The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence

[1]  A. Tversky,et al.  Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. , 1994 .

[2]  Nick Chater,et al.  A rational analysis of the selection task as optimal data selection. , 1994 .

[3]  Claudia González-Vallejo,et al.  Statement Verification: A Stochastic Model of Judgment and Response. , 1994 .

[4]  N. Roese.  The Functional Basis of Counterfactual Thinking , 1994 .

[5]  T. Connolly.  Decision Making and Leadership , 1994 .

[6]  L. Cosmides,et al.  Beyond intuition and instinct blindness: toward an evolutionarily rigorous cognitive science , 1994, Cognition.

[7]  Itzhak Gilboa,et al.  Additive representations of non-additive measures and the choquet integral , 1994, Ann. Oper. Res..

[8]  Hayes,et al.  Review of particle properties. , 1978, Physical review. D, Particles and fields.

[9]  P. Mongin.  Some connections between epistemic logic and the theory of nonadditive probability , 1994 .

[10]  Norbert Schwarz,et al.  Judgment in a Social Context: Biases, Shortcomings, and the Logic of Conversation , 1994 .

[11]  Richard Pipes,et al.  Russia under the Bolshevik Regime , 1994 .

[12]  Robert L. Winkler,et al.  Evaluating and Combining Physicians' Probabilities of Survival in an Intensive Care Unit , 1993 .

[13]  M. Bar-Hillel,et al.  How alike is it versus how likely is it: A disjunction fallacy in probability judgments. , 1993 .

[14]  Richard P. Larrick,et al.  Who uses the cost-benefit rules of choice? implications for the normative status of microeconomic theory , 1993 .

[15]  R. Dawes,et al.  Equating Inverse Probabilities in Implicit Personality Judgments , 1993 .

[16]  D. Kahneman,et al.  When More Pain Is Preferred to Less: Adding a Better End , 1993 .

[17]  J. Krueger,et al.  Social categorization and the truly false consensus effect. , 1993 .

[18]  Eldar Shafir,et al.  Reason-based choice , 1993, Cognition.

[19]  D. Gentner,et al.  Structural Alignment during Similarity Comparisons , 1993, Cognitive Psychology.

[20]  J. Haidt,et al.  Affect, culture, and morality, or is it wrong to eat your dog? , 1993, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[21]  T. Modis,et al.  Experts in uncertainty , 1993 .

[22]  David M. Messick,et al.  Equality as a decision heuristic. , 1993 .

[23]  Ahti Salo,et al.  Forecasting with scenarios , 1993 .

[24]  Lynn A. Baker,et al.  When every relationship is above average , 1993 .

[25]  D. Laitin.  The Game Theory of Language Regimes , 1993 .

[26]  Amos Tversky,et al.  On the evaluation of probability judgments : calibration, resolution, and monotonicity , 1993 .

[27]  N. Weinstein.  Testing four competing theories of health-protective behavior. , 1993, Health psychology : official journal of the Division of Health Psychology, American Psychological Association.

[28]  Eldar Shafir,et al.  Choosing versus rejecting: Why some options are both better and worse than others , 1993, Memory & cognition.

[29]  J. Cacioppo,et al.  Rudimentary determinants of attitudes. II: Arm flexion and extension have differential effects on attitudes. , 1993, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[30]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Duration neglect in retrospective evaluations of affective episodes. , 1993, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[31]  J. Townsend,et al.  Decision field theory: a dynamic-cognitive approach to decision making in an uncertain environment. , 1993, Psychological review.

[32]  Abhijit Biswas,et al.  Consumer perceptions of tensile price claims in advertisements: An assessment of claim types across different discount levels , 1993 .

[33]  Robert Sugden,et al.  Testing for juxtaposition and event-splitting effects , 1993 .

[34]  Timothy D. Wilson,et al.  Introspecting about Reasons can Reduce Post-Choice Satisfaction , 1993 .

[35]  Robert S. Lockhart,et al.  Distributional versus singular approaches to probability and errors in probabilistic reasoning , 1993 .

[36]  D. Krull,et al.  Does the Grist Change the Mill? The Effect of the Perceiver's Inferential Goal on the Process of Social Inference , 1993 .

[37]  Vicki G. Morwitz,et al.  Does Measuring Intent Change Behavior , 1993 .

[38]  Jonathan Evans,et al.  Human Reasoning: The Psychology Of Deduction , 1993 .

[39]  Josef Lakonishok,et al.  Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk , 1993 .

[40]  G. Wells,et al.  What do we know about eyewitness identification? , 1993, The American psychologist.

[41]  P. Ellsworth,et al.  Beyond simple pessimism: effects of sadness and anger on social perception. , 1993, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[42]  D. Frisch.  Reasons for framing effects. , 1993 .

[43]  S. Sloman.  Feature-Based Induction , 1993, Cognitive Psychology.

[44]  D. Gentner,et al.  Respects for similarity , 1993 .

[45]  P. Schoemaker.  MULTIPLE SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT: ITS CONCEPTUAL AND BEHAVIORAL FOUNDATION , 1993 .

[46]  Christopher G. Davis,et al.  Positive and Negative Life Changes Following Bereavement and their Relations to Adjustment , 1993 .

[47]  K. Craik,et al.  Is There a Citation Bias in the Judgment and Decision Literature , 1993 .

[48]  Duane T. Wegener,et al.  Flexible Correction Processes in Social Judgment: Correcting for Context-Induced Contrast , 1993 .

[49]  P. Rozin,et al.  Now you see it, now you don't: The preschool child's conception of invisible particles in the context of dissolving. , 1993 .

[50]  T. Au,et al.  Developing an intuitive understanding of conservation and contamination: invisible particles as a plausible mechanism , 1993 .

[51]  Richard A. Griggs,et al.  Another look at Linda , 1993 .

[52]  B. Keysar.  Common sense and adult theory of communication , 1993, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[53]  R. Wyer,et al.  Mood as Input: People Have to Interpret the Motivational Implications of Their Moods Moods and Processing , 2022 .

[54]  Paul J. H. Schoemaker,et al.  Thinking about the future: A cognitive perspective , 1993 .

[55]  Rami Zwick,et al.  Comparing the calibration and coherence of numerical and verbal probability judgments , 1993 .

[56]  F. Strack,et al.  Proprioceptive Determinants of Emotional and Nonemotional Feelings , 1993 .

[57]  Dacher Kehner,et al.  The Influence of Attributions on the Relevance of Negative Feelings to Personal Satisfaction , 1993 .

[58]  D. Klahr,et al.  Heuristics for Scientific Experimentation: A Developmental Study , 1993, Cognitive Psychology.

[59]  Jennifer Francis,et al.  ANALYSTS DECISIONS AS PRODUCTS OF A MULTITASK ENVIRONMENT , 1993 .

[60]  Robert W. Rutledge,et al.  The effects of group decisions and group-shifts on use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic , 1993 .

[61]  S. Chaiken,et al.  The psychology of attitudes. , 1993 .

[62]  H Raiffa,et al.  Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices under Uncertainty. , 1969 .

[63]  Edward M. Saunders.  Stock Prices and Wall Street Weather , 1993 .

[64]  T. Sargent.  Bounded rationality in macroeconomics , 1993 .

[65]  Kevin J. Boyle,et al.  Measuring Natural Resource Damages with Contingent Valuation: Tests of Validity and Reliability , 1993 .

[66]  P. Gollwitzer.  Goal Achievement: The Role of Intentions , 1993 .

[67]  Emily S. Reber,et al.  Directional Questions Direct Self-Conceptions , 1993 .

[68]  K. Markman,et al.  The Mental Simulation of Better and Worse Possible Worlds , 1993 .

[69]  G. Vaillant.  The wisdom of the ego , 1993 .

[70]  Robert S. Wyer,et al.  The mental representation of trait and autobiographical knowledge about the self , 1993 .

[71]  John W. Payne,et al.  The adaptive decision maker: Name index , 1993 .

[72]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Timid choices and bold forecasts: a cognitive perspective on risk taking , 1993 .

[73]  P. Juslin,et al.  Realism of confidence in sensory discrimination: The underconfidence phenomenon , 1993, Perception & psychophysics.

[74]  A. Reber.  Implicit learning and tacit knowledge , 1993 .

[75]  William B. Helmreich.  Against All Odds: Holocaust Survivors and the Successful Lives They Made in America , 1993 .

[76]  R. Falk.  A closer look at the probabilities of the notorious three prisoners , 1992, Cognition.

[77]  Scott E. Stickel.  Reputation and Performance Among Security Analysts , 1992 .

[78]  Ian Begg,et al.  Dissociation of processes in belief: Source recollection, statement familiarity, and the illusion of truth , 1992 .

[79]  W. Kip Viscusi,et al.  Smoking: Making the Risky Decision , 1992 .

[80]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Correlations, Causes and Heuristics in Surveys of Life Satisfaction , 1991 .

[81]  T. W. Ross,et al.  Forward induction in coordination games , 1992 .

[82]  A. Tversky,et al.  Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty , 1992 .

[83]  Philip E. Tetlock,et al.  Good Judgment in International Politics: Three Psychological Perspectives , 1992 .

[84]  Shelley E. Taylor,et al.  Optimism, coping, psychological distress, and high-risk sexual behavior among men at risk for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). , 1992, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[85]  Jerome R. Busemeyer,et al.  Linking together different measures of preference: A dynamic model of matching derived from decision field theory , 1992 .

[86]  F. Strack,et al.  The Role of Bodily Sensations in the Evaluation of Social Events , 1992 .

[87]  Itamar Simonson,et al.  Deescalation Strategies: A Comparison of Techniques for Reducing Commitment to Losing Courses of Action , 1992 .

[88]  M Bobbio,et al.  Clinical Assessment of the Probability of Coronary Artery Disease , 1992, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[89]  Victor L. Bernard,et al.  Tests of Analysts' Overreaction/Underreaction to Earnings Information as an Explanation for Anomalous Stock Price Behavior , 1992 .

[90]  Daniel Kahneman,et al.  Predicting a changing taste: Do people know what they will like? , 1992 .

[91]  Ilan Yaniv,et al.  A case study of expert judgment: Economists' probabilities versus base-rate model forecasts , 1992 .

[92]  Robert H. Ashton,et al.  Effects of justification and a mechanical aid on judgment performance , 1992 .

[93]  Paul Rozin,et al.  Magical Contagion Beliefs and Fear of AIDS1 , 1992 .

[94]  A. Tesser,et al.  Task effort and the regulation of mood: The absorption hypothesis , 1992 .

[95]  John D. Mayer,et al.  Mood-congruent judgment is a general effect. , 1992 .

[96]  Jacob Cohen,et al.  A power primer. , 1992, Psychological bulletin.

[97]  J. A. Sniezek,et al.  Passion, Preference, and Predictability in Judgmental Forecasting , 1992 .

[98]  I. Simonson,et al.  THE INFLUENCE OF ANTICIPATING REGRET AND RESPONSIBILITY ON PURCHASE DECISIONS , 1992 .

[99]  Lewis O. Harvey,et al.  The Application of Signal Detection Theory to Weather Forecasting Behavior , 1992 .

[100]  David H. Krantz,et al.  Judging the strength of designated evidence , 1992 .

[101]  Itamar Simonson,et al.  The effect of accountability on susceptibility to decision errors , 1992 .

[102]  Ralph L. Keeney,et al.  Value-Focused Thinking: A Path to Creative Decisionmaking , 1992 .

[103]  Virginia M. Richards,et al.  Distributional theories of impression formation , 1992 .

[104]  A. H. Murphy,et al.  Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts , 1992 .

[105]  D. Kahneman.  Reference points, anchors, norms, and mixed feelings. , 1992 .

[106]  G. Loewenstein,et al.  Egocentric Interpretations of Fairness and Interpersonal Conflict , 1992 .

[107]  P. Rozin,et al.  Sympathetic Magical Beliefs and Kosher Dietary Practice: The Interaction of Rules and Feelings , 1992 .

[108]  A. Gopnik,et al.  Why the Child's Theory of Mind Really Is a Theory , 1992 .

[109]  J. Baron,et al.  Status-quo and omission biases , 1992 .

[110]  D. Gilbert,et al.  The Preoccupational Hazards of Social Life , 1992 .

[111]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Order effects in belief updating: The belief-adjustment model , 1992, Cognitive Psychology.

[112]  Raymond J. Kopp,et al.  Why Existence Value should be used in Cost‐Benefit Analysis , 1992 .

[113]  David M. Grether,et al.  Testing Bayes Rule and the Representativeness Heuristic: Some Experimental Evidence , 1992 .

[114]  G. Ainslie.  Picoeconomics: The Strategic Interaction of Successive Motivational States within the Person , 1992 .

[115]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Behavioral decision research: A constructive processing perspective. , 1992 .

[116]  P. Tetlock.  The Impact of Accountability on Judgment and Choice: Toward A Social Contingency Model , 1992 .

