A MPC approach for optimal generation scheduling in CSP plants

Thermal energy storage (TES) systems allow concentrated solar power (CSP) producers to participate in a day-ahead market. Therefore, the optimal power scheduling problem can be posed, whose objective is the maximization of profits derived from electricity sales. The daily generation schedule has to be offered in advance, usually the previous day before a certain time, thus an electricity price and weather forecast must be carried out. This paper proposes a model-based predictive control (MPC) approach for optimal scheduling in CSP plants. This approach has a dual purpose: (1) the periodic update of the generation schedule to track the schedule that has been committed to by means of the most recent electricity price and weather forecast and information about the plant state and (2) the generation of the optimal schedule for the next day. As these two tasks are related, they are performed simultaneously. Therefore, the MPC sliding window is composed of a first time interval to track the committed schedule and a second time interval to generate the next schedule for the following hours. This is then offered as the generation schedule for the next day at the appropriate time. The proposed approach is applied, in a simulation context, to a 50MW parabolic trough collector-based CSP plant with molten-salt-based TES. The chosen criterion to track the committed schedule is the even distribution of the possible generation error within the first interval. A case-study with overestimated initial DNI forecast is undertaken. The results show that the MPC control with short-term DNI forecast significantly improves the above-mentioned objective and allows for a reduction of the deviation from the scheduled generation, when compared with the case without short-term DNI forecast.

[1]  Christoph Kost,et al.  Concentrating solar power plant investment and operation decisions under different price and support mechanisms , 2013 .

[2]  F. Dinter,et al.  Operability, Reliability and Economic Benefits of CSP with Thermal Energy Storage: First Year of Operation of ANDASOL 3☆ , 2014 .

[3]  Reinhard Madlener,et al.  Economic merits of a state-of-the-art concentrating solar power forecasting system for participation in the Spanish electricity market , 2013 .

[4]  Pierre Pinson,et al.  Robust optimisation for self-scheduling and bidding strategies of hybrid CSP–fossil power plants , 2015 .

[5]  Manuel Berenguel,et al.  Control of thermal solar energy plants , 2014 .

[6]  Ahmet Palazoglu,et al.  Operational optimization and demand response of hybrid renewable energy systems , 2015 .

[7]  José Manuel Bravo,et al.  Optimal sizing for UPS systems based on batteries and/or fuel cell , 2013 .

[8]  Paul Denholm,et al.  How Thermal Energy Storage Enhances the Economic Viability of Concentrating Solar Power , 2012, Proceedings of the IEEE.

[9]  Philip C. Eames,et al.  The cost of balancing a parabolic trough concentrated solar power plant in the Spanish electricity spot markets , 2014 .

[10]  I. García,et al.  Performance model for parabolic trough solar thermal power plants with thermal storage: Comparison to operating plant data , 2011 .

[11]  R. Bayón,et al.  Simulation and assessment of operation strategies for solar thermal power plants with a thermocline storage tank , 2014 .

[12]  P. Denholm,et al.  The Value of Concentrating Solar Power and Thermal Energy Storage , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy.

[13]  Tobias Achterberg,et al.  SCIP: solving constraint integer programs , 2009, Math. Program. Comput..

[14]  Johan Löfberg,et al.  YALMIP : a toolbox for modeling and optimization in MATLAB , 2004 .

[15]  Víctor Manuel Fernandes Mendes,et al.  Bilevel approach to wind-CSP day-ahead scheduling with spinning reserve under controllable degree of trust , 2016 .

[16]  Robert A. Taylor,et al.  Direct normal irradiance forecasting and its application to concentrated solar thermal output forecasting - A review , 2014 .

[17]  Víctor Manuel Fernandes Mendes,et al.  Self-scheduling for energy and spinning reserve of wind/CSP plants by a MILP approach , 2014 .

[18]  T. Alamo,et al.  Robust MPC of constrained discrete-time nonlinear systems based on approximated reachable sets , 2006, Autom..

[19]  Robert Pitz-Paal,et al.  Methodology for optimized operation strategies of solar thermal power plants with integrated heat storage , 2011 .

[20]  A. Conejo,et al.  Optimal offering strategy for a concentrating solar power plant , 2012 .

[21]  Evangelos Rikos,et al.  Use of model predictive control for experimental microgrid optimization , 2014 .

[22]  R. Weron Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future , 2014 .

[23]  Pallav Purohit,et al.  Evaluating the potential of concentrating solar power generation in Northwestern India , 2013 .

[24]  Kody M. Powell,et al.  Dynamic Optimization of a Hybrid Solar Thermal and Fossil Fuel System , 2014 .

[25]  Eduardo F. Camacho,et al.  Optimal operation in solar trough plants: A case study , 2013 .

[26]  Alexander Mitsos,et al.  Optimal operation of a solar-thermal power plant with energy storage and electricity buy-back from grid , 2013 .

[27]  Julio Usaola,et al.  Operation of concentrating solar power plants with storage in spot electricity markets , 2012 .

[28]  Elias K. Stefanakos,et al.  Thermal energy storage technologies and systems for concentrating solar power plants , 2013 .

[29]  Pandelis N. Biskas,et al.  Optimal self-scheduling of a dominant power company in electricity markets , 2012 .

[30]  José Manuel Andújar Márquez,et al.  A Methodology for Sizing Backup Fuel-Cell/Battery Hybrid Power Systems , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics.

[31]  Huili Zhang,et al.  Concentrated solar power plants: Review and design methodology , 2013 .

[32]  D. Limón,et al.  Robust MPC of constrained nonlinear systems based on interval arithmetic , 2005 .