Study on scenario evolvement and alternative generation of "scenario-response" decision-making in unconventional emergencies

As a result of having an extremely strong uncertainty and uniqueness in generation and scenario evolvement for unconventional emergency,the traditional decision-making paradigm of "forecast-response" should be replaced by the "scenario-response" paradigm for real-time decision making.Here,based on a analysis of the content and internal factors of unconventional emergency,the process of scenario and its evolvement were described for emergency decision-making.On the basis of an in-depth analysis "scenes-response" paradigm and decision-making rules,the generation process of emergency decision-making alternatives was given.