Scenario techniques for energy and environmental research: An overview of recent developments to broaden the capacity to deal with complexity and uncertainty
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] D. Finegold. Book and Resource Reviews , 2005 .
[2] Elmar Kriegler,et al. Improving environmental change research with systematic techniques for qualitative scenarios , 2012 .
[3] D. Kahan,et al. Cultural Cognition and Public Policy , 2005 .
[4] Keywan Riahi,et al. A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions , 2014, Climatic Change.
[5] Jan H. Kwakkel,et al. Improving scenario discovery for handling heterogeneous uncertainties and multinomial classified outcomes , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[6] E. Pestel,et al. Beyond the Limits to Growth: A Report to the Club of Rome , 1989 .
[7] Stewart J. Cohen,et al. Making local futures tangible - synthesizing, downscaling, and visualizing climate change scenarios for participatory capacity building. , 2009 .
[8] B. Li,et al. Modelling to generate alternatives with an energy system optimization model , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[9] Thomas Henrichs,et al. Linking scenarios across geographical scales in international environmental assessments , 2007 .
[10] Dan M. Kahan,et al. Cultural Cognition as a Conception of the Cultural Theory of Risk , 2008 .
[11] Leo Schrattenholzer,et al. The Energy Supply Model MESSAGE , 1981 .
[12] Benjamin P. Bryant,et al. Thinking Inside the Box , 2010 .
[13] Hannah Kosow,et al. Context scenarios and their usage for the construction of socio-technical energy scenarios , 2016 .
[14] Joseph R. Kasprzyk,et al. Incorporating deeply uncertain factors into the many objective search process , 2017, Environ. Model. Softw..
[15] Alexei G. Sankovski,et al. Special report on emissions scenarios : a special report of Working group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2000 .
[16] P. Reed,et al. Beyond optimality: Multistakeholder robustness tradeoffs for regional water portfolio planning under deep uncertainty , 2014 .
[17] Erik Pruyt,et al. Scenario generation using adaptive sampling: The case of resource scarcity , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[18] Jan Rotmans,et al. Patterns in transitions: Understanding complex chains of change , 2011 .
[19] J. Eom,et al. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview , 2017 .
[20] J. Hidalgo,et al. Combining narratives and modelling approaches to simulate fine scale and long-term urban growth scenarios for climate adaptation , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[21] Carlo Giupponi,et al. Innovative approaches to integrated global change modelling , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..
[22] Joseph H. A. Guillaume,et al. An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together? , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[23] Danny Pudjianto,et al. Linking a storyline with multiple models: A cross-scale study of the UK power system transition , 2014 .
[24] Herman Kahn. On Thermonuclear War , 1960 .
[25] David G. Groves,et al. A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios , 2006, Manag. Sci..
[26] Joost Vervoort,et al. Choosing diverse sets of plausible scenarios in multidimensional exploratory futures techniques , 2016 .
[27] Samiran Nundy,et al. Thinking the unthinkable! , 2002, BMJ : British Medical Journal.
[28] R. J. Swarta,et al. The problem of the future : sustainability science and scenario analysis , 2004 .
[29] Per Wikman-Svahn,et al. Choosing small sets of policy-relevant scenarios by combining vulnerability and diversity approaches , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[30] R. B.,et al. The United Nations , 1947, Nature.
[31] George Wright,et al. Scenario methodology: New developments in theory and practice: Introduction to the Special Issue , 2013 .
[32] H. Velthuizen,et al. Integrated analysis of climate change, land-use, energy and water strategies , 2013 .
[33] Jude Herijadi Kurniawan,et al. Systematically linking qualitative elements of scenarios across levels, scales, and sectors , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[34] J. Alcamo. Environmental futures : the practice of environmental scenario analysis , 2008 .
[35] Evelina Trutnevyte,et al. Does cost optimization approximate the real-world energy transition? , 2016 .
[36] Neil Strachan,et al. An integrated systematic analysis of uncertainties in UK energy transition pathways , 2015 .
[37] John Robinson,et al. The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis , 2004 .
[38] Pierre Wack,et al. Scenarios : Uncharted Waters Ahead , 1996 .
[39] P. Crutzen. Geology of mankind , 2002, Nature.
[40] Stephen C Peiper,et al. The Future Is Today. , 2018, Genetic Testing and Molecular Biomarkers.
[41] Céline Guivarch,et al. The diversity of socio-economic pathways and CO2 emissions scenarios: Insights from the investigation of a scenarios database , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[42] Dolf Gielen,et al. Considering the energy, water and food nexus: Towards an integrated modelling approach , 2011 .
[43] John Robinson,et al. Envisioning sustainability: Recent progress in the use of participatory backcasting approaches for sustainability research , 2011 .
[44] B. Klein. The Limits to Growth: A Report for the Club of Rome , 1975 .
[45] Neil Strachan,et al. Reinvigorating the scenario technique to expand uncertainty consideration , 2016, Climatic Change.
[46] Céline Guivarch,et al. Global sensitivity analysis of an energy-economy model of the residential building sector , 2015, Environ. Model. Softw..
[47] Joost Vervoort,et al. Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[48] Ana Deletic,et al. Many roads to Rome: The emergence of pathways from patterns of change through exploratory modelling of sustainability transitions , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[49] Joseph R. Kasprzyk,et al. Many objective robust decision making for complex environmental systems undergoing change , 2012, Environ. Model. Softw..
[50] David W. Keith,et al. Improving the way we think about projecting future energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide , 2008 .
[51] Laurent Drouet,et al. Climate policy under socio-economic scenario uncertainty , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[52] Kirsten Halsnæs,et al. The development and climate nexus: the case of sub-Saharan Africa , 2003 .
[53] Mark E. Borsuk,et al. Methods for translating narrative scenarios into quantitative assessments of land use change , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[54] Andrea Emilio Rizzoli,et al. Thematic Issue on the Future of Integrated Modeling Science and Technology , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..
[55] Marjolein B.A. van Asselt,et al. Practising the scenario-axes technique , 2006 .
[56] Keywan Riahi,et al. A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways , 2013, Climatic Change.
[57] Evelina Trutnevyte,et al. Ensuring diversity of national energy scenarios: Bottom-up energy system model with Modeling to Generate Alternatives , 2017 .
[58] Daniel Spreng,et al. Clean cooking fuels and technologies in developing economies , 2011 .
[59] Olaf Tietje,et al. Identification of a small reliable and efficient set of consistent scenarios , 2005, Eur. J. Oper. Res..
[60] Emanuele Borgonovo,et al. Sensitivity of projected long-term CO2 emissions across the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways , 2017 .
[61] Joseph H. A. Guillaume,et al. Robust discrimination between uncertain management alternatives by iterative reflection on crossover point scenarios: Principles, design and implementations , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..
[62] Wolfgang Weimer-Jehle,et al. Cross-impact balances: A system-theoretical approach to cross-impact analysis , 2006 .
[63] J. Alcamo,et al. Scenarios as Tools for International Environmental Assessments , 2002 .
[64] H. Kahn,et al. The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years, , 1967 .
[65] M. G. Morgan. Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy , 2014, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.