Case Study on the Development of a Recommender for Apple Disease Diagnosis with a Knowledge-based Bayesian Network (Long paper)

This paper presents a case-study of a knowledge-based recommender system capable to diagnose post-harvest diseases of apples. It describes the process of knowledge elicitation and construction of a Bayesian Network reasoning system as well as its evaluation with three different types of studies involving diseased apples. The ground truth of diseased instances has been established by genome sequencing in a lab. The paper demonstrates the performance differences of knowledge-based reasoning mechanisms due to different users interacting with the system under different conditions and proposes methods for boosting the performance by likelihood evidence learned from the estimated consensus of users’ and expert’s interactions.

[1]  Suchi Saria,et al.  Counterfactual Normalization: Proactively Addressing Dataset Shift Using Causal Mechanisms , 2018, UAI.

[2]  Mohamed Abid,et al.  An explication of uncertain evidence in Bayesian networks: likelihood evidence and probabilistic evidence , 2015, Applied Intelligence.

[3]  Stefan Fenz,et al.  An ontology-based approach for constructing Bayesian networks , 2012, Data Knowl. Eng..

[4]  Silja Renooij,et al.  How to Elicit Many Probabilities , 1999, UAI.

[5]  Nahla Ben Amor,et al.  SemCaDo: A serendipitous strategy for causal discovery and ontology evolution , 2015, Knowl. Based Syst..

[6]  Elias Bareinboim,et al.  Transportability of Causal and Statistical Relations: A Formal Approach , 2011, 2011 IEEE 11th International Conference on Data Mining Workshops.

[7]  Giancarlo GUIZZARDI,et al.  Knowledge Models for Diagnosing Postharvest Diseases of Apples , 2019, JOWO.

[8]  Nir Friedman,et al.  Probabilistic Graphical Models: Principles and Techniques - Adaptive Computation and Machine Learning , 2009 .

[9]  Gorjan Alagic,et al.  #p , 2019, Quantum information & computation.

[10]  Motoaki Kawanabe,et al.  Direct Importance Estimation with Model Selection and Its Application to Covariate Shift Adaptation , 2007, NIPS.

[11]  Markus Zanker,et al.  Preference reasoning with soft constraints in constraint-based recommender systems , 2010, Constraints.

[12]  Uffe Kjærulff,et al.  Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis , 2007, Information Science and Statistics.

[13]  Peng Hao,et al.  Transfer learning using computational intelligence: A survey , 2015, Knowl. Based Syst..

[14]  Alan M Kalet,et al.  Developing Bayesian networks from a dependency‐layered ontology: A proof‐of‐concept in radiation oncology , 2017, Medical physics.

[15]  Nir Friedman,et al.  Probabilistic Graphical Models - Principles and Techniques , 2009 .

[16]  Bernhard Schölkopf,et al.  Correcting Sample Selection Bias by Unlabeled Data , 2006, NIPS.

[17]  R. Weber,et al.  Control of Fungal Storage Rots of Apples by Hot-Water Treatments: A Northern European Perspective , 2014, Erwerbs-Obstbau.

[18]  P. Alam ‘N’ , 2021, Composites Engineering: An A–Z Guide.

[19]  G. G. Stokes "J." , 1890, The New Yale Book of Quotations.

[20]  John W. Fisher,et al.  Loopy Belief Propagation: Convergence and Effects of Message Errors , 2005, J. Mach. Learn. Res..