Impact of changes in diet on the availability of land, energy demand, and greenhouse gas emissions of agriculture

BackgroundRecent scientific investigations have revealed a correlation between nutrition habits and the environmental impacts of agriculture. So, it is obviously worthwhile to study what effects a change in diet has on land use patterns, energy demand, and greenhouse gas emissions of agricultural production. This study calculates the amount of energy and emission savings as well as changes in land use that would result from different scenarios underlying a change in diet.MethodsBased on the healthy eating recommendations of the German Nutrition Society, meat consumption in Austria should decrease by about 60%, and consumption of fruits and vegetables has to increase strongly.ResultsThis investigation showed that compliance with healthy eating guidelines leads to lower energy demand and a decrease in greenhouse gas emissions, largely due to a decrease in livestock numbers. Furthermore, arable land and grassland no longer needed for animal feed production becomes redundant and can possibly be used for the production of raw materials for renewable energy. The scenario examination shows that in the self-sufficiency scenario and in the import/export scenario, up to 443,100 ha and about 208,800 ha, respectively, of arable land and grassland are released for non-food uses. The cumulative energy demand of agriculture is lower by up to 38%, and the greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture decrease by up to 37% in these scenarios as against the reference situation.ConclusionThe land use patterns for the scenario demonstrate that animal feed production still takes up the largest share of agricultural land even though the extent of animal husbandry decreased considerably in the scenarios.

[1]  H. S. Matthews,et al.  Food-miles and the relative climate impacts of food choices in the United States. , 2008, Environmental science & technology.

[2]  P. Martin,et al.  Diet, Energy, and Global Warming , 2006 .

[3]  Bas Eickhout,et al.  Climate benefits of changing diet , 2009 .

[4]  Uwe Geier,et al.  Life cycle assessment framework in agriculture on the farm level , 2000 .

[5]  Bruce A. Babcock Breaking the Link between Food and Biofuels , 2008 .

[6]  M. Keyzer,et al.  Diet shifts towards meat and the effects on cereal use: can we feed the animals in 2030? , 2005 .

[7]  Sanderine Nonhebel,et al.  Variations in land requirements for meat production , 2007 .

[8]  Takeo Shiina,et al.  A review of life cycle assessment (LCA) on some food products. , 2009 .

[9]  Pragnya Eranki,et al.  Biofuels done right: land efficient animal feeds enable large environmental and energy benefits. , 2010, Environmental science & technology.

[10]  G. Pan,et al.  Policy and technological constraints to implementation of greenhouse gas mitigation options in agriculture , 2007 .

[11]  M. Jones,et al.  Analysis of the use of energy in agriculture--Approaches and problems , 1989 .

[12]  T. Garnett Livestock-related greenhouse gas emissions: impacts and options for policy makers , 2009 .

[13]  L. Reijnders,et al.  Quantification of the environmental impact of different dietary protein choices. , 2003, The American journal of clinical nutrition.

[14]  J. Powles,et al.  Food, livestock production, energy, climate change, and health , 2007, The Lancet.

[15]  Jørgen E. Olesen,et al.  Modelling greenhouse gas emissions from European conventional and organic dairy farms , 2006 .

[16]  K. Hülsbergen,et al.  A method of energy balancing in crop production and its application in a long-term fertilizer trial , 2001 .

[17]  M. Pimentel,et al.  Sustainability of meat-based and plant-based diets and the environment. , 2003, The American journal of clinical nutrition.

[18]  Sanderine Nonhebel,et al.  Energy from agricultural residues and consequences for land requirements for food production , 2007 .

[19]  N. Brandt,et al.  Does the Swedish consumer's choice of food influence greenhouse gas emissions? , 2004 .

[20]  J. Lammel,et al.  Environmental impact assessment of agricultural production systems using the life cycle assessment methodology: I. Theoretical concept of a LCA method tailored to crop production , 2004 .

[21]  H. Lotze-Campen,et al.  Food consumption, diet shifts and associated non-CO2 greenhouse gases from agricultural production , 2010 .

[22]  Alvin L. Young,et al.  Finding the balance between food and biofuels , 2009, Environmental science and pollution research international.

[23]  H. Steinfeld,et al.  Livestock's long shadow: environmental issues and options. , 2006 .

[24]  G. Richter,et al.  Meeting the challenge of food and energy security. , 2011, Journal of experimental botany.

[25]  P. Gerbens-Leenes,et al.  Consumption patterns and their effects on land required for food , 2002 .

[26]  George Bluhm,et al.  Assessment of alternative soil management practices on N2O emissions from US agriculture , 1998 .

[27]  R. Schaeffer,et al.  Land use competition for production of food and liquid biofuels: An analysis of the arguments in the current debate , 2010 .

[28]  Walter Klöpffer,et al.  In defense of the cumulative energy demand , 1997 .

[29]  Henri Moll,et al.  Greenhouse gas emissions related to Dutch food consumption , 1999 .

[30]  J. W. Owens,et al.  Life‐Cycle Assessment in Relation to Risk Assessment: An Evolving Perspective , 1997 .

[31]  Sylvain Payraudeau,et al.  Environmental impact assessment for a farming region: a review of methods , 2005 .

[32]  A. Carlsson-kanyama Climate change and dietary choices -- how can emissions of greenhouse gases from food consumption be reduced? , 1998 .

[33]  M. Zessner,et al.  Ernährung und Flächennutzung in Österreich , 2011 .