What's in a mental model of a dynamic system? Conceptual structure and model comparison

This paper deals with the representation of mental models of dynamic systems (MMDS). Improving ’mental models’ has always been fundamental in the field of system dynamics. Even though a specific definition exists, no conceptual model of the structure of a MMDS has been offered so far. Previous research about the learning effects of system dynamics interventions have used two methods to represent and analyze mental models. To what extend is the result of these methods comparable? Can they be used to account for a MMDS which is suitable for the system dynamics methodology? Two exemplary MMDSs are compared with both methods. We have found that the procedures and results differ significantly . In addition, neither of the methods can account for the concept of feedback loops. Based on this finding, we propose a conceptual model for the structure of a MMDS, a method to compare them, and a revised definition of MMDS. The paper concludes with a call for more substantive research.

[1]  Lívia Markíczy,et al.  A Method for Eliciting and Comparing Causal Maps , 1995 .

[2]  Andrew Wirth,et al.  Measuring Differences Between Cognitive Maps , 1992 .

[3]  Jay W. Forrester,et al.  System dynamics—the next fifty years , 2007 .

[4]  David N. Ford,et al.  Mental models concepts for system dynamics research , 1998 .

[5]  David N. Ford,et al.  Expert knowledge elicitation to improve formal and mental models , 1998 .

[6]  Michael J. Radzicki,et al.  Measuring Change in Mental Models of Dynamic Systems: An Exploratory Study , 1998 .

[7]  J. Ritchie-Dunham Balanced scorecards, mental models, and organizational performance: a simulation experiment , 2002 .

[8]  J. Forrester Principles of systems : text and workbook, chapters 1 through 10 , 1968 .

[9]  John N. Warfield,et al.  SOCIETAL SYSTEMS Planning, Policy and Complexity , 1978 .

[10]  João Ferreira Dias,et al.  A system dynamics‐based simulation experiment for testing mental model and performance effects of using the balanced scorecard , 2009 .

[11]  John D. Sterman,et al.  Thinking about systems: student and teacher conceptions of natural and social systems , 2007 .

[12]  Jay W. Forrester,et al.  “The” model versus a modeling “process” , 1985 .

[13]  Martin Schaffernicht Detecting and monitoring change in models , 2006 .

[14]  Frank H. Maier,et al.  What are we talking about?—A taxonomy of computer simulations to support learning , 2000 .

[15]  A. Wirth,et al.  Analyzing shared and team mental models , 2001 .

[16]  J. Forrester Industrial Dynamics , 1997 .

[17]  Roger W. Schvaneveldt,et al.  Pathfinder associative networks: studies in knowledge organization , 1990 .

[18]  John Morecroft,et al.  Strategig Modelling and Business Dynamics , 2007 .

[19]  Janice Langan-Fox,et al.  Team Mental Models: Techniques, Methods, and Analytic Approaches , 2000, Hum. Factors.

[20]  David N. Ford,et al.  Mental models concepts revisited: some clarifications and a reply to Lane , 1999 .

[21]  James K. Doyle The cognitive psychology of systems thinking , 1997 .

[22]  David C. Lane,et al.  Friendly amendment: A commentary on Doyle and Ford's proposed re-definition of 'mental model' , 1999 .

[23]  John D. W. Morecroft,et al.  Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics: A Feedback Systems Approach , 2007 .