Distinguishing Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration Tau From TDP-43 Using Plasma Biomarkers.

Importance Biomarkers are lacking that can discriminate frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) associated with tau (FTLD-tau) or TDP-43 (FTLD-TDP). Objective To test whether plasma biomarkers glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), neurofilament light chain (NfL), or their ratio (GFAP/NfL) differ between FTLD-tau and FTLD-TDP. Design, Setting, and Participants This retrospective cross-sectional study included data from 2009 to 2020 from the University of Pennsylvania Integrated Neurodegenerative Disease Database, with a median (IQR) follow-up duration of 2 (0.3-4.2) years. The training sample was composed of patients with autopsy-confirmed and familial FTLD; nonimpaired controls were included as a reference group. The independent validation sample included patients with FTD with a clinical diagnosis of progressive supranuclear palsy syndrome (PSPS) associated with tau (PSPS-tau) or amytrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) associated with TDP-43 (ALS-TDP). In patients with FTLD with autopsy-confirmed or variant-confirmed pathology, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves tested the GFAP/NfL ratio and established a pathology-confirmed cut point. The cut point was validated in an independent sample of patients with clinical frontotemporal dementia (FTD). Data were analyzed from February to July 2022. Exposures Clinical, postmortem histopathological assessments, and plasma collection. Main Outcomes and Measures ROC and area under the ROC curve (AUC) with 90% CIs evaluated discrimination of pure FTLD-tau from pure FTLD-TDP using plasma GFAP/NfL ratio; the Youden index established optimal cut points. Sensitivity and specificity of cut points were assessed in an independent validation sample. Results Of 349 participants with available plasma data, 234 met inclusion criteria (31 controls, 141 in the training sample, and 62 in the validation sample). In the training sample, patients with FTLD-tau were older than patients with FTLD-TDP (FTLD-tau: n = 46; mean [SD] age, 65.8 [8.29] years; FTLD-TDP: n = 95; mean [SD] age, 62.3 [7.82] years; t84.6 = 2.45; mean difference, 3.57; 95% CI, 0.67-6.48; P = .02) but with similar sex distribution (FTLD-tau: 27 of 46 [59%] were male; FTLD-TDP: 51 of 95 [54%] were male; χ21 = 0.14; P = .70). In the validation sample, patients with PSPS-tau were older than those with ALS-TDP (PSPS-tau: n = 31; mean [SD] age, 69.3 [7.35] years; ALS-TDP: n = 31; mean [SD] age, 54.6 [10.17] years; t54.6 = 6.53; mean difference, 14.71; 95% CI, 10.19-19.23; P < .001) and had fewer patients who were male (PSPS-tau: 9 of 31 [29%] were male; ALS-TDP: 22 of 31 [71%] were male; χ21 = 9.3; P = .002). ROC revealed excellent discrimination of FTLD-tau from FTLD-TDP by plasma GFAP/NfL ratio (AUC = 0.89; 90% CI, 0.82-0.95; sensitivity = 0.73; 90% CI, 0.65-0.89; specificity = 0.89; 90% CI, 0.78-0.98), which was higher than either GFAP level alone (AUC = 0.65; 90% CI, 0.54-0.76) or NfL levels alone (AUC = 0.75; 90% CI, 0.64-0.85). In the validation sample, there was sensitivity of 0.84 (90% CI, 0.66-0.94) and specificity of 0.81 (90% CI, 0.62-0.91) when applying the autopsy-derived plasma GFAP/NfL threshold. Conclusions and Relevance The plasma ratio of GFAP/NfL may discriminate FTLD-tau from FTLD-TDP.