A Real-Time Prediction Method for Ship Heave Motion Using Conv-Bi-LSTM Model

When the ship is sailing at sea, affected by wind, waves and other factors, it will produce a complex rocking motion, which has an impact on carrier-borne aircraft takeoff and land and cargo handover. In order to improve the safety of ship operation, a prediction model of ship heave motion was established based on Conv-Bi-LSTM neural network. The International Towing Tank Conference(ITTC) wave spectrum and Response Amplitude Operator (RAO) were used to generate the ship motion data with six degrees of freedom under three to six sea states. The prediction results of the proposed model are compared with those of the LSTM model, BP model, and Kalman model. And compared with the ordinary Kalman model, the mean absolute error(MAE) of the proposed algorithm has been improved by 44.03%, 53.57%, 61.08%, and 76.69% in sea states of 3 to 6. On this basis, a heave motion prediction model based on multi-feature information is designed. The results show that the prediction model based on Conv-Bi-LSTM has higher prediction accuracy and better adaptability to all sea states.