Inference to the Best Explanation: A Common and Effective Form of Archaeological Reasoning

Processual and postprocessual archaeologists implicitly employ the same epistemological system to evaluate the worth of different explanations: inference to the best explanation. This is good since inference to the best explanation is the most effective epistemological approach to archaeological reasoning available. Underlying the logic of inference to the best explanation is the assumption that the explanation that accounts for the most evidence is also most likely to be true. This view of explanation often reflects the practice of archaeological reasoning better than either the hypothetico-deductive method or hermeneutics. This article explores the logic of inference to the best explanation and provides clear criteria to determine what makes one explanation better than another. Explanations that are empirically broad, general, modest, conservative, simple, testable, and address many perspectives are better than explanations that are not. This article also introduces a system of understanding explanation that emphasizes the role of contrastive pairings in the construction of specific explanations. This view of explanation allows for a better understanding of when, and when not, to engage in the testing of specific explanations.

[1]  Todd L. VanPool,et al.  The Scientific Nature of Postprocessualism , 1999, American Antiquity.

[2]  Lewis R. Binford,et al.  Archaeology as Anthropology , 1962, American Antiquity.

[3]  M. Schiffer Social Theory In Archaeology , 2000 .

[4]  Todd L. VanPool,et al.  Postprocessualism and the Nature of Science: A Response to Comments by Hutson and Arnold and Wilkens , 2001, American Antiquity.

[5]  A. Kidder An Introduction to the Study of Southwestern Archaeology with a Preliminary Account of the Excavations at Pecos , 2011 .

[6]  T. Adorno,et al.  The Positivist dispute in German sociology , 1976 .

[7]  Charles L. Redman,et al.  Explanation in archaeology : an explicitly scientific approach , 1972 .

[8]  M. Resnik,et al.  Aspects of Scientific Explanation. , 1966 .

[9]  T. C. Chamberlin The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses , 1931, The Journal of Geology.

[10]  B. Brody Readings in the philosophy of science , 1970 .

[11]  Z. Kobyliński,et al.  On Processual Archaeology and the Radical Critique , 1987, Current Anthropology.

[12]  T. C. Chamberlin The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses: With this method the dangers of parental affection for a favorite theory can be circumvented. , 1965, Science.

[13]  M. Conkey,et al.  Engendering Archaeology: Women and Prehistory , 1991 .

[14]  Robert Ascher,et al.  Analogy in Archaeological Interpretation , 1961, Southwestern Journal of Anthropology.

[15]  G. L. Collected Papers , 1912, Nature.

[16]  Scott R. Hutson Synergy through Disunity, Science as Social Practice: Comments on Vanpool and Vanpool , 2001, American Antiquity.

[17]  Lewis R. Binford,et al.  Smudge Pits and Hide Smoking: The Use of Analogy in Archaeological Reasoning , 1967, American Antiquity.

[18]  G. Harman,et al.  Enumerative Induction as Inference to the Best Explanation , 1968 .

[19]  A. Wylie Thinking From Things , 2002 .

[20]  Ross Samson,et al.  The Social archaeology of houses , 1990 .

[21]  Paul Thagard,et al.  The Best Explanation: Criteria for Theory Choice , 1978 .

[22]  I. Hodder Interpreting archaeology : finding meaning in the past , 1998 .

[23]  James N. Hill Broken K Pueblo: Prehistoric Social Organization in the American Southwest , 1971 .

[24]  M. Schiffer,et al.  Behavioral archaeology: toward a new synthesis , 2001 .

[25]  Merrilee H. Salmon Philosophy and archaeology , 1982 .

[26]  J. J. Brody Mimbres Painted Pottery , 1977 .

[27]  A. Flew,et al.  Patterns of Discovery. , 1961 .

[28]  Guy Gibbon,et al.  Explanation In Archaeology , 1989 .

[29]  M. J. O’Brien,et al.  Archaeology as a Process: Processualism and Its Progeny , 2005 .

[30]  Barbara J. Mills,et al.  Gender and the Reorganization of Historic Zuni Craft Production: Implications for Archaeological Interpretation , 1995, Journal of Anthropological Research.

[31]  A. Wylie,et al.  Critical Traditions in Contemporary Archaeology: Essays in the Philosophy, History and Socio-Politics of Archaeology , 1995 .

[32]  Philip J. Arnold III,et al.  On the Vanpools' “Scientific” Postprocessualism , 2001, American Antiquity.

[33]  J. Maienschein Growth of biological thought , 1994, Nature.

[34]  Sally R. Binford,et al.  New perspectives in archaeology , 1968 .

[35]  J. Thompson,et al.  Critical Hermeneutics: Thematic exposition , 1981 .

[36]  Michael B. Schiffer,et al.  The Structure of Archaeological Theory , 1988, American Antiquity.

[37]  T. J. Riley,et al.  Laws, Systems, and Research Designs: A Discussion of Explanation in Archaeology , 1972, American Antiquity.

