Dynamical seasonal prediction of Southern African summer precipitation

[1]  T. Yamagata,et al.  Predictability of the subtropical dipole modes in a coupled ocean–atmosphere model , 2014, Climate Dynamics.

[2]  T. Yamagata,et al.  How is the Indian Ocean Subtropical Dipole excited? , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[3]  Y. Masumoto,et al.  Dynamical Downscaling of Austral Summer Climate Forecasts over Southern Africa Using a Regional Coupled Model , 2013 .

[4]  T. Yamagata,et al.  An index for tropical temperate troughs over southern Africa , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[5]  B. Pohl,et al.  Downscaling large-scale climate variability using a regional climate model: the case of ENSO over Southern Africa , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[6]  C. Reason,et al.  Building a Tropical-Extratropical Cloud Band Metbot , 2012 .

[7]  Y. Masumoto,et al.  A simple regional coupled model experiment for summer-time climate simulation over southern Africa , 2012, Climate Dynamics.

[8]  Y. Masumoto,et al.  The Indian Ocean subtropical dipole mode simulated in the CMIP3 models , 2012, Climate Dynamics.

[9]  A. Barnston,et al.  Skill of Real-Time Seasonal ENSO Model Predictions During 2002–11: Is Our Capability Increasing? , 2012 .

[10]  Dong Eun Lee,et al.  Seasonal Rainfall Prediction Skill over South Africa: One- versus Two-Tiered Forecasting Systems , 2012 .

[11]  B. Pohl,et al.  Tropical-temperate interactions over southern Africa simulated by a regional climate model , 2012, Climate Dynamics.

[12]  W. Landman,et al.  Multi‐model forecast skill for mid‐summer rainfall over southern Africa , 2012 .

[13]  P. Drobinski,et al.  Uncertainties in simulating regional climate of Southern Africa: sensitivity to physical parameterizations using WRF , 2012, Climate Dynamics.

[14]  T. Yamagata,et al.  On the Growth and Decay of the Subtropical Dipole Mode in the South Atlantic , 2011 .

[15]  J. Thepaut,et al.  The ERA‐Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system , 2011 .

[16]  Uang,et al.  The NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis , 2010 .

[17]  C. Reason,et al.  Tropical–Extratropical Interactions over Southern Africa: Three Cases of Heavy Summer Season Rainfall , 2010 .

[18]  Toshio Yamagata,et al.  Climate variability in the southern Indian Ocean as revealed by self-organizing maps , 2009 .

[19]  C. Reason,et al.  Interactions between synoptic, intraseasonal and interannual convective variability over Southern Africa , 2009 .

[20]  C. Reason,et al.  Recurrent daily OLR patterns in the Southern Africa/Southwest Indian Ocean region, implications for South African rainfall and teleconnections , 2009 .

[21]  Yan Du,et al.  Indian Ocean Capacitor Effect on Indo–Western Pacific Climate during the Summer following El Niño , 2009 .

[22]  J. Shukla,et al.  Current status of ENSO prediction skill in coupled ocean–atmosphere models , 2008 .

[23]  B. Lyon,et al.  The 1997–98 Summer Rainfall Season in Southern Africa. Part I: Observations , 2007 .

[24]  T. Yamagata,et al.  Experimental Forecasts of the Indian Ocean Dipole Using a Coupled OAGCM , 2007 .

[25]  Swadhin K. Behera,et al.  Seasonal Climate Predictability in a Coupled OAGCM Using a Different Approach for Ensemble Forecasts , 2005 .

[26]  C. Reason,et al.  Relationships between South Atlantic SST Variability and Atmospheric Circulation over the South African Region during Austral Winter , 2005 .

[27]  M. Rouault,et al.  Intensity and spatial extent of droughts in southern Africa , 2005 .

[28]  C. Reason,et al.  Ocean Model Diagnosis of Interannual Coevolving SST Variability in the South Indian and South Atlantic Oceans , 2005 .

[29]  E. Roeckner,et al.  Reducing Climatology Bias in an Ocean-Atmosphere CGCM with Improved Coupling Physics. , 2005 .

[30]  C. Reason,et al.  A model investigation of recent ENSO impacts over southern Africa , 2005 .

[31]  T. Yamagata,et al.  Annual ENSO simulated in a coupled ocean–atmosphere model , 2005 .

[32]  Renate Hagedorn,et al.  The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting — I. Basic concept , 2005 .

[33]  C. Reason,et al.  Tropical Cyclone Eline and its unusual penetration and impacts over the southern African mainland , 2004 .

[34]  B. Hewitson,et al.  Wet and dry spells within particularly wet and dry summers in the South African summer rainfall region , 2004 .

[35]  M. Latif.  Tropical Pacific Influences on the North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation , 2003 .

[36]  J. Janowiak,et al.  The Version 2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Monthly Precipitation Analysis (1979-Present) , 2003 .

[37]  P. Delecluse,et al.  South Pacific origin of the decadal ENSO‐like variation as simulated by a coupled GCM , 2003 .

[38]  C. Reason,et al.  The source of Benguela Niños in the South Atlantic Ocean , 2003 .

[39]  C. Reason,et al.  South East tropical Atlantic warm events and southern African rainfall , 2003 .

