An Examination of the Random Walk Model and Technical Trading Rules in the Malaysian Stock Market

This paper examines the predictability of technical trading mies on the daily returns of the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange Composite Index for the full sample period from January 1977 to December 1999, which includes both bull and bear periods. The methodology employed includes both the variance ratio test and moving average rules. The results indicate non-randomness of successive price changes. The degree of predictability is supported, as the trading rules examined indicate technical attractiveness with the presence of transaction costs.