Snowbirds, sunbirds, and stayers: seasonal migration of elderly adults in Florida.

OBJECTIVE Most migration statistics in the United States focus on changes in place of usual residence, thereby missing temporary moves such as business trips, vacations, and seasonal migration. In this article, we analyze the temporary in- and out-migration of elderly adults in Florida. Our primary objectives are to develop a methodology for estimating the number of temporary migrants and to analyze their demographic characteristics. METHODS Using survey data, we estimated the number, timing, and duration of temporary moves and the origins, destinations, and characteristics of elderly temporary migrants. We compared the characteristics of temporary in-migrants, out-migrants, and non-migrants, and we used logistic regression analysis in order to evaluate differences in those characteristics. RESULT We estimate that Florida had more than 800,000 elderly temporary in-migrants and more than 300,000 elderly temporary out-migrants at peak times in 2005. Income, education, employment, and health status were among the major determinants of temporary migration. DISCUSSION The temporary migration of elderly adults has a major impact on the resident populations of both sending and receiving communities. This article presents a methodology for estimating temporary migration and provides insights into migratory patterns that cannot be achieved by focusing solely on changes in place of usual residence.

[1]  A. Kirkman Ties That Bind , 2001, Journal of lesbian studies.

[2]  C. Longino,et al.  "Going home" or "leaving home"? The impact of person and place ties on anticipated counterstream migration. , 2001, The Gerontologist.

[3]  C. Longino,et al.  Elderly Interstate Migration , 1980 .

[4]  W. Serow,et al.  Return Migration of the Elderly in the United States , 1988, Research on Aging.

[5]  Kevin E. McHugh,et al.  ON THE ROAD AGAIN: SEASONAL MIGRATION TO A SUNBELT METROPOLIS , 1991 .

[6]  T. D. Hogan,et al.  A logistic model of the seasonal migration decision for elderly households in Arizona and Minnesota. , 1998, The Gerontologist.

[7]  Timothy D. Hogan,et al.  Counting snowbirds: The importance of and the problems with estimating seasonal populations , 2002 .

[8]  W. Zelinsky,et al.  The Hypothesis of the Mobility Transition , 1971 .

[9]  Martin Bell,et al.  Comparing temporary mobility with permanent migration , 2000 .

[10]  A. Speare,et al.  Types of elderly residential mobility and their determinants. , 1988, Journal of gerontology.

[11]  Don E. Bradley,et al.  A first look at retirement migration trends in 2000. , 2003, The Gerontologist.

[12]  Alfred DeMaris,et al.  Regression With Social Data: Modeling Continuous and Limited Response Variables , 2004 .

[13]  T. D. Hogan Determinants of the Seasonal Migration of the Elderly to Sunbelt States , 1987, Research on aging.

[14]  D. Sullivan The Ties that Bind , 1985, Research on aging.

[15]  T. D. Hogan,et al.  Arizona Sunbirds and Minnesota Snowbirds: two species of the elderly seasonal migrant genus , 1996 .

[16]  K. McHugh,et al.  Seasonal Migration as a Substitute for, or Precursor to, Permanent Migration , 1990, Research on aging.

[17]  R. Wiseman,et al.  Why Older People Move , 1980 .

[18]  Per Gustafson,et al.  Tourism and seasonal retirement migration , 2002 .

[19]  W. Serow Economic consequences of retiree concentrations: a review of North American studies. , 2003, The Gerontologist.

[20]  J. A. Krout,et al.  Seasonal migration of the elderly. , 1983, The Gerontologist.

[21]  D. Monahan,et al.  The impact of seasonal population fluctuations on service delivery. , 1982, The Gerontologist.

[22]  Stanley K. Smith Toward a Methodology for Estimating Temporary Residents , 1989 .

[23]  P. Jobes Old timers and new mobile lifestyles , 1984 .

[24]  Stanley K. Smith,et al.  Temporary migration: a case study of Florida , 2007 .

[25]  David Truly International retirement migration and tourism along the Lake Chapala Riviera: Developing a matrix of retirement migration behaviour , 2002 .

[26]  S. Happel,et al.  Multiple Residence and Cyclical Migration: A Life Course Perspective* , 1995, The Professional Geographer.

[27]  H. Martin,et al.  Texas Snowbirds , 1987, Research on aging.

[28]  H. Kingma,et al.  Seasonal migration of retired persons: estimating its extent and its implications for the State of Florida. , 1989 .