Visual Macroprudential Surveillance of Banks

We create a tool for visual surveillance of the European banking system from a macroprudential perspective. The tool performs visual dynamic clustering with the self-organizing time map SOTM to visualize evolving multivariate data from two viewpoints: i multivariate cluster structures, and ii univariate drivers of changes in structures. In assessing the European banking system, the main tasks the SOTM can be used for are i identifying structural changes and breaking points in a large number of risk indicators, and their specific location in the cross-section, and ii identifying the build-up of, or generally changes in, individual risk indicators in the banking system as a whole. While the former view provides indications of changes in the banking system, the latter describes the sources of these changes. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

[1]  Michel Verleysen,et al.  Nonlinear Dimensionality Reduction , 2021, Computer Vision.

[2]  Carlos Serrano-Cinca,et al.  Self organizing neural networks for financial diagnosis , 1996, Decision Support Systems.

[3]  Jaume Puig,et al.  Can You Map Global Financial Stability , 2010 .

[4]  J. Suykens,et al.  Kernel spectral clustering with memory effect , 2013 .

[5]  John G. Taylor,et al.  The temporal Kohönen map , 1993, Neural Networks.

[6]  John W. Sammon,et al.  A Nonlinear Mapping for Data Structure Analysis , 1969, IEEE Transactions on Computers.

[7]  Jin Chen,et al.  A Visualization System for Space-Time and Multivariate Patterns (VIS-STAMP) , 2006, IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics.

[8]  Kay Giesecke,et al.  Assessing the Systemic Implications of Financial Linkages , 2009 .

[9]  Louis A. Lemos Mapping the State of Financial Stability , 2013 .

[10]  Anil K. Jain,et al.  Data clustering: a review , 1999, CSUR.

[11]  Peter Sarlin,et al.  Predicting Distress in European Banks , 2013, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[12]  Lucia Alessi,et al.  'Real Time' Early Warning Indicators for Costly Asset Price Boom/Bust Cycles: A Role for Global Liquidity , 2009 .

[13]  Claudio Borio,et al.  Implementing the macroprudential approach to financial regulation and supervision , 2009 .

[14]  Teuvo Kohonen,et al.  The 'neural' phonetic typewriter , 1988, Computer.

[15]  Trevor Fitzpatrick,et al.  Assessing Portfolio Credit Risk Changes in a Sample of EU Large and Complex Banking Groups in Reaction to Macroeconomic Shocks , 2008 .

[16]  Teuvo Kohonen,et al.  Self-organized formation of topologically correct feature maps , 2004, Biological Cybernetics.

[17]  Peter Sarlin,et al.  Self-organizing time map: An abstraction of temporal multivariate patterns , 2012, Neurocomputing.

[18]  B ANALYTICAL MODELS AND TOOLS FOR THE IDENTIFICATION AND ASSESSMENT OF SYSTEMIC RISKS , 2010 .

[19]  Peter Sarlin,et al.  Decomposing the global financial crisis: A Self-Organizing Time Map , 2013, Pattern Recognit. Lett..

[20]  Peter Sarlin Automated and weighted self-organizing time maps , 2014, Knowledge and Information Systems.

[21]  Teuvo Kohonen THE HYPERMAP ARCHITECTURE , 1991 .

[22]  K. Stiroh,et al.  Reserve System. Any errors or omissions are the responsibility of the authors. Macroprudential Supervision of Financial Institutions: Lessons from the SCAP , 2009 .