Testing conditional moment restrictions

Let (x, z) be a pair of observable random vectors. We construct a new smoothed empirical likelihood-based test for the hypothesis E{g(z, θ)|x} = 0 w.p.1, where g is a vector of known functions and θ an unknown finite-dimensional parameter. We show that the test statistic is asymptotically normal under the null hypothesis and derive its asymptotic distribution under a sequence of local alternatives. Furthermore, the test is shown to possess an optimality property in large samples. Simulation evidence suggests that it also behaves well in small samples.

[1]  Joseph P. Romano,et al.  Bootstrap‐assisted Goodness‐of‐fit Tests in the Frequency Domain , 1999 .

[2]  Stepen Rhys Cosslett,et al.  Efficient estimation of discrete-choice models from choice-based samples , 1978 .

[3]  J. Powell,et al.  Censored regression quantiles , 1986 .

[4]  Hira L. Koul,et al.  Nonparametric model checks for time series , 1999 .

[5]  S. Cosslett,et al.  Maximum likelihood estimator for choice-based samples , 1981 .

[6]  J. Powell,et al.  Least absolute deviations estimation for the censored regression model , 1984 .

[7]  Jonathan D. Cryer,et al.  Time Series Analysis , 1986 .

[8]  Peter F. de Jong,et al.  A central limit theorem for generalized quadratic forms , 1987 .

[9]  Yuichi Kitamura,et al.  Empirical likelihood methods with weakly dependent processes , 1997 .

[10]  Thanasis Stengos,et al.  Semiparametric Specification Testing of Non-nested Econometric Models , 1994 .

[11]  Herman J. Bierens,et al.  Integrated Conditional Moment testing of quantile regression models , 2001 .

[12]  C. J. Stone,et al.  Consistent Nonparametric Regression , 1977 .

[13]  J. F. Lawless,et al.  Estimating equations, empirical likelihood and constraints on parameters† , 1995 .

[14]  R. Tibshirani,et al.  Generalized Additive Models , 1991 .

[15]  P. Robinson,et al.  Hypothesis Testing in Semiparametric and Nonparametric Models for Econometric Time Series , 1989 .

[16]  Clifford H. Spiegelman,et al.  Testing the Goodness of Fit of a Linear Model via Nonparametric Regression Techniques , 1990 .

[17]  D. Andrews,et al.  Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Only Under the Alternative , 1992 .

[18]  Jeffrey M. Wooldridge,et al.  A Test for Functional Form Against Nonparametric Alternatives , 1992, Econometric Theory.

[19]  J. Zheng,et al.  A CONSISTENT NONPARAMETRIC TEST OF PARAMETRIC REGRESSION MODELS UNDER CONDITIONAL QUANTILE RESTRICTIONS , 1998, Econometric Theory.

[20]  Taisuke Otsu Asymptotic Optimality of Empirical Likelihood for Selecting Moment Restrictions , 2005 .

[21]  D. B. Preston Spectral Analysis and Time Series , 1983 .

[22]  Joel L. Horowitz,et al.  An Adaptive, Rate-Optimal Test of a Parametric Model Against a Nonparametric Alternative , 1999 .

[23]  Winfried Stute,et al.  Bootstrap Approximations in Model Checks for Regression , 1998 .

[24]  Joel L. Horowitz,et al.  An Adaptive, Rate-Optimal Test of a Parametric Mean-Regression Model Against a Nonparametric Alternative , 2001 .

[25]  Lixing Zhu,et al.  Model checks for regression: an innovation process approach , 1998 .

[26]  W. Stute,et al.  Model checks under random censorship , 1997 .

[27]  Thomas M. Stoker,et al.  Semiparametric Estimation of Index Coefficients , 1989 .

[28]  D. Andrews,et al.  Testing for Serial Correlation against an ARMA(1,1) Process , 1996 .

[29]  J. Lawless,et al.  Empirical Likelihood and General Estimating Equations , 1994 .

[30]  Adonis Yatchew,et al.  Nonparametric Regression Tests Based on Least Squares , 1992, Econometric Theory.

[31]  C. Butler,et al.  A Test for Symmetry Using the Sample Distribution Function , 1969 .

[32]  Herman J. Bierens,et al.  A consistent conditional moment test of functional form , 1990 .