[117]  J. Yates.  Risk-taking behavior , 1992 .

[118]  Peter Ayton,et al.  On the Competence and Incompetence of Experts , 1992 .

[119]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  Characterizing Mental Models of Hazardous Processes: A Methodology and an Application to Radon , 1992 .

[120]  Norbert Schwarz,et al.  Constructing reality and its alternatives: an inclusion/ exclusion model of assimilation and contrast effects in social judgment , 1992 .

[121]  Daniel T. Gilbert,et al.  Blurry Words and Fuzzy Deeds The Attribution of Obscure Behavior , 1992 .

[122]  J. W. Richards,et al.  Brand logo recognition by children aged 3 to 6 years. Mickey Mouse and Old Joe the Camel. , 1991, JAMA.

[123]  W. Wagenaar,et al.  The perception of randomness , 1991 .

[124]  P Slovic,et al.  Perceived risk, stigma, and potential economic impacts of a high-level nuclear waste repository in Nevada. , 1991, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[125]  I. Ajzen.  The theory of planned behavior , 1991 .

[126]  H. Arkes.  Costs and benefits of judgment errors: Implications for debiasing. , 1991 .

[127]  Derek J. Koehler,et al.  Explanation, imagination, and confidence in judgment. , 1991, Psychological bulletin.

[128]  G. Gigerenzer,et al.  Probabilistic mental models: a Brunswikian theory of confidence. , 1991, Psychological review.

[129]  G. Keren.  Calibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues , 1991 .

[130]  L. Brooks,et al.  Role of specific similarity in a medical diagnostic task. , 1991, Journal of experimental psychology. General.

[131]  Joy G. Dryfoos,et al.  Adolescents at Risk: Prevalence and Prevention , 1991 .

[132]  Janet A. Sniezek,et al.  Judgment processes in motivation: Anchoring and adjustment effects on judgment and behavior. , 1991 .

[133]  Richard A. Block,et al.  Overconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis , 1991 .

[134]  Roy M. Poses,et al.  Availability, Wishful Thinking, and Physicians' Diagnostic Judgments for Patients with Suspected Bacteremia , 1991, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[135]  J P Ornato,et al.  Use of Clinical Judgment Analysis to Explain Regional Variations in Physicians' Accuracies in Diagnosing Pneumonia , 1991, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[136]  F. Strack,et al.  Ease of retrieval as information: Another look at the availability heuristic. , 1991 .

[137]  Shelley E. Taylor,et al.  Asymmetrical effects of positive and negative events: the mobilization-minimization hypothesis. , 1991, Psychological bulletin.

[138]  D. Schkade,et al.  Expectation-outcome consistency and hindsight bias , 1991 .

[139]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  What Risks Are People Concerned About , 1991 .

[140]  J. Frank Yates,et al.  Probabilistic forecasts of stock prices and earnings: The hazards of nascent expertise , 1991 .

[141]  Thomas Kida,et al.  Heuristics and biases: Expertise and task realism in auditing. , 1991 .

[142]  S. Tambiah,et al.  Magic, Science, Religion, and the Scope of Rationality , 1991 .

[143]  D. E. Over,et al.  Social roles and utilities in reasoning with deontic conditionals , 1991, Cognition.

[144]  R Rosenthal,et al.  Meta‐analysis: a review. , 1991, Psychosomatic medicine.

[145]  Daniel Kahneman,et al.  Judgment and Decision Making: A Personal View , 1991 .

[146]  Henry L. Tosi.  A Theory of Goal Setting and Task Performance , 1991 .

[147]  F. Agnoli.  Development of judgmental heuristics and logical reasoning: Training counteracts the representativeness heuristic , 1991 .

[148]  I. Begg,et al.  Repetition and the ring of truth: Biasing comments. , 1991 .

[149]  G. Gigerenzer.  From Tools to Theories: A Heuristic of Discovery in Cognitive Psychology. , 1991 .

[150]  Denis J. Hilton,et al.  Conversational Implicature, Conscious Representation, and the Conjunction Fallacy , 1991 .

[151]  Ira A. Noveck,et al.  Are conjunction rule violations the result of conversational rule violations? , 1991 .

[152]  L. Brooks,et al.  Specializing the operation of an explicit rule , 1991 .

[153]  Susan R. Fussell,et al.  Perspective-Taking in Communication: Representations of Others' Knowledge in Reference , 1991 .

[154]  Colin M. Macleod.  Half a century of research on the Stroop effect: an integrative review. , 1991, Psychological bulletin.

[155]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Anomalies: The Endowment Effect, Loss Aversion, and Status Quo Bias , 1991 .

[156]  Michael J. Doane,et al.  Consumer Rationality and the Status Quo , 1991 .

[157]  B. Whitley,et al.  Perceptions of Vulnerability to Pregnancy and the Use of Effective Contraception , 1991 .

[158]  Jay J.J. Christensen-Szalanski,et al.  The hindsight bias: A meta-analysis , 1991 .

[159]  Janet A. Sniezek,et al.  Influences on the appropriateness of confidence in judgment: Practice, effort, information, and decision-making , 1991 .

[160]  D. Gilbert.  How mental systems believe. , 1991 .

[161]  R. Jervis.  The Future of World Politics: Will It Resemble the Past? , 1991 .

[162]  S. Gould.  Bully for brontosaurus : reflections in natural history , 1991 .

[163]  Amos Tversky,et al.  Endowment and contrast in judgments of well-being. , 1991 .

[164]  Shelley E. Taylor,et al.  Social cognition, 2nd ed. , 1991 .

[165]  Colin Camerer.  Judgment and decision making, J. Frank Yates. Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, Prentice-Hall inc. 1990 , 1991 .

[166]  John P. Robinson,et al.  CHAPTER 3 – Measures of Subjective Well-Being , 1991 .

[167]  M. R. Leippe,et al.  The Psychology of Attitude Change and Social Influence , 1991 .

[168]  M. Bazerman,et al.  Cognition and Rationality in Negotiation , 1991 .

[169]  L. Ross,et al.  Subjective Construal, Social Inference, and Human Misunderstanding , 1991 .

[170]  R. Thaler.  Quasi Rational Economics , 1991 .

[171]  N. Schwarz,et al.  Mood and Persuasion: Affective States Influence the Processing of Persuasive Communications , 1991 .

[172]  David H. Krantz,et al.  From Indices to Mappings: The Representational Approach to Measurement , 1991 .

[173]  T. Gilovich,et al.  How We Know What Isn't So: The Fallibility of Human Reason in Everyday Life , 1991 .

[174]  P M Sandman,et al.  Perceived susceptibility and self-protective behavior: a field experiment to encourage home radon testing. , 1991, Health psychology : official journal of the Division of Health Psychology, American Psychological Association.

[175]  G. Gigerenzer.  How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases” , 1991 .

[176]  J. Baron,et al.  Omission and commission in judgment and choice , 1991 .

[177]  A. Tversky,et al.  Preference and belief: Ambiguity and competence in choice under uncertainty , 1991 .

[178]  T. Tyler.  Why People Obey the Law , 2021 .

[179]  A. Damasio,et al.  Individuals with sociopathic behavior caused by frontal damage fail to respond autonomically to social stimuli , 1990, Behavioural Brain Research.

[180]  J. Coleman.  Foundations of Social Theory , 1990 .

[181]  Dale T. Miller,et al.  Temporal order and the perceived mutability of events: implications for blame assignment , 1990 .

[182]  Jon A. Krosnick,et al.  Conversational conventions, order of information acquisition, and the effect of base rates and individuating information on social judgments. , 1990 .

[183]  David H. Krantz,et al.  The psychology of moderate prediction : I. Experience with multiple determination , 1990 .

[184]  H. Heckhausen,et al.  Deliberative and implemental mind-sets: Cognitive tuning toward congruous thoughts and information , 1990 .

[185]  P. Rozin,et al.  The Sympathetic Magical Law of Similarity, Nominal Realism and Neglect of Negatives in Response to Negative Labels , 1990 .

[186]  G. Mandler,et al.  Tests of Dual Process Theory: Word Priming and Recognition , 1990 .

[187]  Richard P. Larrick,et al.  Teaching the Use of Cost-Benefit Reasoning in Everyday Life , 1990 .

[188]  Z. Kunda,et al.  The case for motivated reasoning. , 1990, Psychological bulletin.

[189]  Geoffrey E. Hinton.  Mapping Part-Whole Hierarchies into Connectionist Networks , 1990, Artif. Intell..

[190]  Jerome R. Ravetz,et al.  Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy , 1990 .

[191]  Jonathan Baron,et al.  Behavioral Law and Economics: Reluctance to Vaccinate: Omission Bias and Ambiguity , 1990 .

[192]  Patrick S. Malone,et al.  Unbelieving the Unbelievable: Some problems in the rejection of false information , 1990 .

[193]  C. A. Boneau,et al.  Short-term recognition memory under rehearsal instructions and imaging instructions , 1990 .

[194]  G. Bodenhausen.  Stereotypes as Judgmental Heuristics: Evidence of Circadian Variations in Discrimination , 1990 .

[195]  Shelley E. Taylor,et al.  A Better World or a Shattered Vision? Changes in Life Perspectives Following Victimization , 1990 .

[196]  Janet A. Sniezek,et al.  The effect of choosing on confidence in choice , 1990 .

[197]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Propensities and counterfactuals: The loser that almost won , 1990 .

[198]  Charles M. Judd,et al.  Measures and models of perceived group variability. , 1990 .

[199]  H. Wellman.  The Child's Theory of Mind , 1990 .

[200]  David M. Messick,et al.  Social Decision Heuristics in the Use of Shared Resources , 1990 .

[201]  Leonard L. Martin,et al.  Assimilation and contrast as a function of people's willingness and ability to expend effort in forming an impression. , 1990 .

[202]  F. Strack,et al.  Mood and Persuasion , 1990 .

[203]  D. Share,et al.  Contamination Sensitivity in Young Children , 1990 .

[204]  R. Hastie,et al.  Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known. , 1990 .

[205]  H. Boothroyd.  Image Theory: Decision Making in Personal and Organizational Contexts. , 1990 .

[206]  Reid Hastie,et al.  Tracing the footsteps of Sherlock Holmes: Cognitive representations of hypothesis testing , 1990, Memory & cognition.

[207]  Edward E. Smith,et al.  Typicality and reasoning fallacies , 1990, Memory & cognition.

[208]  Stephen R. Sutton,et al.  The decision to wear a seat belt: The role of cognitive factors, fear and prior behaviour , 1990 .

[209]  L. Ross,et al.  The overconfidence effect in social prediction. , 1990, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[210]  L. Ross,et al.  Overconfident prediction of future actions and outcomes by self and others. , 1990, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[211]  P. Meehl.  Appraising and Amending Theories: The Strategy of Lakatosian Defense and Two Principles that Warrant It , 1990 .

[212]  Dale T. Miller,et al.  The counterfactual fallacy: Confusing what might have been with what ought to have been , 1990 .

[213]  R. Herrnstein.  Rational Choice Theory Necessary but Not Sufficient , 1990 .

[214]  C. Izard.  Facial expressions and the regulation of emotions. , 1990, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[215]  J. Mearsheimer.  Back to the Future: Instability in Europe After the Cold War , 1990 .

[216]  S. Stich.  The Fragmentation Of Reason , 1990 .

[217]  A. Tversky,et al.  The Causes of Preference Reversal , 1990 .

[218]  Colin Camerer.  Do Markets Correct Biases in Probability Judgment? Evidence from Market Experiments , 1990 .

[219]  Edward E. Smith,et al.  Category-Based Induction , 1990 .

[220]  Ranald R. Macdonald,et al.  More about linda or conjunctions in context , 1990 .

[221]  J. Bruner.  Acts of meaning , 1990 .

[222]  John W. Medcof,et al.  Peat: An Integrative Model of Attribution Processes , 1990 .

[223]  Steven L. Neuberg,et al.  A Continuum of Impression Formation, from Category-Based to Individuating Processes: Influences of Information and Motivation on Attention and Interpretation , 1990 .

[224]  Dale T. Miller,et al.  Counterfactual thinking and social perception : thinking about what might have been , 1990 .

[225]  J. A. Tanford.  The Law and Psychology of Jury Instructions , 1990 .

[226]  H. A. Taylor,et al.  The conjunction fallacy? , 1990, Memory & cognition.

[227]  James F. Wilson.  Bureaucracy: What Government Agencies Do and Why They Do It , 1990 .

[228]  W. Levelt,et al.  Speaking: From Intention to Articulation , 1990 .

[229]  S. Link,et al.  Bias in Quantifying Judgments , 1989 .

[230]  D. Dunning,et al.  Ambiguity and self-evaluation: the role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability , 1989 .

[231]  Daniel T. Gilbert,et al.  Thinking backward: some curable and incurable consequences of cognitive busyness , 1989 .

[232]  K. Holyoak,et al.  On the natural selection of reasoning theories , 1989, Cognition.

