Traffic Safety Dimensions and the Power Model to Describe the Effect of Speed on Safety

Traffic safety work needs different methods and tools in order to choose and evsaluate traffic safety measures. The thesis contributes to this problem by presenting and visualizing a method which describes the traffic safety situation in several dimensions. The method used to describe the traffic safety problem shows the potential of a simultanous presentation and evaluation of these dimensions and demonstrates that the method can be expanded to several dimensions or ratios estimating the exposure, the risk and the consequence. This is illustrated in describing the traffic safety situation for different road user groups and age groups. The power model, which estimates the relationship between speed and safety, is not a new tool as the model has been used both in theory and pracise in several countries for many years. In the thesis the theoretical and practical background are presented. The power model is here also tested and validated im a cross-sectional study. These analyses show that the power model is valid with regard to injury accidents, fatal accidents and the number of injured but not for the number of fatalities. The power model underestimates the effect on fatalities. (Less)

[1]  W. Haddon A logical framework for categorizing highway safety phenomena and activity. , 1972, The Journal of trauma.

[2]  Göran Nilsson A review of the traffic safety situation in Sweden with regard to different strategies and methods of evaluating traffic safety measures , 1983 .

[3]  E Pasanen,et al.  DRIVING SPEEDS AND PEDESTRIAN SAFETY: A MATHEMATICAL MODEL , 1992 .

[4]  William L. Carlson Traffic accident exposure and liability: Carsten Wass. Printed in Denmark by ROC Rungsted, 1977. 219 pp. (Available from the author at Ligustervangen 57, DK-3450 Allerø, Denmark.) , 1981 .

[5]  Göran Nilsson,et al.  Road traffic, exposure, injury risks and injury consequences for different travel modes and age groups , 1994 .

[6]  A Baruya,et al.  THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SPEED AND ACCIDENTS OF RURAL SINGLE-CARRIAGEWAY ROADS , 2002 .

[7]  Rolf Fräki,et al.  Interview investigation of road traffic accidents , 1969 .

[8]  Maria Krafft NON-FATAL INJURIES TO CAR OCCUPANTS: INJURY ASSESSMENT AND ANALYSIS OF IMPACTS CAUSING SHORT AND LONG TERM CONSEQUENCES WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO NECK INJURIES , 1998 .

[9]  Leonard Evans Age and fatality risk from similar severity impacts , 2001 .

[10]  D C Webster,et al.  REVIEW OF TRAFFIC CALMING SCHEMES IN 20 MPH ZONES , 1996 .

[11]  Göran Nilsson,et al.  Effects of speed limits on traffic accidents in Sweden , 1982 .

[12]  S. J. Ashton,et al.  Pedestrian Injuries and the Car Exterior , 1977 .

[13]  G Nilsson TRAFFIC SAFETY IN TERMS OF ACCIDENTS, INJURIES, RISKS AND CONSEQUENCES. A MULTIDIMENSIONAL METHOD FOR THE DESCRIPTION OF TRAFFIC SAFETY SITUATION , 1981 .

[14]  Lars Ekman,et al.  ON THE TREATMENT OF FLOW IN TRAFFIC SAFETY ANALYSIS: A NON-PARAMETRIC APPROACH APPLIED ON VULNERABLE ROAD USERS , 1996 .

[15]  N. O. Jorgensen.,et al.  Exposure Data for Travel Risk Assessment: Current Practice and Future Needs in the EU , 1999 .

[16]  Marc Gaudry,et al.  TURNING BOX-COX INCLUDING QUADRATIC FORMS IN REGRESSION. IN: STRUCTURAL ROAD ACCIDENT MODELS. THE INTERNATIONAL DRAG FAMILY , 2000 .

[17]  Zheng-Guo Wang,et al.  Road traffic injuries. , 2003, Chinese journal of traumatology = Zhonghua chuang shang za zhi.

[18]  Ezra Hauer,et al.  PREDICTION OF THE EXPECTED SAFETY PERFORMANCE OF RURAL TWO-LANE HIGHWAYS , 2000 .

[19]  Andy Shea,et al.  Traffic Safety and the Driver , 1992 .

[20]  G. Maycock,et al.  SPEED, SPEED LIMITS AND ACCIDENTS , 1994 .

[21]  G Nilsson SPEEDS, ACCIDENT RATES AND PERSONAL INJURY CONSEQUENCES FOR DIFFERENT ROAD TYPES , 1984 .

[22]  Göran Nilsson REDUCTION IN THE SPEED LIMIT FROM 110 KM/H TO 90 KM/H DURING SUMMER 1989: EFFECTS ON PERSONAL INJURY ACCIDENTS, INJURED AND SPEEDS , 1990 .