[33]  Jianqing Fan,et al.  Generalized likelihood ratio statistics and Wilks phenomenon , 2001 .

[34]  A. Wald Tests of statistical hypotheses concerning several parameters when the number of observations is large , 1943 .

[35]  Yongmiao Hong,et al.  Generalized spectral tests for serial dependence , 2000 .

[36]  J. Sargan The Estimation of Relationships with Autocorrelated Residuals by the Use of Instrumental Variables , 1959 .

[37]  Winfried Stute,et al.  Nonparametric model checks for regression , 1997 .

[38]  H. Bierens,et al.  On the Limit Behavior of a Chi-Square Type Test if the Number of Conditional Moments Tested Approaches Infinity , 1994, Econometric Theory.

[39]  Yanqin Fan,et al.  Consistent hypothesis testing in semiparametric and nonparametric models for econometric time series , 1999 .

[40]  A. Owen THE ESTIMATION OF SMOOTH CURVES* , 1984 .

[41]  Pravin K. Trivedi,et al.  Regression Analysis of Count Data , 1998 .

[42]  G. Chamberlain Asymptotic efficiency in estimation with conditional moment restrictions , 1987 .

[43]  Serena Ng,et al.  A Test for Conditional Symmetry in Time Series Models , 1998 .

[44]  Art B. Owen,et al.  Empirical Likelihood for Linear Models , 1991 .

[45]  Suojin Wang,et al.  A simple consistent bootstrap test for a parametric regression function , 1998 .

[46]  Aad van der Vaart Weak Convergence of Smoothed Empirical Processes , 1994 .

[47]  T. W. Anderson Goodness of Fit Tests for Spectral Distributions , 1993 .

[48]  J. Zheng,et al.  A consistent test of functional form via nonparametric estimation techniques , 1996 .

[49]  Gary Chamberlain,et al.  Efficiency Bounds for Semiparametric Regression , 1992 .

[50]  Rate-optimal data-driven specification testing in regression models , 2001 .

[51]  Peter J. Bickel,et al.  Convergence Criteria for Multiparameter Stochastic Processes and Some Applications , 1971 .

[52]  James Stephen Marron,et al.  Semiparametric Comparison of Regression Curves , 1990 .

[53]  Yoon-Jae Whang,et al.  Consistent specification testing for conditional moment restrictions , 2001 .

[54]  Miguel A. Delgado,et al.  A nonparametric test for serial independence of regression errors , 2000 .

[55]  Regina Y. Liu Bootstrap Procedures under some Non-I.I.D. Models , 1988 .

[56]  Herman J. Bierens,et al.  Asymptotic Theory of Integrated Conditional Moment Tests , 1997 .

[57]  Thomas A. Severini,et al.  Diagnostics for Assessing Regression Models , 1991 .

[58]  H. Cramér On the composition of elementary errors: Second paper: Statistical applications , 1928 .

[59]  M. Rosenblatt A Quadratic Measure of Deviation of Two-Dimensional Density Estimates and A Test of Independence , 1975 .

[60]  E. Mammen,et al.  Comparing Nonparametric Versus Parametric Regression Fits , 1993 .

[61]  Wenceslao González Manteiga,et al.  Significance testing in nonparametric regression based on the bootstrap , 2001 .

[62]  Changbao Wu,et al.  Jackknife, Bootstrap and Other Resampling Methods in Regression Analysis , 1986 .

[63]  A. Owen Empirical likelihood ratio confidence intervals for a single functional , 1988 .

[64]  Begoña Álvarez,et al.  Goodness-of-fit techniques for count data models: an application to the demand for dental care in Spain , 2002 .

[65]  Hans J. Skaug,et al.  A nonparametric test of serial independence based on the empirical distribution function , 1993 .

[66]  H. Liero On the maximal deviation of the kernel regression function estimate , 1982 .

[67]  George Tauchen Diagnostic testing and evaluation of maximum likelihood models , 1985 .

[68]  Miguel A. Delgado Testing the equality of nonparametric regression curves , 1992 .

[69]  Nicholas I. Fisher,et al.  Improved pivotal methods for constructing confidence regions with directional data , 1996 .

[70]  Wolfgang Karl Härdle,et al.  An empirical likelihood goodness‐of‐fit test for time series , 2003 .