[40]  Willem A. Landman,et al.  Statistical Recalibration of GCM Forecasts over Southern Africa Using Model Output Statistics , 2002 .

[41]  Thomas M. Smith,et al.  An Improved In Situ and Satellite SST Analysis for Climate , 2002 .

[42]  C. Reason,et al.  ENSO‐like decadal variability and South African rainfall , 2002 .

[43]  N. Graham,et al.  Areas beneath the relative operating characteristics (ROC) and relative operating levels (ROL) curves: Statistical significance and interpretation , 2002 .

[44]  C. Reason,et al.  Sensitivity of the southern African circulation to dipole sea‐surface temperature patterns in the south Indian Ocean , 2002 .

[45]  C. Reason.  Subtropical Indian Ocean SST dipole events and southern African rainfall , 2001 .

[46]  Swadhin K. Behera,et al.  Subtropical SST dipole events in the southern Indian Ocean , 2001 .

[47]  W. Landman,et al.  Retro‐active skill of multi‐tiered forecasts of summer rainfall over southern Africa , 2001 .

[48]  P. Roucou,et al.  Modification of the southern African rainfall variability/ENSO relationship since the late 1960s , 2000 .

[49]  K. Cook.  The South Indian Convergence Zone and Interannual Rainfall Variability over Southern Africa , 2000 .

[50]  Janette Lindesay,et al.  ENSO and climatic signals across the Indian Ocean Basin in the global context: part I, interannual composite patterns , 2000 .

[51]  R. Washington,et al.  Circulation anomalies associated with tropical-temperate troughs in southern Africa and the south west Indian Ocean , 1999 .

[52]  Nicholas E. Graham,et al.  Conditional Probabilities, Relative Operating Characteristics, and Relative Operating Levels , 1999 .

[53]  N. Graham,et al.  Importance of the Indian Ocean for simulating rainfall anomalies over eastern and southern Africa , 1999 .

[54]  Willem A. Landman,et al.  Operational long‐lead prediction of South African rainfall using canonical correlation analysis , 1999 .

[55]  Ngar-Cheung Lau,et al.  Remote Sea Surface Temperature Variations during ENSO: Evidence for a Tropical Atmospheric Bridge , 1999 .

[56]  M. Tereza,et al.  Downscaling large-scale circulation to local winter climate using neural network techniques , 1998 .

[57]  L. Mysak,et al.  Atmosphere–Ocean Coupled Variability in the South Atlantic , 1997 .

[58]  A. Joubert.  Simulations by the atmospheric model intercomparison project of atmospheric circulation over southern Africa , 1997 .

[59]  Benjamin Kirtman,et al.  Multiseasonal predictions with a coupled tropical ocean-global atmosphere system , 1997 .

[60]  A. Barnston,et al.  Long-Lead Forecasts of Seasonal Precipitation in Africa Using CCA , 1996 .

[61]  Daniel S. Wilks,et al.  Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences: An Introduction , 1995 .

[62]  Simon J. Mason,et al.  Sea-surface temperature — South African rainfall associations, 1910–1989 , 1995 .

[63]  N. Walker.  Links between South African summer rainfall and temperature variability of the Agulhas and Benguela Current systems , 1990 .

[64]  M. Garstang,et al.  Generation of convective storms over the escarpment of northeastern South Africa , 1987 .

[65]  M. Harrison.  A generalized classification of South African summer rain‐bearing synoptic systems , 1984 .

[66]  T. Dyer.  Rainfall along the east coast of southern Africa, the southern oscillation, and the latitude of the subtropical high pressure belt , 1979 .

[67]  B. Abiodun,et al.  Impacts of convection schemes on simulating tropical-temperate troughs over southern Africa , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[68]  U. Schneider,et al.  GPCC's new land surface precipitation climatology based on quality-controlled in situ data and its role in quantifying the global water cycle , 2013, Theoretical and Applied Climatology.

[69]  M. Rouault,et al.  Moisture transport between the South Atlantic Ocean and southern Africa: relationships with summer rainfall and associated dynamics , 2009 .

[70]  N. Kerandi,et al.  Seasonal rainfall prediction in Kenya using empirical methods , 2008 .

[71]  Swadhin K. Behera,et al.  Extended ENSO Predictions Using a Fully Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model , 2008 .

[72]  G. Conway.  The science of climate change in Africa : impacts and adaptation , 2008 .

[73]  Jia Luo,et al.  Experimental Forecasts of the Indian Ocean Dipole Using a Coupled OAGCM , 2007 .

[74]  Renate Hagedorn,et al.  The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting-II , 2005 .

[75]  Timothy B. Love,et al.  A 20-YEAR DAILY AFRICA PRECIPITATION CLIMATOLOGY USING SATELLITE AND GAUGE DATA , 2003 .

[76]  P. Tyson,et al.  The weather and climate of southern Africa , 2000 .

[77]  P. Delecluse,et al.  OPA 8.1 Ocean General Circulation Model reference manual , 1998 .

[78]  Simon J. Mason,et al.  Review of seasonal forecasting techniques and their applicability to Southern Africa , 1996 .

[79]  M. Claussen,et al.  The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM-4: Model description and simulation of present-day climate , 1996 .

[80]  J. Lindesay,et al.  South African rainfall, the Southern Oscillation and a Southern Hemisphere semi‐annual cycle , 1988 .