The Curve-Fitting Problem: An Objectivist View

Model simplicity in curve fitting is the fewness of parameters estimated. I use a vector model of least squares estimation to show that degrees of freedom, the difference between the number of observed parameters fit by the model and the number of explanatory parameters estimated, are the number of potential dimensions in which data are free to differ from a model and indicate the disconfirmability of the model. Though often thought to control for parameter estimation, the AIC and similar indices do not do so for all model applications, while goodness of fit indices like chi-square, which explicitly take into account degrees of freedom, do. Hypothesis testing with prespecified values for parameters is based on a metaphoric regulative subject/object schema taken from object perception and has as its goal the accumulation of objective knowledge.

[1]  Mary Tiles Bachelard, science and objectivity , 1984 .

[2]  M. Kendall Statistical Methods for Research Workers , 1937, Nature.

[3]  G. Lakoff,et al.  Metaphors We Live By , 1980 .

[4]  H. Akaike Factor analysis and AIC , 1987 .

[5]  M. Forster,et al.  Key Concepts in Model Selection: Performance and Generalizability. , 2000, Journal of mathematical psychology.

[6]  G. Kitagawa,et al.  Akaike Information Criterion Statistics , 1988 .

[7]  John Frederick William Herschel,et al.  A Preliminary Discourse on the Study of Natural Philosophy , 1831 .

[8]  George Lakoff,et al.  Women, Fire, and Dangerous Things , 1987 .

[9]  G. Lakoff The Contemporary Theory of Metaphor , 1993 .

[10]  M. Browne,et al.  Alternative Ways of Assessing Model Fit , 1992 .

[11]  Mark Rowlands,et al.  The body in mind , 1999 .

[12]  石黒 真木夫,et al.  Akaike information criterion statistics , 1986 .

[13]  R. C. Durfee,et al.  MULTIPLE FACTOR ANALYSIS. , 1967 .

[14]  J. Gibson The Senses Considered As Perceptual Systems , 1967 .

[15]  Prasanta S. Bandyopadhyay,et al.  The Curve Fitting Problem: A Bayesian Rejoinder , 1999, Philosophy of Science.

[16]  Stanley A. Mulaik,et al.  The Metaphoric Origins of Objectivity, Subjectivity, and Consciousness in the Direct Perception of Reality , 1995, Philosophy of Science.

[17]  G. Lakoff Philosophy in the flesh , 1999 .

[18]  S. Mulaik,et al.  EVALUATION OF GOODNESS-OF-FIT INDICES FOR STRUCTURAL EQUATION MODELS , 1989 .

[19]  H. Akaike,et al.  Information Theory and an Extension of the Maximum Likelihood Principle , 1973 .

[20]  Robert J. Boik,et al.  The Curve Fitting Problem: A Bayesian Approach , 1996, Philosophy of Science.

[21]  Malcolm R. Forster,et al.  How to Tell When Simpler, More Unified, or Less Ad Hoc Theories will Provide More Accurate Predictions , 1994, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.

[22]  G. Lakoff,et al.  Where Mathematics Comes From , 2000 .

[23]  R. P. McDonald,et al.  An index of goodness-of-fit based on noncentrality , 1989 .

[24]  R. P. McDonald,et al.  Choosing a multivariate model: Noncentrality and goodness of fit. , 1990 .

[25]  G. Butterworth Structure of the mind in human infancy , 1983 .

[26]  J. Gibson The Ecological Approach to Visual Perception , 1979 .