[233]  David E. Rumelhart,et al.  Toward a microstructural account of human reasoning , 1989 .

[234]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Cognitive processes in preference reversals , 1989 .

[235]  Franca Agnoli,et al.  Suppressing natural heuristics by formal instruction: The case of the conjunction fallacy , 1989, Cognitive Psychology.

[236]  P. Tetlock,et al.  Social and cognitive strategies for coping with accountability: conformity, complexity, and bolstering. , 1989, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[237]  S. E. Taylor,et al.  Social comparison activity under threat: downward evaluation and upward contacts. , 1989, Psychological review.

[238]  J. V. Wood,et al.  Theory and Research Concerning Social Comparisons of Personal Attributes , 1989 .

[239]  R. Bornstein.  Exposure and affect: Overview and meta-analysis of research, 1968–1987. , 1989 .

[240]  I. Simonson,et al.  Choice Based on Reasons: The Case of Attraction and Compromise Effects , 1989 .

[241]  L. Hendrickx,et al.  Relative importance of scenario information and frequency information in the judgment of risk , 1989 .

[242]  P. Tetlock,et al.  Accountability: a social magnifier of the dilution effect. , 1989, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[243]  F. Keil.  Concepts, Kinds, and Cognitive Development , 1989 .

[244]  William F. Wright,et al.  Effects of situation familiarity and financial incentives on use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic for probability assessment , 1989 .

[245]  B. Keysar.  On the functional equivalence of literal and metaphorical interpretations in discourse. , 1989 .

[246]  Ronald A. Howard,et al.  Knowledge Maps , 1989 .

[247]  P. Salovey,et al.  Perceived distributions of the characteristics of in-group and out-group members: empirical evidence and a computer simulation. , 1989, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[248]  Leila T. Worth,et al.  Processing deficits and the mediation of positive affect in persuasion. , 1989, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[249]  C. R. Snyder.  Reality Negotiation: From Excuses to Hope and Beyond , 1989 .

[250]  Shinsuke Shimojo,et al.  Intuitive reasoning about probability: Theoretical and experimental analyses of the “problem of three prisoners” , 1989, Cognition.

[251]  H. Markovits,et al.  Reasoning with contrary-to-fact propositions. , 1989, Journal of experimental child psychology.

[252]  R. C. Silver,et al.  The myths of coping with loss. , 1989, Journal of consulting and clinical psychology.

[253]  Susan R. Fussell,et al.  The effects of intended audience on message production and comprehension: Reference in a common ground framework , 1989 .

[254]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  Eliciting knowledge for analytical representation , 1989, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern..

[255]  I Rock,et al.  Regression to egocentrically determined description of form under conditions of inattention. , 1989, Journal of experimental psychology. Human perception and performance.

[256]  M. Ross.  Relation of Implicit Theories to the Construction of Personal Histories , 1989 .

[257]  L. Cosmides.  The logic of social exchange: Has natural selection shaped how humans reason? Studies with the Wason selection task , 1989, Cognition.

[258]  Paul Rozin,et al.  Operation of the sympathetic magical law of contagion in interpersonal attitudes among Americans , 1989 .

[259]  David L. Ronis,et al.  Probability judgment accuracy: China, Japan, and the United States , 1989 .

[260]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Bias in utility assessments: further evidence and explanations , 1989 .

[261]  R. Dawes,et al.  Heuristics and Biases: Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment , 2002 .

[262]  Daniel Cervone,et al.  Sequence Anchoring and Self-Efficacy: Primacy Effects in the Consideration of Possibilities , 1989 .

[263]  P. Rozin,et al.  “You Are What You Eat”: Applying the Demand‐Free “Impressions” Technique to an Unacknowledged Belief , 1989 .

[264]  Robert Cameron Mitchell,et al.  Using Surveys to Value Public Goods: The Contingent Valuation Method , 1989 .

[265]  G. Wells,et al.  Mental Simulation of Causality , 1989 .

[266]  R. C. Silver,et al.  Coming to terms with major negative life events. , 1989 .

[267]  R. Dawes.  Statistical criteria for establishing a truly false consensus effect , 1989 .

[268]  Daniel N. Osherson,et al.  An advantage model of choice , 1989 .

[269]  Timothy D. Wilson,et al.  Introspection, Attitude Change, and Attitude-Behavior Consistency: the Disruptive Effects of Explaining Why we Feel the Way we Do , 1989 .

[270]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  The Adaptive Decision-Maker : Effort and Accuracy in Choice , 2022 .

[271]  Stephen J. Hoch,et al.  Outcome feedback: hindsight and information , 1989 .

[272]  R. Zajonc,et al.  Facial efference and the experience of emotion. , 1989, Annual review of psychology.

[273]  S. Plous,et al.  Thinking the Unthinkable : The Effects of Anchoring on Likelihood Estimates of Nuclear Warl , 1989 .

[274]  Irwin P. Levin,et al.  Information framing effects in social and personal decisions , 1988 .

[275]  Daniel T. Gilbert,et al.  Journal of Personality and Social Psychology of Thoughts Unspoken Social Inference and the Self-regulation of Behavior , 2022 .

[276]  J. Edward Russo,et al.  An availability bias in professional judgment. , 1988 .

[277]  J. Innes,et al.  The public's view of the impact of the mass media: A test of the ‘third person’ effect , 1988 .

[278]  Norbert Schwarz,et al.  Priming and communication: Social determinants of information use in judgments of life satisfaction , 1988 .

[279]  G. Diamond,et al.  Physician perception of exercise electrocardiography as a prognostic test after acute myocardial infarction. , 1988, The American journal of cardiology.

[280]  K. Fiedler.  The dependence of the conjunction fallacy on subtle linguistic factors , 1988 .

[281]  Didier Dubois,et al.  Modelling uncertainty and inductive inference: A survey of recent non-additive probability systems , 1988 .

[282]  M. Fordyce,et al.  A review of research on the happiness measures: A sixty second index of happiness and mental health , 1988 .

[283]  Gerd Gigerenzer,et al.  Presentation and content: The use of base rates as a continuous variable. , 1988 .

[284]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Adaptive Strategy Selection in Decision Making. , 1988 .

[285]  J. L. Powell.  A Test of the Knew-It-All-Along Effect in the 1984 Presidential and Statewide Elections1 , 1988 .

[286]  A. Tversky,et al.  Contingent weighting in judgment and choice , 1988 .

[287]  C. R. Snyder,et al.  Excuses: their effective role in the negotiation of reality. , 1988, Psychological bulletin.

[288]  Andrew Ortony,et al.  The Cognitive Structure of Emotions , 1988 .

[289]  Jeffrey A. Frankel,et al.  Forward Discount Bias: Is it an Exchange Risk Premium? , 1988 .

[290]  Sandy K. Wurtele,et al.  Increasing Women's Calcium Intake: The Role of Health Beliefs, Intentions, and Health Value1 , 1988 .

[291]  R. Thaler,et al.  Anomalies Parimutuel Betting Markets: Racetracks and Lotteries , 1988 .

[292]  D. Gilbert,et al.  On cognitive busyness: When person perceivers meet persons perceived. , 1988 .

[293]  David Faust,et al.  Eliminating the hindsight bias. , 1988 .

[294]  G. Keren,et al.  On the ability of monitoring non-veridical perceptions and uncertain knowledge: some calibration studies. , 1988, Acta psychologica.

[295]  J Baron,et al.  Confirmation and Matching Biases in Hypothesis Testing , 1988, The Quarterly journal of experimental psychology. A, Human experimental psychology.

[296]  J. Fodor,et al.  Connectionism and cognitive architecture: A critical analysis , 1988, Cognition.

[297]  Carolyn Y. Woo,et al.  Entrepreneurs' perceived chances for success , 1988 .

[298]  Elizabeth Weldon,et al.  Cognitive Loafing , 1988, Personality & social psychology bulletin.

[299]  William Samuelson,et al.  Status quo bias in decision making , 1988 .

[300]  Shelley E. Taylor,et al.  Illusion and well-being: a social psychological perspective on mental health. , 1988, Psychological bulletin.

[301]  G. Loomes.  Further Evidence of the Impact of Regret and Disappointment in Choice under Uncertainty , 1988 .

[302]  R. Descartes,et al.  Descartes: Selected Philosophical Writings: Principles of Philosophy , 1988 .

[303]  J. Kagan,et al.  Rational choice in an uncertain world , 1988 .

[304]  P. Gärdenfors,et al.  Decision, Probability, and Utility , 1988 .

[305]  S. Rachman,et al.  The overprediction of fear , 1988 .

[306]  Dane K. Peterson,et al.  Confidence, uncertainty, and the use of information , 1988 .

[307]  Peter Salovey,et al.  Mood and memory: Evaluating the network theory of affect , 1988 .

[308]  C. Steele.  The Psychology of Self-Affirmation: Sustaining the Integrity of the Self , 1988 .

[309]  D. Olson,et al.  Developing theories of mind , 1988 .

[310]  Charles S. Carver,et al.  A Model of Behavioral Self-Regulation: Translating Intention into Action , 1988 .

[311]  M. Brewer.  A dual process model of impression formation. , 1988 .

[312]  Nicholas Rescher,et al.  Rationality: A Philosophical Inquiry into the Nature and the Rationale of Reason , 1988 .

[313]  Eva Kahana,et al.  Coping with Extreme Trauma , 1988 .

[314]  S. Rachman,et al.  Experimental analyses of panic--III. Claustrophobic subjects. , 1988, Behaviour research and therapy.

[315]  M. Frank,et al.  The dark side of self- and social perception: black uniforms and aggression in professional sports. , 1988, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[316]  D. Hilton,et al.  Base Rates, Representativeness, and the Logic of Conversation: The Contextual Relevance of “Irrelevant” Information , 1991 .

[317]  M. Resnik.  Choices: An Introduction to Decision Theory , 1990 .

[318]  M. Bazerman,et al.  Divergent Expectations as a Cause of Disagreement in Bargaining: Evidence from a Comparison of Arbitration Schemes." , 1989 .

[319]  G. Logan.  Toward an instance theory of automatization. , 1988 .

[320]  R. Sugden,et al.  Testing for Regret and Disappointment in Choice under Uncertainty , 1987 .

[321]  Lee Roy Beach,et al.  Image theory: Principles, goals, and plans in decision making , 1987 .

[322]  J. Landman.  Regret and Elation Following Action and Inaction , 1987 .

[323]  J. Eiser,et al.  COMPARATIVE JUDGMENTS AND PREFERENCES : THE INFLUENCE OF THE NUMBER OF RESPONSE ALTERNATIVES , 1987 .

[324]  Timothy O'Riordan,et al.  Valuing Environmental Goods: An Assessment of the Contingent Valuation Method , 1987 .

[325]  John B. Pryor,et al.  Use of the availability heuristic in probability estimates of future events: The effects of imagining outcomes versus imagining reasons , 1987 .

[326]  Z. Kunda,et al.  Motivated inference: Self-serving generation and evaluation of causal theories. , 1987 .

[327]  J. M. Nuttin.  Affective consequences of mere ownership: The name letter effect in twelve European languages , 1987 .

[328]  David L. Ronis,et al.  Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method. , 1987 .

[329]  A. Leslie.  Pretense and representation: The origins of "theory of mind." , 1987 .

[330]  G. Loewenstein.  Anticipation and the Valuation of Delayed Consumption , 1987 .

[331]  R. Thaler,et al.  Further Evidence On Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality , 1987 .

[332]  B. R. Schlenker,et al.  The Self and social life , 1987 .

[333]  G. Bower,et al.  Mood effects on person-perception judgments. , 1987, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[334]  H. Wimmer,et al.  Three-year-olds' difficulty with false belief: The case for a conceptual deficit , 1987 .

[335]  J. Nye.  Nuclear learning and U.S.–Soviet security regimes , 1987, International Organization.

[336]  Anthony G. Greenwald,et al.  Increasing voting behavior by asking people if they expect to vote. , 1987 .

[337]  P. Slovic.  Perception of risk. , 1987, Science.

[338]  F. Schick.  Rationality: A Third Dimension , 1987, Economics and Philosophy.

[339]  R. Sugden,et al.  Some implications of a more general form of regret theory , 1987 .

[340]  D. Olson,et al.  Language, Literacy, and Mental States. , 1987 .

[341]  H. J. Einhorn,et al.  Expression theory and the preference reversal phenomena. , 1987 .

[342]  V. Schoenbach,et al.  Appraising health risk appraisal. , 1987, American journal of public health.

[343]  John Jonides,et al.  Estimating frequency of occurrence. , 1987 .

[344]  J. Klayman,et al.  Confirmation, Disconfirmation, and Informa-tion in Hypothesis Testing , 1987 .

[345]  R. Kessler,et al.  Perceived Risk of AIDS: Assessing the Behavioral and Psychosocial Consequences in a Cohort of Gay Men1 , 1987 .