[71]  W. Newey,et al.  Kernel Estimation of Partial Means and a General Variance Estimator , 1994, Econometric Theory.

[72]  Glenn Ellison,et al.  A Simple Framework for Nonparametric Specification Testing , 1998 .

[73]  Yoon-Jae Whang,et al.  Tests of specification for parametric and semiparametric models , 1993 .

[74]  Hoeffding—Blum—Kiefer—Rosenblatt Process , 2004 .

[75]  Yongmiao Hong,et al.  Consistent Specification Testing via Nonparametric Series Regression , 1995 .

[76]  E. Khmaladze,et al.  An innovation approach to goodness of fit tests in $R m$ , 1988 .

[77]  W. Newey,et al.  Large sample estimation and hypothesis testing , 1986 .

[78]  P. Robinson ROOT-N-CONSISTENT SEMIPARAMETRIC REGRESSION , 1988 .

[79]  M. LeBlanc,et al.  Semiparametric Regression Functionals , 1995 .

[80]  Yuichi Kitamura,et al.  Empirical Likelihood Based Inference in Conditional Moment Restriction Models , 2004 .

[81]  A. Owen Empirical Likelihood Ratio Confidence Regions , 1990 .

[82]  Guido W. Imbens,et al.  One-step estimators for over-identified generalized method of moments models , 1997 .

[83]  Thomas M. Stoker,et al.  Goodness-of-fit tests for kernel regression with an application to option implied volatilities , 2001 .

[84]  Miguel A. Delgado,et al.  Distribution Free Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Linear Processes , 2005, math/0603043.

[85]  Wolfgang Härdle,et al.  Applied Nonparametric Regression , 1991 .

[86]  Yoon-Jae Whang,et al.  Consistent bootstrap tests of parametric regression functions , 2000 .

[87]  E. Mammen Bootstrap and Wild Bootstrap for High Dimensional Linear Models , 1993 .

[88]  Jeffrey D. Hart,et al.  Nonparametric Smoothing and Lack-Of-Fit Tests , 1997 .

[89]  Donald W. K. Andrews,et al.  A Conditional Kolmogorov Test , 1997 .

[90]  J. Wooldridge A Unified Approach to Robust, Regression-Based Specification Tests , 1990, Econometric Theory.

[91]  Qi Li,et al.  Consistent model specification tests for time series econometric models , 1999 .

[92]  Maxwell B. Stinchcombe,et al.  CONSISTENT SPECIFICATION TESTING WITH NUISANCE PARAMETERS PRESENT ONLY UNDER THE ALTERNATIVE , 1998, Econometric Theory.

[93]  L. Devroye,et al.  Distribution-Free Consistency Results in Nonparametric Discrimination and Regression Function Estimation , 1980 .

[94]  Yanqin Fan,et al.  Consistent model specification tests : Omitted variables and semiparametric functional forms , 1996 .

[95]  Wolfgang Karl Härdle,et al.  Asymptotic maximal deviation of M-smoothers , 1989 .

[96]  H. Cramér On the composition of elementary errors , .

[97]  J. Sargan THE ESTIMATION OF ECONOMIC RELATIONSHIPS USING INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES , 1958 .

[98]  Miguel A. Delgado TESTING SERIAL INDEPENDENCE USING THE SAMPLE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION , 1996 .

[99]  Whitney K. Newey,et al.  Maximum Likelihood Specification Testing and Conditional Moment Tests , 1985 .

[100]  E. Khmaladze,et al.  Martingale Approach in the Theory of Goodness-of-Fit Tests , 1982 .

[101]  Estate V. Khmaladze,et al.  Goodness of Fit Problem and Scanning Innovation Martingales , 1993 .

[102]  J. Kiefer,et al.  DISTRIBUTION FREE TESTS OF INDEPENDENCE BASED ON THE SAMPLE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION , 1961 .

[103]  H. D. Brunk,et al.  Discussion: Consistent Nonparametric Regression , 1977 .

[104]  Gordon J Johnston,et al.  Probabilities of maximal deviations for nonparametric regression function estimates , 1982 .

[105]  Testing for Differences Between Conditional Means in a Time Series Context , 2004 .

[106]  James Durbin,et al.  Weak convergence of the sample distribution function when parameters are estimated , 1973 .