Return period maps of dry spells for Catalonia (northeastern Spain) based on the Weibull distribution / Périodes de retour des périodes sèches en Catalogne (nord-est de l'Espagne) à partir de la distribution de Weibull

Abstract A detailed description of the spatial distribution of dry spell lengths in Catalonia (northeastern Spain) for the years 1950–2000 is obtained from a statistical analysis. The database is derived from the daily records of 75 raingauges, and a dry spell is defined as a set of consecutive days with daily rainfall amounts below thresholds of 0.1, 1.0, 5.0 and 10.0 mm/d. The Weibull model fits the distribution of dry spell lengths well, whatever the raingauge and threshold. The Weibull parameters estimated by L-moments and the L-skewness—kurtosis diagrams allow quantification of the goodness of fit between the model and the empirical distribution. Dry spell lengths for return periods of 2, 5, 10, 25 and 50 years indicate the areas where drought phenomena might be more severe, as well as how often they might occur. A regional homogeneity method is used to test whether a single set of Weibull parameters could describe the series of dry spells for the whole region.

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