[346]  H. H. Clark,et al.  References in Conversation Between Experts and Novices , 1987 .

[347]  Gideon Keren,et al.  Facing uncertainty in the game of bridge: A calibration study , 1987 .

[348]  G. Northcraft,et al.  Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring-and-adjustment perspective on property pricing decisions , 1987 .

[349]  R. C. Silver,et al.  Coping with irrevocable loss. , 1987 .

[350]  T. Wills.  Downward Comparison as a Coping Mechanism , 1987 .

[351]  Norbert Schwarz,et al.  Soccer, rooms, and the quality of your life: Mood effects on judgments of satisfaction with life in general and with specific domains , 1987 .

[352]  A. Isen,et al.  Positive affect, cognitive processes, and social behavior. , 1987 .

[353]  Mark L. Johnson.  The body in the mind: the bodily basis of meaning , 1987 .

[354]  R. Wyer,et al.  Social cognition and social reality: Information acquisition and use in the laboratory and the real world , 1987 .

[355]  N. Schwarz.  Stimmung als Information , 1987 .

[356]  A. Fallon,et al.  A perspective on disgust. , 1987, Psychological review.

[357]  I. Borg.  The effect of mood on different types of well-being judgments. , 1987, Archiv fur Psychologie.

[358]  D. Funder,et al.  Errors and mistakes: evaluating the accuracy of social judgment. , 1987, Psychological bulletin.

[359]  Ernest R. May,et al.  Thinking in Time: The Uses of History for Decision-Makers by Richard E. Neustadt, Ernest R. May (review) , 1987, Technology and Culture.

[360]  Dale T. Miller,et al.  Counterfactual Thinking and Victim Compensation , 1986 .

[361]  C. Lay,et al.  At last, my research article on procrastination. , 1986 .

[362]  N. Cantor,et al.  Defensive pessimism: harnessing anxiety as motivation. , 1986, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[363]  R. Keeney,et al.  Improving risk communication. , 1986, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[364]  Willis F. Overton,et al.  Reasoning about certainty and uncertainty in concrete, causal, and propositional contexts. , 1986 .

[365]  N. M. Morris,et al.  On Looking into the Black Box: Prospects and Limits in the Search for Mental Models , 1986 .

[366]  T. Osberg,et al.  Self-Prediction: Exploring the Parameters of Accuracy , 1986 .

[367]  R. Abrams,et al.  Psychological sources of ambiguity avoidance , 1986 .

[368]  Douglas L. Hintzman,et al.  "Schema Abstraction" in a Multiple-Trace Memory Model , 1986 .

[369]  I. Ajzen,et al.  Prediction of goal directed behaviour: Attitudes, intentions and perceived behavioural control , 1986 .

[370]  L. L. Martin,et al.  Set/reset: use and disuse of concepts in impression formation. , 1986, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[371]  Y. Trope.  Identification and Inferential Processes in Dispositional Attribution. , 1986 .

[372]  L. R. Goldberg,et al.  Category breadth and hierarchical structure in personality: studies of asymmetries in judgments of trait implications. , 1986, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[373]  D. Krantz,et al.  The effects of statistical training on thinking about everyday problems , 1986, Cognitive Psychology.

[374]  Stephen J. Hoch,et al.  An Anchoring and Adjustment Model of Spousal Predictions , 1986 .

[375]  W A Wagenaar,et al.  Does the expert know? The reliability of predictions and confidence ratings of experts , 1986 .

[376]  John A. Bargh,et al.  The additive nature of chronic and temporary sources of construct accessibility. , 1986 .

[377]  K. Fiedler,et al.  Mood and memory for tightly organized social information , 1986 .

[378]  A. Fallon,et al.  The Child's Conception of Food: The Development of Categories of Acceptable and Rejected Substances , 1986 .

[379]  Paul Rozin,et al.  Operation of the laws of sympathetic magic in disgust and other domains. , 1986 .

[380]  J. Flavell.  The development of children's knowledge about the appearance-reality distinction. , 1986, The American psychologist.

[381]  Dale T. Miller,et al.  Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives , 1986 .

[382]  A. Greenwald,et al.  Under what conditions does theory obstruct research progress? , 1986, Psychological review.

[383]  T. O. Nelson,et al.  A comparison of three predictors of an individual's memory performance: the individual's feeling of knowing versus the normative feeling of knowing versus base-rate item difficulty. , 1986, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.

[384]  R. Skov,et al.  Information-gathering processes: Diagnosticity, hypothesis-confirmatory strategies, and perceived hypothesis confirmation. , 1986 .

[385]  L. Perloff,et al.  Self–other judgments and perceived vulnerability to victimization. , 1986 .

[386]  Joel T. Johnson.  The Knowledge of What Might have Been , 1986 .

[387]  D. Cervone,et al.  Anchoring, Efficacy and Action: The Influence of Judgmental Heuristics on Self-Efficacy Judgments a , 1986 .

[388]  J. Keller.  The Probability of Heads , 1986 .

[389]  P. H. Blaney.  Affect and memory: a review. , 1986, Psychological bulletin.

[390]  J A Swets,et al.  Form of empirical ROCs in discrimination and diagnostic tasks: implications for theory and measurement of performance. , 1986, Psychological bulletin.

[391]  C. Gettys,et al.  Plausibility assessments in hypothesis generation , 1986 .

[392]  L. Jonathan Cohen,et al.  The Dialogue Of Reason , 1986 .

[393]  D. Hilton,et al.  Knowledge-Based Causal Attribution: The Abnormal Conditions Focus Model , 1986 .

[394]  Carol S. Dweck,et al.  Motivational processes affecting learning. , 1986 .

[395]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Judging probable cause. , 1986 .

[396]  Berndt Brehmer,et al.  New directions in research on decision making , 1986 .

[397]  Baruch Nevo.  Scientific aspects of graphology : a handbook , 1986 .

[398]  P. Meehl.  Causes and effects of my disturbing little book. , 1986, Journal of personality assessment.

[399]  H. Genant,et al.  Assessment of radiologic progression in rheumatoid arthritis. A randomized, controlled trial. , 1986, Arthritis and rheumatism.

[400]  John T. Cacioppo,et al.  The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion , 1986, Advances in Experimental Social Psychology.

[401]  C. Carver,et al.  Optimism, coping, and health: assessment and implications of generalized outcome expectancies. , 2009, Health psychology : official journal of the Division of Health Psychology, American Psychological Association.

[402]  Glenn Shafer,et al.  Languages and Designs for Probability Judgment , 1990, Cogn. Sci..

[403]  Willem A. Wagenaar,et al.  Calibration of probability assessments by professional blackjack dealers, statistical experts, and lay people , 1985 .

[404]  Steven C. Predmore,et al.  Intimates as agents of social support: sources of consolation or despair? , 1985, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[405]  S. Carlson.  A double-blind test of astrology , 1985, Nature.

[406]  A. Fallon,et al.  The Child's Conception of Food: The Development of Contamination Sensitivity to "Disgusting" Substances. , 1985 .

[407]  J. V. Wood,et al.  Social comparison in adjustment to breast cancer. , 1985, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[408]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Ambiguity and Uncertainty in Probabilistic Inference. , 1985 .

[409]  Stephen J. Hoch,et al.  Counterfactual reasoning and accuracy in predicting personal events. , 1985 .

[410]  Yaacov Schul,et al.  When discounting fails: Conditions under which individuals use discredited information in making a judgment. , 1985 .

[411]  P. Schoemaker,et al.  Probability Versus Certainty Equivalence Methods in Utility Measurement: Are they Equivalent? , 1985 .

[412]  P. Lovie.  A note on an unexpected anchoring bias in intuitive statistical inference , 1985, Cognition.

[413]  Keith J Holyoak,et al.  Pragmatic reasoning schemas , 1985, Cognitive Psychology.

[414]  L. Barsalou.  Ideals, central tendency, and frequency of instantiation as determinants of graded structure in categories. , 1985, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.

[415]  J. Bruner.  Actual minds, possible worlds , 1985 .

[416]  P. Tetlock.  Accountability: A social check on the fundamental attribution error. , 1985 .

[417]  I. Ajzen,et al.  Intention, perceived control, and weight loss: an application of the theory of planned behavior. , 1985, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[418]  Reid Hastie,et al.  Revision of beliefs when a hypothesis is eliminated from consideration. , 1985 .

[419]  D. Wegner,et al.  The transparency of denial: Briefing in the debriefing paradigm. , 1985 .

[420]  J. M. Nuttin.  Narcissism beyond Gestalt and awareness: The name letter effect , 1985 .

[421]  George A. Quattrone.  On the congruity between internal states and action. , 1985 .

[422]  R. Sugden.  Regret, recrimination and rationality , 1985 .

[423]  Moshe Shaked,et al.  An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty , 1985 .

[424]  R. Thaler,et al.  Does the Stock Market Overreact , 1985 .

[425]  A. Tversky,et al.  The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences , 1985, Cognitive Psychology.

[426]  Willem A. Wagenaar,et al.  On the psychology of playing blackjack: Normative and descriptive considerations with implications for decision theory. , 1985 .

[427]  James L. McClelland,et al.  Distributed memory and the representation of general and specific information. , 1985, Journal of experimental psychology. General.

[428]  J. Campbell,et al.  Effects of self-esteem, hypothetical explanations, and verbalization of expectancies on future performance. , 1985 .

[429]  R. Cialdini,et al.  Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease , 1985 .

[430]  N. Schwarz,et al.  Attribution of Arousal as a Mediator of the Effectiveness of Fear‐Arousing Communications1 , 1985 .

[431]  David E. Bell,et al.  Disappointment in Decision Making Under Uncertainty , 1985, Oper. Res..

[432]  H. Arkes,et al.  The Psychology of Sunk Cost , 1985 .

[433]  R. Larsen,et al.  The Satisfaction with Life Scale , 1985, Journal of personality assessment.

[434]  A. H. Murphy,et al.  Probability, Statistics, And Decision Making In The Atmospheric Sciences , 1985 .

[435]  George Foster,et al.  Security analyst multi-year earnings forecasts and the capital market , 1985 .

[436]  D. Schumacher.  The 1973 Oil Crisis and its Aftermath , 1985 .

[437]  Shawn P. Curley,et al.  Conditional distribution analyses of probabilistic forecasts , 1985 .

[438]  Thomas Russell,et al.  The Relevance of Quasi Rationality in Competitive Markets: Reply , 1985 .

[439]  B. Weiner,et al.  Spontaneous" causal thinking. , 1985 .

[440]  Gordon H. Bower,et al.  Failure to replicate mood-dependent retrieval , 1985 .

[441]  S. Carey.  Conceptual Change in Childhood , 1985 .

[442]  K. Stanovich.  How to think straight about psychology , 1985 .

[443]  J. G. Hollands,et al.  Engineering Psychology and Human Performance , 1984 .

[444]  E. Elton,et al.  Professional Expectations: Accurary and Diagonosis of Errors , 1984, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[445]  Lyle E. Bourne,et al.  Decisions and memory: Differential retrievability of consistent and contradictory evidence , 1984 .

[446]  Jonathan Evans.  Heuristic and analytic processes in reasoning , 1984 .

[447]  S. B. Filskov,et al.  Clinical detection of intellectual deterioration associated with brain damage. , 1984, Journal of clinical psychology.

[448]  A. H. Murphy,et al.  A comparative evaluation of objective and subjective weather forecasts in the united states , 1984 .

[449]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  Focusing Techniques: A Shortcut to Improving Probability Judgments? , 1984 .

[450]  Michael Conway,et al.  Getting what you want by revising what you had. , 1984 .

[451]  A. H. Murphy,et al.  Probability Forecasting in Meteorology , 1984 .

[452]  A. Franklin.  Forging, cooking, trimming, and riding on the bandwagon , 1984 .

[453]  M. Granger Morgan,et al.  Technical Uncertainty in Quantitative Policy Analysis — A Sulfur Air Pollution Example , 1984 .

[454]  Roy F. Baumeister,et al.  Paradoxical effects of supportive audiences on performance under pressure: The home field disadvantage in sports championships. , 1984 .

[455]  J. Adler.  Abstraction is Uncooperative , 1984 .

[456]  J. Hunter,et al.  Validity and Utility of Alternative Predictors of Job Performance , 1984 .

[457]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  Setting Standards: A Systematic Approach to Managing Public Health and Safety Risks , 1984 .

[458]  Eugene Borgida,et al.  The Conjunction Fallacy , 1984 .

[459]  A. Calev,et al.  THE INFLUENCE OF CHRISTIAN NAME STEREOTYPES ON THE MARKING OF CHILDREN'S ESSAYS , 1984 .

[460]  Mark R. Lepper,et al.  Attitude prototypes as determinants of attitude-behavior consistency. , 1984, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[461]  James Shanteau,et al.  Reducing the influence of irrelevant information on experienced decision makers , 1984 .

