.  Development of a GPS/web-based prompted-recall solution for longitudinal travel surveys , 2010 .

[11]  Eyal Gamliel,et al.  Estimating time savings: the use of the proportion and percentage heuristics and the role of need for cognition. , 2012, Acta psychologica.

[12]  John M. Rose,et al.  Estimating the willingness-to-pay and value of risk reduction for car occupants in the road environment , 2009 .

[13]  Ola Svenson,et al.  Driving speed changes and subjective estimates of time savings, accident risks and braking , 2009 .

[14]  S Stradling,et al.  Impact of speed change on estimated journey time: failure of drivers to appreciate relevance of initial speed. , 2009, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[15]  Eyal Peer,et al.  Speeding and the time-saving bias: how drivers' estimations of time saved in higher speed affects their choice of speed. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[16]  Elihu D Richter,et al.  Speed, road injury, and public health. , 2006, Annual review of public health.

[17]  A Baruya,et al.  THE EFFECTS OF DRIVERS' SPEED ON THE FREQUENCY OF ROAD ACCIDENTS , 2000 .

[18]  Adrian B Ellison,et al.  Evaluating changes in driver behaviour: a risk profiling approach. , 2015, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[19]  David A. Hensher,et al.  Development of Commuter and Non-Commuter Mode Choice Models for the Assessment of New Public Transport Infrastructure Projects: A Case Study , 2007 .

[20]  Ola Svenson,et al.  Effects of speed limit variation on judged mean speed of a trip. , 2010, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[21]  Stephen Greaves,et al.  An empirical assessment of the feasibility of battery electric vehicles for day-to-day driving , 2014 .

[22]  David M Levinson,et al.  Weighting Waiting: Evaluating Perception of In-Vehicle Travel Time Under Moving and Stopped Conditions , 2004 .

[23]  F P McKenna,et al.  SPEED REHABILITATION - SHOULD WE DELIVER POINTS OR EDUCATION? , 2003 .

[24]  Andrew P Tarko,et al.  Modeling drivers' speed selection as a trade-off behavior. , 2009, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[25]  Henriette Wallén Warner,et al.  Factors Influencing Drivers' Speeding Behaviour , 2006 .

[26]  Ola Svenson,et al.  Decisions among time saving options: when intuition is strong and wrong. , 2008, Acta psychologica.

[27]  David A. Hensher,et al.  Integrating Accident and Travel Delay Externalities in an Urban Speed Reduction Context , 2006 .

[28]  Patricia Delhomme,et al.  Are drivers' comparative risk judgments about speeding realistic? , 2009, Journal of safety research.

[29]  D. Redelmeier,et al.  Time Lost by Driving Fast in the United States , 2010, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[30]  Chinh Q. Ho,et al.  Tour-based mode choice of joint household travel patterns on weekend and weekday , 2013 .

[31]  Stephen Greaves,et al.  Capturing speeding behaviour in school zones using GPS technology , 2013 .

[32]  Eyal Peer,et al.  Professionally biased: Misestimations of driving speed, journey time and time-savings among taxi and car drivers , 2012, Judgment and Decision Making.