Price's square root law: Empirical validity and relation to Lotka's law

Abstract Price's well-known square root law states that half of the literature on a subject will be contributed by the square root of the total number of authors publishing in that area. Price's contention is treated here as a hypothesis and assessed against the evidence presented by both empirical and simulated author productivity distributions. The results do not support the square root hypothesis. The problem with Price's original claim is traced to its basis in Lotka's law, which is considered as an inverse square law rather than as a generalized model taking variable parameter values. Varying parameter values engender a family of related, but systematically different, distributions in which the nature of inequality in publication productivity, including the size and relative contribution of the most prolific subset of authors, also varies.

[1]  D. Price Little Science, Big Science , 1965 .

[2]  B. C. Griffith,et al.  Lotka's Law: A Problem in Its Interpretation and Application , 1976 .

[3]  Daniel O'Connor,et al.  Empirical Laws, Theory Construction and Bibliometrics. , 1981 .

[4]  Alfred J. Lotka,et al.  The frequency distribution of scientific productivity , 1926 .

[5]  William Gray Potter,et al.  Lotka's Law Revisited , 1981 .

[6]  Jonathan R. Cole,et al.  Fair Science: Women in the Scientific Community , 1987 .

[7]  Leo Egghe,et al.  A characterization of distributions which satisfy Price's Law and consequences for the Laws of Zipf and Mandelbrot , 1986, J. Inf. Sci..

[8]  Paul Travis Nicholls,et al.  The Lotka Hypothesis And Bibliometric Methodology , 1987 .

[9]  Ferdinand F. Leimkuhler,et al.  A Relationship between Lotka's Law, Bradford's Law, and Zipf's Law. , 1986 .

[10]  Paul Travis Nicholls Estimation of Zipf parameters , 1987, J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci..

[11]  B. Reskin Scientific Productivity and the Reward Structure of Science , 1977 .

[12]  Jonathan R. Cole,et al.  Fair Science: Women in the Scientific Community. , 1982 .

[13]  Nicholas Rescher,et al.  Scientific Progress: A Philosophical Essay on the Economics of Research in Natural Science. , 1977 .

[14]  Ravichandra Rao,et al.  Quantitative methods in library and information science , 1982 .

[15]  Miranda Lee Pao An empirical examination of Lotka's law , 1986, J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci..

[16]  Paul Travis Nicholls,et al.  Empirical validation of Lotka's law , 1986, Inf. Process. Manag..

[17]  Paul Nicholls,et al.  The maximal value of a zipf size variable: Sampling properties and relationship to other parameters , 1987, Inf. Process. Manag..