[462]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  Modeling the Societal Impact of Fatal Accidents , 1984 .

[463]  Russell H. Fazio,et al.  Priming and Frequency Estimation , 1984 .

[464]  Anna S. Meigs.  Food, Sex and Pollution: A New Guinea Religion , 1984 .

[465]  A. H. Murphy,et al.  Impacts of Feedback and Experience on the Quality of Subjective Probability Forecasts. Comparison of Results from the First and Second Years of the Zierikzee Experiment , 1984 .

[466]  A. Fallon,et al.  Family Resemblance in Attitudes to Foods , 1984 .

[467]  S. Andersen.  Self-knowledge and social inference: II. The diagnosticity of cognitive/affective and behavioral data. , 1984 .

[468]  L. Ross,et al.  Self-knowledge and social inference: I. The impact of cognitive/affective and behavioral data. , 1984 .

[469]  Thomas C. Schelling,et al.  Self-Command in Practice, in Policy, and in a Theory of Rational Choice , 1984 .

[470]  Thomas K. Srull,et al.  The Effects of Subjective Affective States on Memory and Judgment , 1984 .

[471]  D. Faust.  The limits of scientific reasoning , 1984 .

[472]  R. Hastie.  Causes and effects of causal attribution , 1984 .

[473]  Stephen J. Read,et al.  Analogical reasoning in social judgment: The importance of causal theories. , 1984 .

[474]  L. Brooks,et al.  Nonanalytic Cognition: Memory, Perception, and Concept Learning , 1984 .

[475]  J. Pruyn,et al.  Effects of public education about breast cancer and breast self-examination. , 1984, Social science & medicine.

[476]  P. Johnson-Laird.  Mental models , 1989 .

[477]  Victor Zarnowitz,et al.  Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts , 1985 .

[478]  H. Simon,et al.  Reason in Human Affairs. , 1984 .

[479]  P. Tetlock.  Accountability and the perseverance of first impressions. , 1983 .

[480]  J. Yesavage,et al.  Reliability, accuracy, and decision-making strategy in clinical predictions of imminent dangerousness. , 1983, Journal of consulting and clinical psychology.

[481]  Shelley E. Taylor.  Adjustment to threatening events: A theory of cognitive adaptation. , 1983 .

[482]  David E. Bell,et al.  Risk Premiums for Decision Regret , 1983 .

[483]  Josef Lakonishok,et al.  A Study of Economists' Consensus Forecasts , 1983 .

[484]  B. Mellers,et al.  Bayesian inference: Combining base rates with opinions of sources who vary in credibility. , 1983 .

[485]  E. Tory Higgins,et al.  Context, categorization, and recall: The “change-of-standard” effect , 1983, Cognitive Psychology.

[486]  D. Krantz,et al.  The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning , 1983 .

[487]  A. Tversky,et al.  Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment , 1983 .

[488]  Karl Halvor Teigen,et al.  Studies in subjective probability III: The unimportance of alternatives , 1983 .

[489]  G. Clore,et al.  Mood, misattribution, and judgments of well-being: Informative and directive functions of affective states. , 1983 .

[490]  I. Levi.  Who commits the base rate fallacy? , 1983, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[491]  David H. Krantz,et al.  Inductive reasoning: Competence or skill? , 1983, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[492]  L. Cohen,et al.  The controversy about irrationality , 1983, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[493]  A. Tversky,et al.  Can irrationality be intelligently discussed? , 1983, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[494]  A. Kruglanski,et al.  The freezing and unfreezing of lay-inferences: Effects on impressional primacy, ethnic stereotyping, and numerical anchoring ☆ , 1983 .

[495]  C. Anderson.  Imagination and expectation: The effect of imagining behavioral scripts on personal influences. , 1983 .

[496]  Richard Kammann,et al.  Affectometer 2: A scale to measure current level of general happiness , 1983 .

[497]  J. V. Wood,et al.  It Could Be Worse: Selective Evaluation as a Response to Victimization , 1983 .

[498]  Philip E. Tetlock,et al.  Accountability and complexity of thought. , 1983 .

[499]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Hypothesis Evaluation from a Bayesian Perspective. , 1983 .

[500]  M. Bond,et al.  College Students' Spontaneous Self-Concept , 1983 .

[501]  John R. Anderson.  A spreading activation theory of memory. , 1983 .

[502]  Steven J. Sherman,et al.  Social explanation: The role of timing, set, and recall on subjective likelihood estimates. , 1983 .

[503]  T. Gilovich,et al.  Biased evaluation and persistence in gambling. , 1983, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[504]  A. Tversky,et al.  Affect, Generalization, and the Perception of Risk. , 1983 .

[505]  Richard A. Griggs,et al.  The Effects of Problem Content and Negation on Wason's Selection Task , 1983 .

[506]  P. Pollard,et al.  On the conflict between logic and belief in syllogistic reasoning , 1983, Memory & cognition.

[507]  Max H. Bazerman,et al.  The Role of Perspective-Taking Ability in Negotiating under Different Forms of Arbitration , 1983 .

[508]  Berndt Brehmer,et al.  Does having to justify one's judgments change the nature of the judgment process? , 1983 .

[509]  W. Davison.  The Third-Person Effect in Communication , 1983 .

[510]  Craig A. Anderson,et al.  Abstract and concrete data in the perseverance of social theories: When weak data lead to unshakeable beliefs☆ , 1983 .

[511]  F. Pipkin,et al.  Precision Measurements and Fundamental Constants , 1983, Science.

[512]  P. Slovic,et al.  Preference Reversals: A Broader Perspective , 1983 .

[513]  David V. Budescu,et al.  Encoding subjective probabilities: A psychological and psychometric review , 1983 .

[514]  M. Birnbaum.  Base Rates in Bayesian Inference: Signal Detection Analysis of the Cab Problem , 1983 .

[515]  Thomas K. Srull,et al.  Affect and Memory: the Impact of Affective Reactions in Advertising on the Representation of Product Information in Memory , 1983 .

[516]  Neil D. Weinstein,et al.  Reducing unrealistic optimism about illness susceptibility. , 1983 .

[517]  Raanan Lipshitz,et al.  KNOWING AND PRACTICING: TEACHING BEHAVIOURAL SCIENCES AT THE ISRAEL DEFENCE FORCES COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLLEGE , 1983 .

[518]  Maya Bar-Hillel,et al.  The Base Rate Fallacy Controversy , 1983 .

[519]  Henry Montgomery,et al.  Decision Rules and the Search for a Dominance Structure: Towards a Process Model of Decision Making* , 1983 .

[520]  William R. Ferrell,et al.  The Effect of Base Rate on Calibration of Subjective Probability for True-False Questions: Model and Experiment , 1983 .

[521]  Edward E. Smith,et al.  Gradedness and conceptual combination , 1982, Cognition.

[522]  Gregory V. Jones.  Stacks not fuzzy sets: An ordinal basis for prototype theory of concepts , 1982, Cognition.

[523]  L. A. Zadeh,et al.  A note on prototype theory and fuzzy sets , 1982, Cognition.

[524]  R. Sugden,et al.  Regret Theory: An alternative theory of rational choice under uncertainty Review of Economic Studies , 1982 .

[525]  Stephen M. Pollock,et al.  Multiple attribute scenarios, bounded probabilities, and threats of nuclear theft , 1982 .

[526]  M. Robin DiMatteo,et al.  Achieving Patient Compliance , 1982 .

[527]  Paul Thagard,et al.  Variability and confirmation , 1982 .

[528]  Lola L. Lopes.  Doing the impossible: A note on induction and the experience of randomness. , 1982 .

[529]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  Strategies of information search in causal analysis , 1982 .

[530]  L. Cohen,et al.  Are People Programmed to Commit Fallacies? Further Thoughts about the Interpretation of Experimental Data on Probability Judgment , 1982 .

[531]  Max H. Bazerman,et al.  Improving negotiation effectiveness under final offer arbitration: The role of selection and training. , 1982 .

[532]  David E. Bell,et al.  Regret in Decision Making under Uncertainty , 1982, Oper. Res..

[533]  David C. Funder,et al.  On the Accuracy of Dispositional Versus Situational Attributions , 1982 .

[534]  R. Zajonc,et al.  Affective and Cognitive Factors in Preferences , 1982 .

[535]  Ayleen Wisudha,et al.  Distribution of probability assessments for almanac and future event questions , 1982 .

[536]  A. Dawid.  The Well-Calibrated Bayesian , 1982 .

[537]  J. Bargh.  Attention and Automaticity in the Processing of Self-Relevant Information , 1982 .

[538]  Richard A. Griggs,et al.  The elusive thematic‐materials effect in Wason's selection task , 1982 .

[539]  P. Fishburn.  Nontransitive measurable utility , 1982 .

[540]  G. Brier,et al.  External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score , 1982 .

[541]  George A. Quattrone.  Overattribution and unit formation: When behavior engulfs the person. , 1982 .

[542]  Mark H. Ashcraft,et al.  A network approach to mental multiplication. , 1982 .

[543]  Y. Trope,et al.  Confirmatory and diagnosing strategies in social information gathering. , 1982 .

[544]  R. Cialdini,et al.  Self-Relevant Scenarios as Mediators of Likelihood Estimates and Compliance: Does Imagining Make It So? , 1982 .

[545]  D. Berkeley,et al.  Structuring decision problems and the ‘bias heuristic’ , 1982 .

[546]  E. Higgins,et al.  Individual construct accessibility and subjective impressions and recall. , 1982 .

[547]  Ruth Beyth-Marom,et al.  How probable is probable? A numerical translation of verbal probability expressions , 1982 .

[548]  Neil D. Weinstein,et al.  Egocentrism as a Source of Unrealistic Optimism , 1982 .

[549]  J. Crocker.  Biased Questions in Judgment of Covariation Studies , 1982 .

[550]  Mark R. Leary,et al.  Hindsight Distortion and the 1980 Presidential Election , 1982 .

[551]  Robin M. Hogarth,et al.  A Theory of Diagnostic Inference. I. Imagination and the Psychophysics of Evidence. , 1982 .

[552]  R D Zentner,et al.  Scenarios, past, present and future. , 1982, Long range planning.

[553]  A. Tversky,et al.  On the elicitation of preferences for alternative therapies. , 1982, The New England journal of medicine.

[554]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Subjective Confidence in Forecasts. , 1982 .

[555]  Ward Edwards,et al.  Judgment under uncertainty: Conservatism in human information processing , 1982 .

[556]  Teresa M. Amabile,et al.  Judgment under uncertainty: Informal covariation assessment: Data-based versus theory-based judgments , 1982 .

[557]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980 , 1982 .

[558]  A. Tversky,et al.  The simulation heuristic , 1982 .

[559]  H. Raiffa,et al.  Judgment under uncertainty: A progress report on the training of probability assessors , 1982 .

[560]  Shelley E. Taylor.  Judgment under uncertainty: The availability bias in social perception and interaction , 1982 .

[561]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  Judgment under uncertainty: For those condemned to study the past: Heuristics and biases in hindsight , 1982 .

[562]  L. Beach,et al.  Experience and the base-rate fallacy. , 1982, Organizational behavior and human performance.

[563]  G. A. Miller,et al.  Book Review Nisbett, R. , & Ross, L.Human inference: Strategies and shortcomings of social judgment.Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1980. , 1982 .

[564]  D. A. Kenny,et al.  Structural models for the mediation of salience effects on attribution , 1982 .

[565]  Paul Thagard,et al.  From the Descriptive to the Normative in Psychology and Logic , 1982, Philosophy of Science.

[566]  A. Tversky,et al.  Variants of uncertainty , 1982, Cognition.

[567]  A. Tversky,et al.  On the study of statistical intuitions , 1982, Cognition.

[568]  Muzafer Sherif,et al.  Attitude and Attitude Change: The Social Judgment-Involvement Approach , 1982 .

[569]  H. Simon,et al.  Models of Bounded Rationality: Empirically Grounded Economic Reason , 1997 .

[570]  Richard L. Wiener,et al.  Evaluation, diagnosis, and prediction in parole decision making. , 1982 .

[571]  A. Tversky,et al.  The Psychology of Preferences , 1982 .

[572]  A. Tversky,et al.  Causal Schemata in Judgments under Uncertainty , 1982 .

[573]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Judgment under uncertainty: Debiasing , 1982 .

[574]  Daniel Kahneman,et al.  Judgment under uncertainty: Variants of uncertainty , 1982 .

[575]  A. Tversky,et al.  Intuitive Prediction: Biases and Corrective Procedures , 1982 .

[576]  D. Eddy.  Judgment under uncertainty: Probabilistic reasoning in clinical medicine: Problems and opportunities , 1982 .

[577]  L. Ross,et al.  Judgment under uncertainty: Shortcomings in the attribution process: On the origins and maintenance of erroneous social assessments , 1982 .

[578]  Tom DeMarco,et al.  Controlling software projects : management, measurement & estimation , 1982 .

