Issues Facing Forest Management in Canada, and Predictive Ecosystem Management Tools for Assessing Possible Futures

Forestry has been changing throughout its history in response to changing needs of human populations and changing supplies of forest resources and values to satisfy these needs. Canadian forestry has undergone a series of changes that reflect much of the global pattern of the change in this human activity, and considering the extent and diversity of Canadian forests, they are now amongst the best managed in the world. However, change continues in the face of continuing challenges and environmental, social and economical issues. Some of these are discussed briefly in this chapter. We also describe one contribution to the resolution of some of these issues in forestry: hybrid simulation, ecosystem management models that span from individual trees (for complex mixed stands) to landscapes of various sizes. The family of models that is briefly described is based on the FORECAST model. Emphasis is given to the LLEMS landscape model.

[1]  S. Sheppard,et al.  The application of a hierarchical, decision-support system to evaluate multi-objective forest management strategies: a case study in northeastern British Columbia, Canada , 2004 .

[2]  Juan A. Blanco,et al.  Complexity in modelling forest ecosystems: How much is enough?☆ , 2008 .

[3]  William S. Currie,et al.  Soil Carbon Dynamics after Forest Harvest: An Ecosystem Paradigm Reconsidered , 2003, Ecosystems.

[4]  P. Attiwill The disturbance of forest ecosystems: the ecological basis for conservative management , 1994 .

[5]  A. Taylor,et al.  Widespread Increase of Tree Mortality Rates in the Western United States , 2009, Science.

[6]  Daowei Zhang Welfare impacts of the 1996 United States - Canada Softwood Lumber (trade) Agreement , 2001 .

[7]  W. Kurz,et al.  Developing Canada's National Forest Carbon Monitoring, Accounting and Reporting System to Meet the Reporting Requirements of the Kyoto Protocol , 2006 .

[8]  B. A. Hawkins,et al.  Multitrophic Level Interactions: Multitrophic level interactions: an introduction , 2002 .

[9]  B. Cashore Flights of the Phoenix: Explaining the Durability of the Canada-U.S. Softwood Lumber Dispute , 1997 .

[10]  T. Rotherham Canada's privately owned forest lands: Their management and economic importance , 2003 .

[11]  Juan A. Blanco,et al.  Testing the performance of a forest ecosystem model (FORECAST) against 29 years of field data in a Pseudotsuga menziesii plantation , 2007 .

[12]  Juan A. Blanco,et al.  Evaluation of a mechanistic approach to mixedwood modelling , 2008 .

[13]  B. Seely,et al.  Carbon sequestration in a boreal forest ecosystem: results from the ecosystem simulation model, FORECAST , 2002 .

[14]  C. S. Holling Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems , 1973 .

[15]  W. Kurz,et al.  Mountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change , 2008, Nature.

[16]  Michael J. Meitner,et al.  Science in Forestry: Why does it sometimes disappoint or even fail us? , 2005 .

[17]  J. A. Trofymow,et al.  Derivation of a spatially explicit 86-year retrospective carbon budget for a landscape undergoing conversion from old-growth to managed forests on Vancouver Island, BC , 2008 .

[18]  B. Seely,et al.  The utility of the two-pass harvesting system: an analysis using the ecosystem simulation model FORECAST , 2002 .

[19]  P. Anderson More is different. , 1972, Science.

[20]  M. Flannigan,et al.  Predicting the effects of climate change on fire frequency in the southeastern Canadian boreal forest , 1995 .

[21]  R. K. Winters The forest and man , 1974 .

[22]  J. P. Kimmins,et al.  Modelling forest ecosystem net primary production : the hybrid simulation approach used in FORECAST , 1999 .

[23]  Werner A. Kurz,et al.  Modelling the interactions between moisture and nutrients in the control of forest growth , 1990 .

[24]  L. Beaumont,et al.  Predicting species distributions: use of climatic parameters in BIOCLIM and its impact on predictions of species’ current and future distributions , 2005 .

[25]  Tongli Wang,et al.  Potential effects of climate change on ecosystem and tree species distribution in British Columbia. , 2006, Ecology.