[38]  Michael Shanks,et al.  Re-Constructing Archaeology: Theory and Practice , 1987 .

[39]  Michelle Hegmon,et al.  Setting Theoretical Egos Aside: Issues and Theory in North American Archaeology , 2003, American Antiquity.

[40]  Ian Hodder,et al.  Interpretive Archaeology and Its Role , 1991, American Antiquity.

[41]  Peter Lipton,et al.  Inference to the best explanation , 1993 .

[42]  C. Wissler,et al.  An Introduction to the Study of Southwestern Archaeology. With a Preliminary Account of the Excavations at Pecos. , 1925 .

[43]  I. Kant,et al.  Critique of Pure Reason: Remark to the amphiboly of concepts of reflection , 1998 .

[44]  Stephen C. Jett,et al.  The Exotic Origins of Fishes Depicted on Prehistoric Mimbres Pottery from New Mexico , 1986, American Antiquity.

[45]  T. Honderich The Oxford Companion to Philosophy , 1995 .

[46]  J. Mill A System of Logic , 1843 .

[47]  C. Hempel Philosophy of Natural Science , 1966 .

[48]  M. Kendall,et al.  The Logic of Scientific Discovery. , 1959 .

[49]  Jean Claude Gardin,et al.  Representations in Archaeology , 1992 .

[50]  Merrilee H. Salmon,et al.  Alternative Models of Scientific Explanation , 1979 .

[51]  A. Sherratt,et al.  Archaeological Thought in America , 1990 .

[52]  L. Binford Some Comments on Historical versus Processual Archaeology , 1968, Southwestern Journal of Anthropology.

[53]  P. Hamilton THE HERMENEUTIC TRADITION , 2003 .

[54]  J. Dewey,et al.  The Quest for Certainty , 1929 .

[55]  G. Harman The Inference to the Best Explanation , 1965 .

[56]  M. Hegmon,et al.  Gender, Anatomical Knowledge, and Pottery Production: Implications of an Anatomically Unusual Birth Depicted on Mimbres Pottery from Southwestern New Mexico , 1996, American Antiquity.

[57]  H. Kunkel GENERAL INTRODUCTION , 1971, The Journal of experimental medicine.

[58]  R. Dunnell The Harvey Lecture Series. Science, Social Science, and Common Sense: The Agonizing Dilemma of Modern Archaeology , 1982, Journal of Anthropological Research.

[59]  I. Hodder,et al.  Processual Archaeology and the Radical Critique [and Comments and Reply] , 1987, Current Anthropology.

[60]  Michael J. O'Brien,et al.  The Goals of Evolutionary Archaeology , 1998, Current Anthropology.

[61]  N. Yoffee,et al.  Myths of the Archaic State: Evolution of the Earliest Cities, States, and Civilizations, by Norman Yoffee. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2005. ISBN 0-521-81837-0 hardback £45 & US$75; ISBN 0-521-52156-4 paperback £19.99 & US$34.99, 291 pp. , 2005, Cambridge Archaeological Journal.

[62]  P. Crown,et al.  The Origins of Southwestern Ceramic Containers: Women's Time Allocation and Economic Intensification , 1995, Journal of Anthropological Research.

[63]  Gerald F. Schroedl,et al.  Quandaries and Quests: Visions of Archaeology's Future , 1994, American Antiquity.

[64]  J. Thompson,et al.  Critical Hermeneutics: Contents , 1981 .

[65]  Todd L. VanPool,et al.  Essential Tensions in Archaeological Method and Theory , 2003 .

[66]  Charles L. Redman,et al.  Archeological Explanation: The Scientific Method in Archeology , 1984 .

[67]  Kent V. Flannery,et al.  Guilá Naquitz , 2021, Encyclopedic Dictionary of Archaeology.

[68]  Barbara L. Moulard Within the Underworld Sky: Mimbres Ceramic Art in Context , 1984 .

[69]  W. Quine,et al.  The web of belief , 1970 .

[70]  Richard A. Gould,et al.  A dialogue on the meaning and use of analogy in ethnoarchaeological reasoning , 1982 .

[71]  R. C. Dunnell,et al.  Archaeological thought in America: Aspects of the application of evolutionary theory in archaeology , 1989 .

[72]  R. Collingwood,et al.  The Idea of History. , 1947 .

[73]  John M. Fritz,et al.  The Nature of Archaeological Explanation , 1970, American Antiquity.

[74]  Gary James Jason,et al.  The Logic of Scientific Discovery , 1988 .

[75]  I. Hodder Archaeology in 1984 , 1984, Antiquity.

[76]  이희준 Evidence at Point of Pines for a prehistoric migration from northern Arizona , 2007 .

[77]  Merrilee H. Salmon,et al.  Descriptive Statements, Covering Laws, and Theories in Archaeology [and Comments and Reply] , 1978, Current Anthropology.

[78]  P. Kosso,et al.  Method in Archaeology: Middle-Range Theory as Hermeneutics , 1991, American Antiquity.