[579]  Edward E. Smith,et al.  On the adequacy of prototype theory as a theory of concepts , 1981, Cognition.

[580]  W. Ziemba,et al.  Efficiency of the Market for Racetrack Betting , 1981 .

[581]  O. Spreen.  The Relationship between Learning Disability, Neurological Impairment, and Delinquency: Results of a Follow‐up Study , 1981, The Journal of nervous and mental disease.

[582]  Carol A. Manning,et al.  The availability explanation of excessive plausibility assessments , 1981 .

[583]  J. Brehm.  A theory of psychological reactance. , 1981 .

[584]  D. Kahneman.  Who shall be the arbiter of our intuitions? , 1981, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[585]  W. Lycan.  “Is” and “ought” in cognitive science , 1981, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[586]  T. Wills.  Downward Comparison Principles in Social Psychology , 1981 .

[587]  T. Osberg,et al.  The Relative Accuracy of Self-Predictions and Judgments by Others in Psychological Assessment , 1981 .

[588]  L. Cohen.  Can human irrationality be experimentally demonstrated? , 1981, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[589]  R. Hogarth.  Beyond discrete biases: Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics. , 1981 .

[590]  Edward E. Jones,et al.  Effects of strategic self-presentation on subsequent self-esteem. , 1981 .

[591]  L. Jacoby,et al.  On the relationship between autobiographical memory and perceptual learning. , 1981, Journal of experimental psychology. General.

[592]  A. Appadurai.  gastro‐politics in Hindu South Asia , 1981 .

[593]  Jay J.J. Christensen-Szalanski,et al.  Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting. , 1981 .

[594]  S. B. Filskov,et al.  Clinical-actuarial detection and description of brain impairment with the W-B form I. , 1981, Journal of clinical psychology.

[595]  Colin F. Camerer,et al.  General conditions for the success of bootstrapping models , 1981 .

[596]  T. Wallsten.  Physician and Medical Student Bias in Evaluating Diagnostic Information , 1981, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[597]  A. Tversky,et al.  Evidential impact of base rates , 1981 .

[598]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  When Do Base Rates Affect Predictions , 1981 .

[599]  Daniel M. Wegner,et al.  Incrimination through innuendo: Can media questions become public answers? , 1981 .

[600]  R. Nisbett,et al.  The dilution effect: Nondiagnostic information weakens the implications of diagnostic information , 1981, Cognitive Psychology.

[601]  Paul T. P. Wong,et al.  When people ask "why" questions, and the heuristics of attributional search. , 1981 .

[602]  H. Arkes,et al.  Hindsight bias among physicians weighing the likelihood of diagnoses. , 1981, The Journal of applied psychology.

[603]  Steven J. Sherman,et al.  The effects of explaining hypothetical future events: From possibility to probability to actuality and beyond , 1981 .

[604]  R. Sternberg,et al.  Evaluation of evidence in causal inference. , 1981 .

[605]  O. Svenson.  ARE WE ALL LESS RISKY AND MORE SKILLFUL THAN OUR FELLOW DRIVERS , 1981 .

[606]  A. Tversky,et al.  The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. , 1981, Science.

[607]  C. I. Hovland,et al.  Social Judgment: Assimilation and Contrast Effects in Communication and Attitude Change , 1981 .

[608]  R. Hogarth,et al.  BEHAVIORAL DECISION THEORY: PROCESSES OF JUDGMENT AND CHOICE , 1981 .

[609]  Allan Franklin,et al.  Millikan's Published and Unpublished Data on Oil Drops , 1981 .

[610]  T. K. Srull,et al.  Category accessibility: Some theoretical and empirical issues concerning the processing of social stimulus information , 1981 .

[611]  E. Rosch,et al.  Categorization of Natural Objects , 1981 .

[612]  Tom Pyszczynski,et al.  Role of disconfirmed expectancies in the instigation of attributional processing. , 1981 .

[613]  W. Turnbull.  Naive conceptions of free will and the deterministic paradox. , 1981 .

[614]  J. S. Wiggins,et al.  Clinical and statistical prediction: Where are we and where do we go from here? , 1981 .

[615]  M. Zuckerman.  Verbal and nonverbal communication of deception , 1981 .

[616]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  Risk assessment: Evaluating error in subjective estimates , 1981 .

[617]  F. T. Masur,et al.  23 – Adherence to Health Care Regimens , 1981 .

[618]  N. Anderson.  Foundations of information integration theory , 1981 .

[619]  Joel Brockner,et al.  Face-Saving and Entrapment , 1981 .

[620]  G. Bower.  Mood and memory. , 1981, The American psychologist.

[621]  L. Ross,et al.  Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. , 1981 .

[622]  L. Ross,et al.  Perseverance of Social Theories: The Role of Explanation in the Persistence of Discredited Information , 1980 .

[623]  D. M. Grether,et al.  Bayes Rule as a Descriptive Model: The Representativeness Heuristic , 1980 .

[624]  R. Revlin,et al.  The belief-bias effect in formal reasoning: The influence of knowledge on logic , 1980, Memory & cognition.

[625]  S. Chaiken.  Heuristic versus systematic information processing and the use of source versus message cues in persuasion. , 1980 .

[626]  N. Weinstein.  Unrealistic optimism about future life events , 1980 .

[627]  M. Lerner,et al.  The Belief in a Just World: A Fundamental Delusion , 1980 .

[628]  R. Petty,et al.  lhe Effects of Overt Head Movements on Persuasion: Compatibility and incompatibility of Responses , 1980 .

[629]  S. Sherman.  On the self-erasing nature of errors of prediction. , 1980 .

[630]  William R. Ferrell,et al.  A model of calibration for subjective probabilities , 1980 .

[631]  Richard R. Lau,et al.  Attributions in the Sports Pages , 1980 .

[632]  D. L. Hintzman,et al.  Differential forgetting of prototypes and old instances: Simulation by an exemplar-based classification model , 1980, Memory & cognition.

[633]  A. Greenwald.  The totalitarian ego: Fabrication and revision of personal history. , 1980 .

[634]  Barry M. Staw,et al.  Commitment in an experimenting society: A study of the attribution of leadership from administrative scenarios. , 1980 .

[635]  T. K. Srull,et al.  Category accessibility and social perception: Some implications for the study of person memory and interpersonal judgments , 1980 .

[636]  F. H. Barron,et al.  Equal Weights, Flat Maxima, and Trivial Decisions. , 1980 .

[637]  Stephen P. Stich,et al.  Justification and the Psychology of Human Reasoning , 1980, Philosophy of Science.

[638]  M. Bar-Hillel.  The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments. , 1980 .

[639]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Reasons for confidence. , 1980 .

[640]  Lawrence D. Phillips,et al.  CULTURAL VARIATION IN PROBABILISTIC THINKING: ALTERNATIVE WAYS OF DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY* , 1980 .

[641]  Nancy E. Avis,et al.  Base rates can affect individual predictions. , 1980 .

[642]  R. Zajonc.  Feeling and thinking : Preferences need no inferences , 1980 .

[643]  Stephen H. Penman,et al.  An Empirical-Investigation Of The Voluntary Disclosure Of Corporate-Earnings Forecasts , 1980 .

[644]  Daniel C. Dennett,et al.  Brainstorms: Philosophical Essays on Mind and Psychology , 1981 .

[645]  Michael J. Saks,et al.  Human Information Processing and Adjudication: Trial by Heuristics , 1980 .

[646]  E. E. Jones,et al.  The perception of variability within in-groups and out-groups: Implications for the law of small numbers. , 1980 .

[647]  R. Harris,et al.  What's fair? It depends on how you phrase the question. , 1980 .

[648]  L. Cohen,et al.  On the psychology of prediction: Whose is the fallacy? , 1979, Cognition.

[649]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect Theory : An Analysis of Decision under Risk Author ( s ) : , 2007 .

[650]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Newspaper Coverage of Causes of Death , 1979 .

[651]  K. Manktelow,et al.  Facilitation of reasoning by realism: Effect or non‐effect? , 1979 .

[652]  L. Ross,et al.  Biased Assimilation and Attitude Polarization: The Effects of Prior Theories on Subsequently Considered Evidence , 1979 .

[653]  T. K. Srull,et al.  The Role of Category Accessibility in the Interpretation of Information About Persons: Some Determinants and Implications , 1979 .

[654]  H. H. Clark.  Responding to indirect speech acts , 1979, Cognitive Psychology.

[655]  L. Hasher,et al.  Automatic and effortful processes in memory. , 1979 .

[656]  R. Wyer,et al.  Social Cognition, Inference, and Attribution , 1979 .

[657]  C. Plott,et al.  Economic Theory of Choice and the Preference Reversal Phenomenon , 1979 .

[658]  R. Baer,et al.  The bias phenomenon in attitude attribution: Actor and observer perspectives. , 1979 .

[659]  R. Dawes.  Judgment under uncertainty: The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making , 1979 .

[660]  B. Cohen,et al.  A catalog of risks. , 1979, Health physics.

[661]  R. Brian Haynes,et al.  Compliance in Health Care , 1979 .

[662]  Ariel Rubinstein,et al.  False Probabilistic Arguments v. Faulty Intuition , 1979, Israel Law Review.

[663]  A. Arrowood,et al.  Information Processing and the Perseverance of Discredited Self-Perceptions , 1979 .

[664]  A. Tversky,et al.  On the Reconciliation of Probability Assessments , 1979 .

[665]  M. Ross,et al.  Egocentric Biases in Availability and Attribution , 1979 .

[666]  H. Sackeim,et al.  Self-deception: A concept in search of a phenomenon. , 1979 .

[667]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect theory: analysis of decision under risk , 1979 .

[668]  J. Elster.  Ulysses And The Sirens , 1979 .

[669]  R. Hastie,et al.  Person memory: Personality traits as organizing principles in memory for behaviors. , 1979 .

[670]  H. Simon,et al.  Models of Thought , 1979 .

[671]  J R Thornbury,et al.  A second look at the utility of radiographic skull examination for trauma. , 1979, AJR. American journal of roentgenology.

[672]  M. Brewer,et al.  A schematic model of dispositional attribution in interpersonal perception. , 1979 .

[673]  W. W. Daniel.  Applied Nonparametric Statistics , 1978 .

[674]  W. Casscells,et al.  Interpretation by physicians of clinical laboratory results. , 1978, The New England journal of medicine.

[675]  James Shanteau,et al.  When does a response error become a judgmental bias? Commentary on "Judged Frequency of Lethal Events". , 1978 .

[676]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Judged frequency of lethal events , 1978 .

[677]  W. Swann,et al.  Hypothesis-Testing Processes in Social Interaction , 1978 .

[678]  Alvin I. Goldman,et al.  Epistemics: The Regulative Theory of Cognition , 1978 .

[679]  Daniel W. McAllister,et al.  The Contingency Model for the Selection of Decision Strategies: An Empirical Test. , 1978 .

[680]  W. W. Snyder,et al.  HORSE RACING: TESTING THE EFFICIENT MARKETS MODEL , 1978 .

[681]  Lawrence D. Phillips,et al.  Cultural Differences in Probabilistic Thinking , 1978 .

[682]  Laurie Larwood,et al.  Swine Flu: A Field Study of Self-Serving Biases , 1978 .

[683]  R. Goldsmith.  Assessing probabilities of compound events in a judicial context , 1978 .

[684]  P. Brickman,et al.  Lottery winners and accident victims: is happiness relative? , 1978, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[685]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity. , 1978 .

[686]  George Cvetkovich,et al.  Cognitive accommodation, language, and social responsibility. , 1978 .

[687]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation. , 1978 .

[688]  S. Fulero,et al.  From individual to group impressions: Availability heuristics in stereotype formation , 1978 .

[689]  Douglas L. Medin,et al.  Context theory of classification learning. , 1978 .

[690]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes towards technological risks and benefits , 1978 .

[691]  Howard Wainer,et al.  On the sensitivity of regression and regressors. , 1978 .

[692]  Mark Snyder,et al.  Behavioral confirmation in social interaction: From social perception to social reality. , 1978 .

[693]  Dale T. Miller,et al.  Just world research and the attribution process: Looking back and ahead. , 1978 .

[694]  J. Carroll.  The Effect of Imagining an Event on Expectations for the Event: An Interpretation in Terms of the Availability Heuristic. , 1978 .

[695]  Margaret C. Donaldson.  Children's Minds , 1978 .

[696]  Shelley E. Taylor,et al.  Salience, Attention, and Attribution: Top of the Head Phenomena , 1978 .

[697]  G. Marlatt.  Craving for Alcohol, Loss of Control, and Relapse: A Cognitive-Behavioral Analysis , 1978 .

[698]  A. Isen,et al.  Affect, accessibility of material in memory, and behavior: a cognitive loop? , 1978, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[699]  J. March.  Bounded rationality, ambiguity, and the engineering of choice , 1978 .