[26]  West coast, temperate, old-growth forests , 2003 .

[27]  Nina Buchmann,et al.  Net CO2 and H2O fluxes of terrestrial ecosystems , 1999 .

[28]  DEFINING STAND-LEVEL SUSTAINABILITY EXPLORING STAND-LEVEL STEWARDSHIP , 1999 .

[29]  J. Rowe The Level‐of‐Integration Concept and Ecology , 1961 .

[30]  T. Dawson,et al.  Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful? , 2003 .

[31]  J. P. Kimmins From science to stewardship : Harnessing forest ecology in the service of society , 2008 .

[32]  S. DeLong Implementation of natural disturbance-based management in northern British Columbia , 2007 .

[33]  B. Seely,et al.  Projected long-term productivity in Saskatchewan hybrid poplar plantations: weed competition and fertilizer effects , 2007 .

[34]  Stephen R.J. Sheppard,et al.  Forests and Landscapes: Linking Ecology, Sustainability and Aesthetics , 2000 .

[35]  E. Salim,et al.  Our forests... our future : report of the World Commission on Forests and Sustainable Development , 1999 .

[36]  G. Hardin,et al.  The Tragedy of the Commons , 1968, Green Planet Blues.

[37]  Fire, Native Peoples, and the Natural Landscape , 2003 .

[38]  A. Tansley The Use and Abuse of Vegetational Concepts and Terms , 1935 .

[39]  C. Krebs,et al.  Testing hypotheses of trophic level interactions: a boreal forest ecosystem , 2000 .

[40]  Jerry F. Franklin,et al.  POTENTIAL UPPER BOUNDS OF CARBON STORES IN FORESTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST , 2002 .

[41]  J. Innes,et al.  A tree and climate assessment tool for modelling ecosystem response to climate change , 2008 .

[42]  Werner A. Kurz,et al.  Risk of natural disturbances makes future contribution of Canada's forests to the global carbon cycle highly uncertain , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[43]  Carolyn Hull Sieg,et al.  Historical variability in fire at the ponderosa pine - Northern Great Plains prairie ecotone, southeastern Black Hills, South Dakota , 1999 .

[44]  J. P. Kimmins,et al.  Modelling tools to assess the sustainability of forest management scenarios. , 2003 .

[45]  Juan A. Blanco,et al.  Evaluation of an ecosystem-based approach to mixedwood modeling. , 2009 .

[46]  M. Cannell,et al.  Managing forests for wood yield and carbon storage: a theoretical study. , 2000, Tree physiology.

[47]  Juan A. Blanco,et al.  Yield decline in Chinese-fir plantations: a simulation investigation with implications for model complexity , 2007 .

[48]  B. Craig Agriculture and the Lumberman's Frontier in the Upper St. John Valley, 1800–70 , 1988, Journal of Forest History.

[49]  C. K. Mertz,et al.  Acceptable practices in Ontario's forests: Differences between the public and forestry professionals , 1998, New Forests.

[50]  M. Harmon,et al.  Modeling carbon stores in Oregon and Washington forest products: 1900–1992 , 1996 .

[51]  James P. Kimmins,et al.  The use of soil organic matter as a criterion of the relative sustainability of forest management alternatives: a modelling approach using FORECAST , 1997 .

[52]  Andrew O. Finley,et al.  An indicator of tree migration in forests of the eastern United States , 2009 .

[53]  J. P. Kimmins,et al.  Disturbances and the sustainability of long-term site productivity in lodgepole pine forests in the central interior of British Columbia—an ecosystem modeling approach , 2003 .

[54]  P. Burton,et al.  Managing forest harvesting to maintain old growth in boreal and sub-boreal forests , 1999 .

[55]  Robert G. Wagner,et al.  Process versus empirical models: which approach for forest ecosystem management? , 1996 .

[56]  A. Leopold,et al.  A Sand county almanac : with other essays on conservation from Round River , 1966 .

[57]  Juan A. Blanco,et al.  Guidelines for modeling natural regeneration in boreal forests , 2009 .