Quantitative assessment method of power grid disaster response capability based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and comprehensive weight1

To study the objective assessment of power grid disaster response capacity under extreme natural disasters, a quantitative assessment method of power grid disaster response capacity based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and weight is proposed. Firstly, a pre-disaster endurance and post-disaster resilience evaluation index system is established by analyzing the comprehensive data of the power grid system. Then, the analytic hierarchy process and the entropy weight method to obtain the subjective and objective weights of the indicators are used and combined into comprehensive weight determination indicators. Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to quantitatively evaluate the disaster response capability of the power grid is used. Finally, the proposed evaluation method is verified through a calculation example. The results show that the method is reasonable and effective, and has a certain guiding role for the grid to respond to extreme natural disasters.

[1]  Aboelsood Zidan,et al.  Fault Detection, Isolation, and Service Restoration in Distribution Systems: State-of-the-Art and Future Trends , 2017, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[2]  Adolfo Crespo,et al.  Dynamic Analytic Hierarchy Process: AHP method adapted to a changing environment , 2012 .

[3]  Xiao Shijie Comprehensively Defending High Risk Events with Low Probability , 2011 .

[4]  Wang De-dao The development of natural disaster response capacity for power system , 2008 .

[5]  Xie Yunyu Space-time Early-warning of Power Grid Fault Probability by Lightning , 2013 .

[6]  Shangping Zhong,et al.  Online Power Grid Emergency Material Demand Forecasting Model in Typhoon Disaster Based on Relevance Vector Machine , 2016, 2016 9th International Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Design (ISCID).

[7]  Zhao Jianguo An Overview on Prevention Technology of Earthquake Disaster for Power Grids , 2010 .

[8]  LI Cheng-rong Research Issues for Safe Operation of Power Grid in China under Ice-Snow Disasters , 2008 .

[9]  Li Haifeng,et al.  Questionnaire Survey and Analysis of Natural Disaster Defense Techniques of Power Grids in China , 2010 .

[10]  R. Billinton,et al.  Application of adverse and extreme adverse weather: modelling in transmission and distribution system reliability evaluation , 2006 .

[11]  Pavankumar Tallapragada,et al.  Event-Triggered Decentralized Dynamic Output Feedback Control for LTI Systems* , 2012 .

[12]  Furong Li,et al.  Identification and evaluation of risk in urban network planning based on fuzzy theory , 2010 .

[13]  Zhou Han Preventive control decision making based on risk analysis for power system security warning , 2009 .

[14]  Tang Yong Countermeasures Against Sudden Events to Ensure the Security of Urban Power Supply Systems , 2008 .

[15]  Min Ouyang,et al.  Multi-dimensional hurricane resilience assessment of electric power systems , 2014 .