On the Longitudinal Effects of IT Use on Firm-Level Employment

The effect of information technology (IT) on employment is a crucial question in today’s economy given the increased digitization of work. To analyze the relationship between IT use and firm-level employment, we examine the longitudinal role of IT use in the firm’s total number of employees. Our data set comes from the emerging economy of Turkey, and it represents firms of different sizes and industries. The data capture the firm’s use of enterprise applications, such as enterprise resource planning and customer relationship management, and the use of Web applications, such as e-banking and e-government. Our empirical specifications exploit both within-firm and between-firm variations to show the positive effect of IT use on firm-level employment, which varies across IT applications over time. Interestingly, we find that the effects of the use of enterprise applications materialize after two years, whereas the effects of the use of Web applications are realized in the current year. We also examine whether the role of IT use in firm-level employment are moderated by firm size, average wage rate, and industry technology intensity. The long-term effects of the use of enterprise applications on firm-level employment are more pronounced in larger firms, with higher average wages, and in high-technology industries. The results are robust to alternative specifications and tests that address causality and endogeneity concerns. Implications for research, practice, and public policy are discussed.

[1]  Dyson,et al.  The Digital Reorganization of Firm Boundaries: IT Use and Vertical Integration in U.S. Manufacturing , 2017 .

[2]  J. Barney,et al.  Impact of Information Technology Capital on Firm Scope and Performance: The Role of Asset Characteristics , 2013 .

[3]  Hilal Atasoy The Effects of Broadband Internet Expansion on Labor Market Outcomes , 2013 .

[4]  Chris M. Forman,et al.  The Digital Erosion of Firm Boundaries: Complementarities between IT Use and Production Chain Organization in US Manufacturing * , 2013 .

[5]  Shane Greenstein,et al.  The Internet and Local Wages: A Puzzle † , 2012 .

[6]  Prasanna Tambe,et al.  The Productivity of Information Technology Investments: New Evidence from IT Labor Data , 2011, Inf. Syst. Res..

[7]  David Autor,et al.  The Growth of Low Skill Service Jobs and the Polarization of the U.S. Labor Market , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[8]  Param Vir Singh,et al.  A Hidden Markov Model of Developer Learning Dynamics in Open Source Software Projects , 2011, Inf. Syst. Res..

[9]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Does Information Technology Lead to Smaller Firms , 2011 .

[10]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Race Against the Machine , 2011 .

[11]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Race against the machine : how the digital revolution is accelerating innovation, driving productivity, and irreversibly transforming employment and the economy , 2011 .

[12]  Ritu Agarwal,et al.  Technological Frames, Organizational Capabilities, and IT Use: An Empirical Investigation of Electronic Procurement , 2010, Inf. Syst. Res..

[13]  Jed Kolko,et al.  Does Broadband Boost Local Economic Development , 2010 .

[14]  Neeraj Mittal,et al.  Research Note - Investments in Information Technology: Indirect Effects and Information Technology Intensity , 2009, Inf. Syst. Res..

[15]  Alessandra Mattei,et al.  A Stata Package for the Estimation of the Dose-response Function through Adjustment for the Generalized Propensity Score , 2008 .

[16]  R. Litan,et al.  The effects of broadband deployment on output and employment: a cross-sectional analysis of U.S. data , 2008 .

[17]  Shane Greenstein,et al.  Progress and Co-invention in Computing and in the Uses of Computers , 2008 .

[18]  Hilmar Schneider,et al.  Evaluating Continuous Training Programs Using the Generalized Propensity Score , 2007 .

[19]  Ryad Titah,et al.  Information System Use - Related Activity: An Expanded Behavioral Conceptualization of Individual-Level Information System Use , 2007, Inf. Syst. Res..

[20]  Qing Hu,et al.  Assimilation of Enterprise Systems: The Effect of Institutional Pressures and the Mediating Role of Top Management , 2007, MIS Q..

[21]  D. J. Wu,et al.  Which Came First, it or Productivity? Virtuous Cycle of Investment and Use in Enterprise Systems , 2006, ICIS.

[22]  Paul A. Pavlou,et al.  From IT Leveraging Competence to Competitive Advantage in Turbulent Environments: The Case of New Product Development , 2006, Inf. Syst. Res..

[23]  B. R. Nault,et al.  Investments in Information Technology: Indirect Effects and Information Technology Intensity , 2006 .

