Using the Ground Forces Casualty Forecasting System (FORECAS) to Project Casualty Sustainment.

Abstract : The FORECAS planning tool was designed to assist medical requirements specialists in determining the resource needs of specific ground combat operations. The FORECAS tool provides projections of wounded-in- action, killed-in-action, and diseaselnonbanle injury incidence for infantry, support, and service support troops under various combat conditions. FORECAS was constructed in two phases: development of a simulation tool that reflects the statistical trends observed in previous combat scenario, and assessment and quantification of the adjustments necessary to enable FORECAS projections to reflect contemporary scenarios. The FORECAS simulations were found to re resent the trends observed in the historical data.