The Determinants of Attitudes towards Strategic Default on Mortgages

We use survey data to measure households’ propensity to default on mortgages even if they can afford to pay them (strategic default) when the value of the mortgage exceeds the value of the house. The willingness to default increases in both the absolute and the relative size of the home-equity shortfall. Our evidence suggests that this willingness is affected by both pecuniary and non-pecuniary factors, such as views about fairness and morality. We also find that exposure to other people who strategically defaulted increases the propensity to default strategically because it conveys information about the probability of being sued.

[1]  David B. Gross,et al.  An Empirical Analysis of Personal Bankruptcy and Delinquency , 1999 .

[2]  Kerry D. Vandell Handing Over the Keys: A Perspective on Mortgage Default Research , 1993 .

[3]  Catherine C. Eckel,et al.  Are Women Less Selfish Than Men?: Evidence From Dictator Experiments , 1998 .

[4]  A. Fuster,et al.  The Sensitivity of Housing Demand to Financing Conditions: Evidence from a Survey , 2015, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy.

[5]  Kristopher Gerardi,et al.  Subprime Outcomes: Risky Mortgages, Homeownership Experiences, and Foreclosures , 2007 .

[6]  Public goods and ethnic diversity: evidence from deforestation in Indonesia , 2014 .

[7]  A. Poroshina Credit Risk Modeling of Residential Mortgage Lending in Russia , 2014 .

[8]  Dimitris Georgarakos,et al.  Household Repayment Behavior: The Role of Social Capital and Institutional, Political, and Religious Beliefs , 2012 .

[9]  Fiona Stewart,et al.  Internet Communication and Qualitative Research: A Handbook for Researching Online , 2000 .

[10]  Positive Externalities of Social Insurance: Unemployment Insurance and Consumer Credit , 2014 .

[11]  A. Falk,et al.  Individual Risk Attitudes: Measurement, Determinants and Behavioral Consequences , 2009 .

[12]  Vikrant Vig,et al.  Securitization and Distressed Loan Renegotiation: Evidence from the Subprime Mortgage Crisis , 2010 .

[13]  Wenli Li,et al.  Recourse and Residential Mortgages: The Case of Nevada , 2014 .

[14]  Fiona Stewart,et al.  Internet Communication and Qualitative Research , 2000 .

[15]  David Genesove,et al.  Loss Aversion and Seller Behaviour: Evidence from the Housing Market , 2001 .

[16]  Marianna Kudlyak,et al.  Recourse and residential mortgage default: theory and evidence from U.S. states , 2010 .

[17]  Risk Aversion and Financial Crisis , 2014 .

[18]  C. Mayer,et al.  Mortgage Modification and Strategic Behavior: Evidence from a Legal Settlement with Countrywide , 2011 .

[19]  Christopher L. Foote,et al.  Negative Equity and Foreclosure: Theory and Evidence , 2008 .

[20]  Ilya A. Strebulaev,et al.  Investment Busts, Reputation, and the Temptation to Blend in with the Crowd , 2012 .

[21]  John M. Quigley,et al.  Explicit tests of contingent claims models of mortgage default , 1993 .

[22]  Klaus M. Schmidt,et al.  A Theory of Fairness, Competition, and Cooperation , 1999 .

[23]  John M. Quigley,et al.  Mortgage Terminations, Heterogeneity and the Exercise of Mortgage Options , 1999 .

[24]  Ke Yin,et al.  Negative Equity Trumps Unemployment in Predicting Defaults , 2010, The Journal of Fixed Income.

[25]  Kaushik Mitra,et al.  The Effects of Individual Difference Factors on the Acceptability of Ethical and Unethical Workplace Behaviors , 1998 .

[26]  David B. Gross,et al.  An Empirical Analysis of Personal Bankruptcy and Delinquency , 2002 .

[27]  Vinicius Carrasco,et al.  Coordinated Strategic Defaults and Financial Fragility in a Costly State Veri fication Model , 2014 .

[28]  Scott Fay,et al.  The Household Bankruptcy Decision , 2002 .

[29]  J. Fowler,et al.  Egalitarian Motive and Altruistic Punishment , 2005 .

[30]  Patrick Bajari,et al.  An Empirical Model of Subprime Mortgage Default from 2000 to 2007 , 2008 .

[31]  M. White,et al.  Why Don't More Households File for Bankruptcy? , 1998 .

[32]  Campbell R. Harvey,et al.  The Theory and Practice of Corporate Finance: Evidence from the Field , 1999 .

[33]  A. Eagly,et al.  Gender and helping behavior: A meta-analytic review of the social psychological literature. , 1986, Psychological bulletin.

[34]  Uwe Sunde,et al.  Individual Risk Attitudes: New Evidence from a Large, Representative, Experimentally-Validated Survey , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[35]  Brent T. White Underwater and Not Walking Away: Shame, Fear and the Social Management of the Housing Crisis , 2010 .

[36]  Gabriel Ehrlich,et al.  Modeling the Budgetary Costs of FHA's Single Family Mortgage Insurance , 2014 .

[37]  Mortgage Terminations, Heterogeneity and the Exercise of Mortgage Options , 1999 .

[38]  Parag A. Pathak,et al.  Forced Sales and House Prices , 2009 .

[39]  F. Mccann Modelling default transitions in the UK mortgage market , 2014 .

[40]  Michael J. Seiler,et al.  The Paradox of Judicial Foreclosure: Collateral Value Uncertainty and Mortgage Rates , 2013 .