[700]  Eleanor Rosch,et al.  Principles of Categorization , 1978 .

[701]  D. Commerce.  Statistical abstract of the United States , 1978 .

[702]  S. Lichtenstein,et al.  Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?*1 , 1977 .

[703]  David F. Lancy,et al.  Likeness and Likelihood in Everyday Thought: Magical Thinking in Judgments About Personality [and Comments and Reply] , 1977, Current Anthropology.

[704]  Mark R. Lepper,et al.  Social explanation and social expectation: Effects of real and hypothetical explanations on subjective likelihood. , 1977 .

[705]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  On the Psychology of Experimental Surprises. , 1977 .

[706]  S. Stigler.  Do Robust Estimators Work with Real Data , 1977 .

[707]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Knowing with Certainty: The Appropriateness of Extreme Confidence. , 1977 .

[708]  Eugene Borgida,et al.  The Differential Impact of Abstract vs. Concrete Information on Decisions , 1977 .

[709]  Marshall Lev Dermer,et al.  Reversed Facial Images and the Mere-Exposure Hypothesis , 1977 .

[710]  A. Tversky.  Features of Similarity , 1977 .

[711]  I. Ajzen.  Intuitive theories of events and the effects of base-rate information on prediction. , 1977 .

[712]  R. D. Hansen,et al.  The power of consensus: Information derived from one's own and others' behavior. , 1977 .

[713]  L. Ross,et al.  The “false consensus effect”: An egocentric bias in social perception and attribution processes , 1977 .

[714]  Timothy D. Wilson,et al.  Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. , 1977 .

[715]  Laurie Larwood,et al.  Managerial myopia: Self-serving biases in organizational planning. , 1977 .

[716]  K. Cross.  Not can, but will college teaching be improved? , 1977 .

[717]  I. Ajzen,et al.  Belief, Attitude, Intention, and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research , 1977 .

[718]  A. H. Murphy,et al.  Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature , 1977 .

[719]  Walter Schneider,et al.  Controlled and automatic human information processing: II. Perceptual learning, automatic attending and a general theory. , 1977 .

[720]  J. Mackie,et al.  The cement of the universe : a study of causation , 1977 .

[721]  C. R. Snyder,et al.  Acceptance of personality interpretations: the "Barnum Effect" and beyond. , 1977, Journal of consulting and clinical psychology.

[722]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Behavioral Decision Theory , 1977 .

[723]  Mark Snyder,et al.  Actors, observers, and the attribution process: Toward a reconceptualization☆ , 1977 .

[724]  Jerry Suls,et al.  Social comparison processes: Theoretical and empirical perspectives , 1977 .

[725]  John B. Pryor,et al.  The cognitive dynamics of salience in the attribution process. , 1977 .

[726]  L. Ross.  The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process1 , 1977 .

[727]  Lawrence D. Phillips,et al.  Cultural differences in viewing uncertainty and assessing probabilities , 1977 .

[728]  F. Mosteller,et al.  Costs, Risks, and Benefits of Surgery , 1977 .

[729]  Wendy Grace Lehnert,et al.  The Process of Question Answering , 2022 .

[730]  Teresa M. Amabile,et al.  Social Roles, Social Control and Biases in Social Perception , 1977 .

[731]  I. Janis,et al.  Decision Making: A Psychological Analysis of Conflict, Choice, and Commitment , 1977 .

[732]  Walter Schneider,et al.  Controlled and Automatic Human Information Processing: 1. Detection, Search, and Attention. , 1977 .

[733]  H. Markus.  Self-schemata and processing information about the self. , 1977 .

[734]  Timothy D. Wilson,et al.  The halo effect: Evidence for unconscious alteration of judgments. , 1977 .

[735]  W. S. Rholes,et al.  Category accessibility and impression formation , 1977 .

[736]  A. H. Murphy,et al.  CAN WEATHER FORECASTERS FORMULATE RELIABLE PROBABILITY FORECASTS OF PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES ? , 1977 .

[737]  Chester L. Olson,et al.  Some apparent violations of the representativeness heuristic in human judgment. , 1976 .

[738]  Robert S. Baron,et al.  Distraction Can Enhance or Reduce Yielding to Propaganda: Thought Disruption Versus Effort Justification , 1976 .

[739]  Richard E. Petty,et al.  Elastic Shifts of Opinion: Determinants of Direction and Durability , 1976 .

[740]  Rodger W. Griffeth,et al.  Effects of Fear-Arousing Components of Driver Education on Students' Safety Attitudes and Simulator Performance. , 1976 .

[741]  P. Slovic,et al.  Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation , 1976 .

[742]  F. Crosby,et al.  A model of egoistical relative deprivation. , 1976 .

[743]  Robert S. Wyer,et al.  An investigation of the relations among probability estimates , 1976 .

[744]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Cognitive Processes and Societal Risk Taking , 1976 .

[745]  D. L. Hintzman.  Repetition and Memory1 , 1976 .

[746]  R. Jervis.  Perception and misperception in international politics , 1976 .

[747]  H. Grice.  Logic and conversation , 1975 .

[748]  S. S. Stevens,et al.  Psychophysics: Introduction to Its Perceptual, Neural and Social Prospects , 1975 .

[749]  Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein,et al.  Exceptional Paper---Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis , 1975 .

[750]  Elizabeth F Loftus,et al.  Leading questions and the eyewitness report , 1975, Cognitive Psychology.

[751]  S. Duval,et al.  Focus of attention and causal attributions of actors and observers , 1975 .

[752]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. , 1975 .

[753]  Russell M. Barefield,et al.  The accuracy of analysts' forecasts of earnings per share , 1975 .

[754]  R. Elliott.  Heart Rate in Anticipation of Shocks Which Have Different Probabilities of Occurrences , 1975, Psychological reports.

[755]  Patrick Suppes,et al.  Approximate probability and expectation of gambles , 1975 .

[756]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Unit weighting schemes for decision making , 1975 .

[757]  Dale T. Miller,et al.  Self-serving biases in the attribution of causality: Fact or fiction? , 1975 .

[758]  Peter Wright,et al.  Consumer Choice Strategies: Simplifying Vs. Optimizing: , 1975 .

[759]  Martin E. P. Seligman,et al.  Generality of learned helplessness in man. , 1975 .

[760]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  I knew it would happen: Remembered probabilities of once—future things , 1975 .

[761]  Daniel G Bobrow,et al.  On data-limited and resource-limited processes , 1975, Cognitive Psychology.

[762]  J. Piaget,et al.  The Origin of the Idea of Chance in Children , 1975 .

[763]  Marcel Adam Just,et al.  Sentence comprehension: A psycholinguistic processing model of verification. , 1975 .

[764]  W. R. Garner.  Uncertainty and structure as psychological concepts , 1975 .

[765]  A. H. Rosenfeld,et al.  The Particle Data Group: Growth and Operations-Eighteen Years of Particle Physics , 1975 .

[766]  A. Tversky,et al.  Who accepts Savage's axiom? , 1974 .

[767]  D. Dutton,et al.  Some evidence for heightened sexual attraction under conditions of high anxiety. , 1974, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[768]  A. Tversky,et al.  Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , 1974, Science.

[769]  Karl Halvor Teigen,et al.  Overestimation of subjective probabilities , 1974 .

[770]  K. Teigen.  Subjective sampling distributions and the additivity of estimates , 1974 .

[771]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Dimensional Commensurability and Cue Utilization in Comparative Judgment. , 1974 .

[772]  Mark P. Zanna,et al.  The Nonverbal Mediation of Self-Fulfilling Prophecies in Interracial Interaction. , 1974 .

[773]  R. Elliott,et al.  Heart rate and skin conductance in anticipation of shocks with varying probability of occurrence. , 1974, Psychophysiology.

[774]  R. Dawes,et al.  Linear models in decision making. , 1974 .

[775]  Gerald L. Clore,et al.  7 – A Reinforcement-Affect Model of Attraction , 1974 .

[776]  R. A. Wicklund.  Freedom and reactance , 1974 .

[777]  E. B. Tylor,et al.  Primitive Culture: Researches Into the Development of Mythology, Philosophy, Religion, Art, and Custom , 1974 .

[778]  P. Suppes.  The Measurement of Belief , 1974 .

[779]  H. H. Clark,et al.  Perceptual coding strategies in the formation and verification of descriptions , 1974, Memory & cognition.

[780]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Response-induced reversals of preference in gambling: An extended replication in las vegas , 1973 .

[781]  Herbert Harari,et al.  Name Stereotypes and Teachers' Expectations. , 1973 .

[782]  Barry N. Taylor,et al.  The 1973 Least‐Squares Adjustment of the Fundamental Constants , 1973 .

[783]  P. Meehl.  Psychodiagnosis: Selected Papers , 1973 .

[784]  Daniel Kahneman,et al.  Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability , 1973 .

[785]  J. S. Evans,et al.  Matching bias in the selection task. , 1973 .

[786]  R. Nisbett,et al.  Behavior as seen by the actor and as seen by the observer , 1973 .

[787]  M. D. Storms,et al.  Videotape and the attribution process: reversing actors' and observers' points of view. , 1973, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[788]  A. H. Murphy.  A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score , 1973 .

[789]  Maya Bar-Hillel,et al.  On the subjective probability of compound events , 1973 .

[790]  G. W. Walster,et al.  "Playing hard to get": Understanding an elusive phenomenon. , 1973 .

[791]  Allen Newell,et al.  Human Problem Solving. , 1973 .

[792]  B. Malkiel.  A Random Walk Down Wall Street , 1973 .

[793]  H. Simon,et al.  Perception in chess , 1973 .

[794]  George Lakoff,et al.  Hedges: A study in meaning criteria and the logic of fuzzy concepts , 1973, J. Philos. Log..

[795]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Attention and Effort , 1973 .

[796]  A. Tversky,et al.  On the psychology of prediction , 1973 .

[797]  R. Lazarus,et al.  Anticipatory stress and coping reactions under various conditions of uncertainty. , 1972, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[798]  Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein,et al.  Probabilistic forecasting: An experiment related to the stock market , 1972 .

[799]  A. Tversky.  Elimination by aspects: A theory of choice. , 1972 .

[800]  Herbert H. Clark,et al.  On the process of comparing sentences against pictures , 1972 .

[801]  A. Tversky,et al.  Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness , 1972 .

[802]  L. A. McArthur.  The how and what of why: Some determinants and consequences of causal attribution. , 1972 .

[803]  Hillel J. Einhorn,et al.  Expert measurement and mechanical combination , 1972 .

[804]  E. E. Jones,et al.  The actor and the observer: Divergent perceptions of the causes of behavior. , 1972 .

[805]  S. Duval,et al.  A theory of objective self awareness , 1972 .

[806]  D. Bem.  Self-Perception Theory , 1972 .

[807]  H. Kelley.  Causal schemata and the attribution process , 1972 .

[808]  W. A. Wagenaar.  Generation of random sequences by human subjects: A critical survey of literature. , 1972 .

[809]  J. Snortum,et al.  Temporal estimation and heart rate as a function of repression-sensitization score and probability of shock. , 1971, Journal of consulting and clinical psychology.

[810]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Comparison of Bayesian and Regression Approaches to the Study of Information Processing in Judgment. , 1971 .

[811]  P. Rozin,et al.  Specific hungers and poison avoidance as adaptive specializations of learning. , 1971, Psychological review.

[812]  A. Tversky,et al.  BELIEF IN THE LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS , 1971, Pediatrics.

[813]  T. Trabasso,et al.  Storage and verification stages in processing concepts. , 1971 .

[814]  M. Hermann,et al.  Are Bayesian decisions artificially intelligent? The effect of task and personality on conservatism in processing information. , 1971, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[815]  F. L. Wilson,et al.  The Fundamental Constants and Quantum Electrodynamics , 1971 .

[816]  D. Meichenbaum,et al.  Training impulsive children to talk to themselves: a means of developing self-control. , 1971, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[817]  R. Dawes.  A case study of graduate admissions: Application of three principles of human decision making. , 1971 .

[818]  M. Appley,et al.  Adaptation-level theory : a symposium , 1971 .

[819]  B. Remmo Hamel,et al.  On the Conservation of Liquids. , 1971 .

[820]  P. Slovic,et al.  Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions. , 1971 .

[821]  Lewis R. Goldberg,et al.  Man versus model of man: A rationale, plus some evidence, for a method of improving on clinical inferences. , 1970 .

[822]  P. Johnson-Laird,et al.  A theoretical analysis of insight into a reasoning task , 1970 .

[823]  H. Leventhal,et al.  Findings and Theory in the Study of Fear Communications , 1970 .

[824]  John B. Kidd,et al.  The utilization of subjective probabilities in production planning , 1970 .

[825]  R. Rorty.  Incorrigibility as the Mark of the Mental , 1970 .

[826]  W. R. Garner.  Good patterns have few alternatives. , 1970, American scientist.

[827]  N. Feather.  Attribution of responsibility and valence of success and failure in relation to initial confidence and task performance. , 1969 .

