A Simulation Based Aid for Complex Dynamic Decision Making

Modern organisations are large complex systems operating in an increasingly dynamic environment and are tasked to meet its goals by adopting suitable courses of action. Deciding an appropriate course of action calls for deep understanding of various aspects of organisation such as its goals, structure, business-as-usual operational processes and business dynamics. The state-of-practice of decision-making that relies heavily on human experts is often reported as ineffective, imprecise and lacking in agility. Dissertation presented in this paper aims to develop a suitable aid that will assist decision makers to arrive at effective decision with increased rigour, precision and agility for complex dynamic decisionmaking activities.

[1]  Jan Pries-Heje,et al.  Strategies for Design Science Research Evaluation , 2008, ECIS.

[2]  Markus Strohmaier,et al.  Exploring Intentional Modeling and Analysis for Enterprise Architecture , 2006, 2006 10th IEEE International Enterprise Distributed Object Computing Conference Workshops (EDOCW'06).

[3]  Vinay Kulkarni,et al.  Enterprise Modeling as a Decision Making Aid: A Systematic Mapping Study , 2016, PoEM.

[4]  Vinay Kulkarni,et al.  A Simulation-based Aid for Organisational Decision-making , 2016, ICSOFT-PT.

[5]  Gul A. Agha,et al.  ACTORS - a model of concurrent computation in distributed systems , 1985, MIT Press series in artificial intelligence.

[6]  John A. Zachman,et al.  A Framework for Information Systems Architecture , 1987, IBM Syst. J..

[7]  Henry Mintzberg,et al.  The Structure of "Unstructured" Decision Processes , 1976 .

[8]  Kai Petersen,et al.  Systematic Mapping Studies in Software Engineering , 2008, EASE.

[9]  David W. Conrath,et al.  Organizational Decision Making Behavior Under Varying Conditions of Uncertainty , 1967 .

[10]  Carlos A. Varela,et al.  Programming dynamically reconfigurable open systems with SALSA , 2001, SIGP.

[11]  Ludovic Henrio,et al.  Behavioural models for distributed Fractal components , 2009, Ann. des Télécommunications.

[12]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Before you make that big decision... , 2011, Harvard business review.

[13]  Martin Bichler,et al.  Design science in information systems research , 2006, Wirtschaftsinf..

[14]  Petra Wächter.  Thinking in systems – a primer , 2011 .

[15]  Vincent Chevrier,et al.  Combining DEVS with multi-agent concepts to design and simulate multi-models of complex systems (WIP) , 2015, SpringSim.

[16]  Stephen A. White,et al.  BPMN modeling and reference guide : understanding and using BPMN : develop rigorous yet understandable graphical representations of business processes , 2008 .

[17]  Tom McDermott,et al.  Multi-level Modeling of Complex Socio-Technical Systems , 2013, CSER.

[18]  Jessie Dedecker,et al.  AmbientTalk: Object-oriented Event-driven Programming in Mobile Ad hoc Networks , 2007, XXVI International Conference of the Chilean Society of Computer Science (SCCC'07).

[19]  Richard L. Daft,et al.  Organization Theory and Design , 1983 .

[20]  Vinay Kulkarni,et al.  A Wide-Spectrum Approach to Modelling and Analysis of Organisation for Machine-Assisted Decision-Making , 2015, EOMAS@CAiSE.

[21]  Martin Odersky,et al.  Scala Actors: Unifying thread-based and event-based programming , 2009, Theor. Comput. Sci..

[22]  Edwin A. Locke,et al.  Handbook of principles of organizational behavior : indispensable knowledge for evidence-based management , 2012 .

[23]  Elias G. Carayannis,et al.  Real Options and Strategic Technology Venturing , 2013 .

[24]  Jamie Allen.  Effective Akka , 2013 .

[25]  Andrei. Borshchev,et al.  The Big Book of Simulation Modeling: Multimethod Modeling with Anylogic 6 , 2013 .

[26]  Alan Mycroft,et al.  Kilim: Isolation-Typed Actors for Java , 2008, ECOOP.

[27]  Laurent Ciarletta,et al.  Agents and artefacts for multiple models co-evolution: building complex system simulation as a set of interacting models , 2010, AAMAS.

[28]  Diana Wright,et al.  Thinking in systems: a primer , 2012 .

[29]  Craig C. Lundberg,et al.  Organizational Decision Making. , 1968 .

[30]  M. Shubik,et al.  A Behavioral Theory of the Firm. , 1964 .

[31]  Vinay Kulkarni,et al.  Toward overcoming accidental complexity in organisational decision-making , 2015, 2015 ACM/IEEE 18th International Conference on Model Driven Engineering Languages and Systems (MODELS).

[32]  Vinay Kulkarni,et al.  Using simulation to address intrinsic complexity in multi-modelling of enterprises for decision making , 2015, SummerSim.