[24]  A. McAfee Mastering the three worlds of information technology , 2006 .

[25]  Keying Ye,et al.  Applied Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference From Incomplete-Data Perspectives , 2005, Technometrics.

[26]  G. Imbens,et al.  The Propensity Score with Continuous Treatments , 2005 .

[27]  Andrew Gelman,et al.  Applied Bayesian Modeling And Causal Inference From Incomplete-Data Perspectives , 2005 .

[28]  Andrew B. Whinston,et al.  An Empirical Investigation of Net-Enabled Business Value , 2004, MIS Q..

[29]  Kosuke Imai,et al.  Causal Inference With General Treatment Regimes , 2004 .

[30]  Kevin Zhu,et al.  The Complementarity of Information Technology Infrastructure and E-Commerce Capability: A Resource-Based Assessment of Their Business Value , 2004, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[31]  E. Brynjolfsson,et al.  Computing Productivity: Firm-Level Evidence , 2003, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[32]  Kenneth L. Kraemer,et al.  Information technology and economic performance , 2003, ACM Comput. Surv..

[33]  Rajiv Kohli,et al.  Performance Impacts of Information Technology: Is Actual Usage the Missing Link? , 2003, Manag. Sci..

[34]  Vallabh Sambamurthy,et al.  Shaping UP for E-Commerce: Institutional Enablers of the Organizational Assimliation of Web Technologies , 2002, MIS Q..

[35]  Erik Brynjolfsson,et al.  Intangible Assets: Computers and Organizational Capital , 2002 .

[36]  A. Barua Assessing Internet Enabled Business Value : An Exploratory Investigation ♣ , 2001 .

[37]  D. Acemoglu Technical Change, Inequality, and the Labor Market , 2000 .

[38]  Rajiv Kohli,et al.  Information Technology Payoff in the Health-Care Industry: A Longitudinal Study , 2000, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[39]  Walter Y. Oi,et al.  Workers Are More Productive in Large Firms , 1999 .

[40]  V. Sambamurthy,et al.  Information Technology Assimilation in Firms: The Influence of Senior Leadership and IT Infrastructures , 1999, Inf. Syst. Res..

[41]  Lorin M. Hitt,et al.  Information Technology and Firm Boundaries: Evidence from Panel Data , 1999, Inf. Syst. Res..

[42]  D. Acemoglu Why Do New Technologies Complement Skills? Directed Technical Change and Wage Inequality , 1998 .

[43]  Per Krusell,et al.  Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Research Department Staa Report # 236 Capital-skill Complementarity and Inequality: a Macroeconomic Analysis , 2022 .

[44]  Todd R. Zenger,et al.  The disaggregation of corporations: Selective intervention, high powered incentives and molecular units , 1997 .

[45]  Lawrence F. Katz,et al.  Computing Inequality: Have Computers Changed the Labor Market? , 1997 .

[46]  K. Peffers,et al.  Performance effects of innovative IT applications over time , 1996 .

[47]  E. Brynjolfsson,et al.  Paradox Lost? Firm-Level Evidence on the Returns to Information Systems Spending , 1996 .

[48]  T. Bresnahan,et al.  Technical Progress and Co-Invention in Computing and in the Use of Computers , 1996 .

[49]  F. Lichtenberg The Output Contributions of Computer Equipment and Personnel: A Firm- Level Analysis , 1993 .

[50]  Z. Griliches,et al.  Changes in the Demand for Skilled Labor within U.S. Manufacturing Industries: Evidence from the Annual Survey of Manufacturing , 1993 .

[51]  Peter Weill,et al.  The Relationship Between Investment in Information Technology and Firm Performance: A Study of the Valve Manufacturing Sector , 1992, Inf. Syst. Res..

[52]  S. Harris,et al.  Organizational Performance and Information Technology Investment Intensity in the Insurance Industry , 1991 .

[53]  David B. Audretsch,et al.  Innovation in Large and Small Firms: An Empirical Analysis , 1988 .

[54]  Thomas W. Malone,et al.  Modeling Coordination in Organizations and Markets , 1987 .

[55]  Bronwyn H Hall,et al.  The Relationship between Firm Size and Firm Growth in the U.S. Manufacturing Sector , 1986 .

[56]  P. Osterman The Impact of Computers on the Employment of Clerks and Managers , 1986 .

[57]  D. Rubin,et al.  The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects , 1983 .

[58]  C. Granger Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods , 1969 .