[828]  C. Starr.  Social benefit versus technological risk. , 1969, Science.

[829]  Elliot Aronson,et al.  The Theory of Cognitive Dissonance: A Current Perspective1 , 1969 .

[830]  L. J. Chapman,et al.  Illusory correlation as an obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs. , 1969, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[831]  R. Herrnstein.  Method and theory in the study of avoidance. , 1969, Psychological review.

[832]  P. Slovic,et al.  Relative importance of probabilities and payoffs in risk taking , 1968 .

[833]  L. R. Goldberg.  Simple models or simple processes? Some research on clinical judgments. , 1968, The American psychologist.

[834]  N. Anderson.  Likableness ratings of 555 personality-trait words. , 1968, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[835]  E. Niedermeyer,et al.  The electroencephalogram in children with minimal cerebral dysfunction. , 1968, Pediatrics.

[836]  E. Poulton.  The new psychophysics: Six models for magnitude estimation. , 1968 .

[837]  R. Cattell,et al.  Formal representation of human judgment , 1968 .

[838]  R. Zajonc.  Attitudinal effects of mere exposure. , 1968 .

[839]  Feather Nt.  Valence of outcome and expectation of success in relation to task difficulty and perceived locus of control. , 1967 .

[840]  J. Henslin,et al.  Craps and Magic , 1967, American Journal of Sociology.

[841]  H. A. Cross,et al.  Imprinting or exposure learning in rats given early auditory stimulation , 1967 .

[842]  E. E. Jones,et al.  Foundations of Social Psychology , 1967 .

[843]  L. J. Chapman,et al.  Genesis of popular but erroneous psychodiagnostic observations. , 1967, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[844]  D. Bem.  Self-perception: An alternative interpretation of cognitive dissonance phenomena. , 1967, Psychological review.

[845]  Paul Slovic,et al.  The relative influence of probabilities and payoffs upon perceived risk of a gamble , 1967 .

[846]  M. Zax,et al.  Cultural influences on response style: comparisons of Japanese and American college students. , 1967, The Journal of social psychology.

[847]  H. Kelley.  Attribution theory in social psychology , 1967 .

[848]  V. A. Harris,et al.  The Attribution of Attitudes , 1967 .

[849]  Philip B. Gough,et al.  The verification of sentences: The effects of delay of evidence and sentence length , 1966 .

[850]  K. L. Hakmiller,et al.  Threat as a determinant of downward comparison , 1966 .

[851]  J. Sawyer,et al.  Measurement and prediction, clinical and statistical. , 1966, Psychological bulletin.

[852]  W. Edwards,et al.  Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. , 1966, Journal of experimental psychology.

[853]  Grover C. Mathewson,et al.  The effects of severity of initiation on liking for a group: A replication , 1966 .

[854]  James A. Davis,et al.  The Campus as a Frog Pond: An Application of the Theory of Relative Deprivation to Career Decisions of College Men , 1966, American Journal of Sociology.

[855]  Ward Edwards,et al.  Conservatism in Complex Probabilistic Inference , 1966 .

[856]  C. Hempel,et al.  Aspects of Scientific Explanation and Other Essays in the Philosophy of Science. , 1966 .

[857]  A. Parducci.  Category judgment: a range-frequency model. , 1965, Psychological review.

[858]  E. R. Cohen,et al.  Our Knowledge of the Fundamental Constants of Physics and Chemistry in 1965 , 1965 .

[859]  C. Peterson,et al.  SENSITIVITY OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY REVISION. , 1965, Journal of experimental psychology.

[860]  S. Oskamp.  OVERCONFIDENCE IN CASE-STUDY JUDGMENTS. , 1965, Journal of consulting psychology.

[861]  C. Peterson,et al.  SAMPLE SIZE AND THE REVISION OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES. , 1965, Journal of experimental psychology.

[862]  K. R. Hammond,et al.  COGNITIVE DEPENDENCE ON LINEAR AND NONLINEAR CUES. , 1965, Psychological review.

[863]  Philip B. Gough,et al.  Grammatical transformations and speed of understanding , 1965 .

[864]  R. Hare,et al.  Psychopathy, Fear Arousal and Anticipated Pain , 1965, Psychological reports.

[865]  H. Ibsen,et al.  Ibsen : letters and speeches , 1965 .

[866]  E. E. Jones,et al.  From Acts To Dispositions The Attribution Process In Person Perception1 , 1965 .

[867]  L. R. Goldberg,et al.  DIAGNOSTICIANS VS. DIAGNOSTIC SIGNS: THE DIAGNOSIS OF PSYCHOSIS VS. NEUROSIS FROM THE MMPI. , 1965, Psychological monographs.

[868]  L. Tucker.  A SUGGESTED ALTERNATIVE FORMULATION IN THE DEVELOPMENTS BY HURSCH, HAMMOND, AND HURSCH, AND BY HAMMOND, HURSCH, AND TODD. , 1964, Psychological review.

[869]  K. R. Hammond,et al.  ANALYZING THE COMPONENTS OF CLINICAL INFERENCE. , 1964, Psychological review.

[870]  L. Festinger.  Conflict, Decision, and Dissonance , 1964 .

[871]  L. Festinger,et al.  ON RESISTANCE TO PERSUASIVE COMMUNICATIONS. , 1964, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[872]  W. Sluckin,et al.  Flocking of Domestic Chicks , 1964, Nature.

[873]  H. Helson.  Adaptation-level theory : an experimental and systematic approach to behavior , 1964 .

[874]  John W. Atkinson,et al.  Introduction: Motivation , 1964 .

[875]  Ward Edwards,et al.  Bayesian statistical inference for psychological research. , 1963 .

[876]  E. J. Doleys,et al.  ACCURACY OF STUDENT PREDICTION OF COLLEGE GRADES , 1963 .

[877]  U. Neisser.  The multiplicity of thought. , 1963, British journal of psychology.

[878]  E. Aronson,et al.  Performance expectancy as a determinant of actual performance. , 1962, Journal of abnormal and social psychology.

[879]  M. Henle.  On the relation between logic and thinking. , 1962, Psychological review.

[880]  J. Piaget.  Judgement and Reasoning in the Child , 1962 .

[881]  E. A. Alluisi,et al.  Some variables influencing the rate of gain of information. , 1962, Journal of experimental psychology.

[882]  Stuart Oskamp,et al.  The relationship of clinical experience and training methods to several criteria of clinical prediction. , 1962 .

[883]  A. Beck,et al.  An inventory for measuring depression. , 1961, Archives of general psychiatry.

[884]  W. Edwards.  Behavioral decision theory. , 1961, Annual review of psychology.

[885]  O. K. Moore,et al.  Learning theory and the symbolic processes. , 1962 .

[886]  T. Schelling,et al.  The Strategy of Conflict. , 1961 .

[887]  H ROAZEN,et al.  Clinical versus acturial prediction in the differential diagnosis of jaundice. A stdy of the relative accuracy of predictions made by physicians and by a statistically derived formula in differentiating parenchymal and obstructive jaundice. , 1960, The American journal of the medical sciences.

[888]  P. Wason.  On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task , 1960 .

[889]  D. Katz.  THE FUNCTIONAL APPROACH TO THE STUDY OF ATTITUDES , 1960 .

[890]  J. H. Curtis,et al.  Learning Theory and Behavior , 1960 .

[891]  A. Honoré,et al.  Causation in the law , 1960 .

[892]  Elliot Aronson,et al.  The effect of severity of initiation on liking for a group. , 1959 .

[893]  Paul E. Meehl,et al.  A comparison of clinicians with five statistical methods of identifying psychotic MMPI profiles. , 1959 .

[894]  D. Frame,et al.  The Complete Essays of Montaigne , 1958 .

[895]  F. Heider.  The psychology of interpersonal relations , 1958 .

[896]  L. Festinger,et al.  A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance , 2017 .

[897]  S. S. Stevens.  On the psychophysical law. , 1957, Psychological review.

[898]  C. E. M. Hansel,et al.  The nature of decisions in gambling: Equivalence of single and compound subjective probabilities , 1957 .

[899]  Paul E. Meehl,et al.  When shall we use our heads instead of the formula , 1957 .

[900]  E. Richard Cohen,et al.  The fundamental constants of physics , 1957 .

[901]  W. Mcglothlin.  Stability of choices among uncertain alternatives. , 1956, The American journal of psychology.

[902]  H. Simon,et al.  Rational choice and the structure of the environment. , 1956, Psychological review.

[903]  H. Simon,et al.  Dynamic Programming Under Uncertainty with a Quadratic Criterion Function , 1956 .

[904]  E. R. Cohen,et al.  ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE OF THE 1952 DATA ON THE ATOMIC CONSTANTS AND A NEW ADJUSTMENT, 1955 , 1955 .

[905]  J. Rush,et al.  The Speed of Light , 1955 .

[906]  K. R. Hammond.  Probabilistic functioning and the clinical method. , 1955, Psychological review.

[907]  E. Brunswik.  Representative design and probabilistic theory in a functional psychology. , 1955, Psychological review.

[908]  L. J. Savage,et al.  The Foundations of Statistics , 1955 .

[909]  J. Swets,et al.  A decision-making theory of visual detection. , 1954, Psychological review.

[910]  W. Edwards.  The theory of decision making. , 1954, Psychological bulletin.

[911]  L. Festinger.  A Theory of Social Comparison Processes , 1954 .

[912]  H. N. C. Stevenson.  Status Evaluation in the Hindu Caste System , 1954 .

[913]  F. Barron,et al.  An ego-strength scale which predicts response to psychotherapy. , 1953, Journal of consulting psychology.

[914]  P. Fitts,et al.  S-R compatibility: spatial characteristics of stimulus and response codes. , 1953, Journal of experimental psychology.

[915]  E. R. Cohen,et al.  Least-Squares Adjustment of the Atomic Constants, 1952 , 1953 .

[916]  F. W. Irwin,et al.  Stated expectations as functions of probability and desirability of outcomes. , 1953, Journal of personality.

[917]  E. R. Cohen,et al.  Least-squares adjusted values of the atomic constants as of December, 1950 , 1951 .

[918]  R. W. Marks,et al.  The effect of probability, desirability, and "privilege" on the stated expectations of children. , 1951, Journal of personality.

[919]  L. ESSEN,et al.  Velocity of Light and of Radio Waves , 1971, Nature.

[920]  G. Brier.  VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY , 1950 .

[921]  B. R. Forer,et al.  The fallacy of personal validation; a classroom demonstration of gullibility. , 2011, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[922]  G. Ryle,et al.  心的概念 = The concept of mind , 1962 .

[923]  F. N. David,et al.  Probability Theory for Statistical Methods. , 1949 .

[924]  R. M. Griffith,et al.  Odds adjustments by American horse-race bettors. , 1949, The American journal of psychology.

[925]  G. Ichheiser.  Misunderstandings in human relations: a study in false social perception. , 1949 .

[926]  B. N. Meltzer,et al.  Predicting Length of Hospitalization of Mental Patients , 1946, American Journal of Sociology.

[927]  Fritz Heider,et al.  Social perception and phenomenal causality. , 1944 .

[928]  E. Brunswik.  Organismic achievement and environmental probability. , 1943 .

[929]  J. T. Russell,et al.  Mental efficiency levels before and after shock therapy. , 1942 .

[930]  N. Miller,et al.  Social Learning and Imitation , 1942 .

[931]  R. T. Birge.  The general physical constants: As of august 1941 with details on the velocity of light only , 1941 .

[932]  D. McGregor,et al.  The major determinants of the prediction of social events. , 1938 .

[933]  S. S. Wilks.  Weighting systems for linear functions of correlated variables when there is no dependent variable , 1938 .

[934]  E. Evans-Pritchard,et al.  Witchcraft, Oracles and Magic among the Azande , 1937 .

[935]  R. LaPiere.  Attitudes vs Actions. 1934. , 1934, International journal of epidemiology.

[936]  F. Edmondson.  Velocity of Light , 1934, Nature.

[937]  R. T. Birge,et al.  The Calculation of Errors by the Method of Least Squares , 1932 .

[938]  R. T. Birge,et al.  Probable Values of the General Physical Constants , 1929 .

[939]  C. Spearman,et al.  "THE ABILITIES OF MAN". , 1928, Science.

[940]  L. Thurstone.  Attitudes Can Be Measured , 1928, American Journal of Sociology.

[941]  J. Piaget.  The Language and Thought of the Child , 1927 .

[942]  B. Russell,et al.  A Treatise on Probability , 1921 .

[943]  C. Hallenbeck,et al.  Forecasting Precipitation in Percentages of Probability. , 1920 .

[944]  C. Spearman.  General intelligence Objectively Determined and Measured , 1904 .

[945]  W. James.  The principles of psychology , 1983 .

[946]  James George Frazer,et al.  The Golden Bough: A Study of Magic and Religion , 1890 .