Buy Now or Buy Later: The Effects of Scarcity and Discounts on Purchase Decisions

This research investigates a burgeoning pricing strategy and its effects on purchase behavior. Drawing from the expected-utility and prospect theories, we test the counteracting variables of scarcity and future discount across two studies. We first implement a flea market scenario to demonstrate that scarcity creates emotional value that increases purchase likelihood. Next, we determine the levels of scarcity and discount that maximize purchase in a department store context. The findings suggest that the level of discount predicts the purchase of highly visible products; for less visible products, scarcity drives the decision. These relationships are moderated by involvement with the product class.

[1]  James C. Anderson,et al.  Why the highest price isn't the best price , 2010 .

[2]  R. Hall Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence , 1978, Journal of Political Economy.

[3]  José Antonio Domínguez Machuca,et al.  Rapid-Fire Fulfillment , 2004 .

[4]  R. Dhar,et al.  The Effect of Time Pressure on Consumer Choice Deferral , 1999 .

[5]  J. Bettman Perceived Risk and Its Components: A Model and Empirical Test , 1973 .

[6]  K. B. Monroe Pricing: Making Profitable Decisions , 1990 .

[7]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk — Source link , 2007 .

[8]  Timothy C. Brock,et al.  10 – Implications of Commodity Theory for Value Change1 , 1968 .

[9]  K. B. Monroe,et al.  The effects of perceived scarcity on consumers’ processing of price information , 2007 .

[10]  Mary Jo Bitner,et al.  The Service Encounter: Diagnosing Favorable and Unfavorable Incidents: , 1990 .

[11]  Michael Lynn,et al.  Scarcity effects on desirability: mediated by assumed expensiveness? , 1989 .

[12]  David E. Bell,et al.  Regret in Decision Making under Uncertainty , 1982, Oper. Res..

[13]  J. Zaichkowsky Measuring the Involvement Construct , 1985 .

[14]  Akshay R. Rao,et al.  The Effect of Prior Knowledge on Price Acceptability and the Type of Information Examined , 1992 .

[15]  G. Soutar,et al.  Consumer perceived value: The development of a multiple item scale , 2001 .

[16]  M. Rothschild,et al.  Perspectives on Involvement: Current Problems and Future Directions , 1984 .

[17]  Kent B. Monroe,et al.  The Effects of Time Constraints on Consumers' Judgments of Prices and Products , 2003 .

[18]  Daniel L. Sherrell,et al.  Consumer Search: An Extended Framework , 1986 .

[19]  T. V. Zandt,et al.  Expected Utility Theory , 2007, The Handbook of Rational and Social Choice.

[20]  D. A. Kenny,et al.  The moderator-mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations. , 1986, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[21]  Banwari Mittal A comparative analysis of four scales of consumer involvement , 1995 .

[22]  Laura A. Brannon,et al.  Limiting Time for Responding Enhances Behavior Corresponding to the Merits of Compliance Appeals: Refutations of Heuristic-Cue Theory in Service and Consumer Settings , 2001 .

[23]  Peter H. Bloch,et al.  Correlates of Price Acceptability , 1988 .

[24]  Russell S. Winer,et al.  A reference price model of brand choice for frequently purchased products. , 1986 .

[25]  Margaret C. Campbell Perceptions of Price Unfairness: Antecedents and Consequences , 1999 .

[26]  M. Brucks The Effects of Product Class Knowledge on Information Search Behavior , 1985 .

[27]  G. Zinkhan,et al.  Determinants of retail patronage: A meta-analytical perspective , 2006 .

[28]  Michael Tsiros,et al.  Ending a Price Promotion: Retracting it in One Step or Phasing it out Gradually , 2010 .

[29]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect theory: analysis of decision under risk , 1979 .

[30]  Daniel Kahneman,et al.  Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability , 1973 .

[31]  J. Inman,et al.  Framing the Deal: The Role of Restrictions in Accentuating Deal Value , 1997 .

[32]  D. Mackinnon,et al.  Estimating Mediated Effects in Prevention Studies , 1993 .

[33]  R. Deshpandé,et al.  What We See Makes Us who We are: Priming Ethnic Self-Awareness and Advertising Response , 2001 .

[34]  Scot Burton,et al.  A scale for measuring attitude toward private label products and an examination of its psychological and behavioral correlates , 1998 .

[35]  N. Harvey,et al.  Regret triggers inaction inertia--but which regret and how? , 2006, The British journal of social psychology.

[36]  R. Cialdini Influence: Science and Practice , 1984 .

[37]  K. Sivakumar Tradeoff between Frequency and Depth of Price Promotions: Implications for High- and Low-Priced Brands , 1996 .

[38]  Dennis W. Rook,et al.  Normative Influences on Impulsive Buying Behavior , 1995 .

[39]  G. Laurent,et al.  Measuring Consumer Involvement Profiles , 1985 .

[40]  James A. Roberts,et al.  Regulatory focus as a mediator of the influence of initiating structure and servant leadership on employee behavior. , 2008, The Journal of applied psychology.

[41]  R. A. Wicklund,et al.  Consumer Behavior and Psychological Reactance , 1980 .

[42]  H. Estelami The Effect of Price Presentation Tactics on Consumer Evaluation Effort of Multi-Dimensional Prices , 2003 .

[43]  Robert Jacobson,et al.  The Formation of Expected Future Price: A Reference Price for Forward-Looking Consumers , 1990 .

[44]  K. Schulte,et al.  International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) , 2000 .

[45]  S. Raj,et al.  Reference Price Research: Review and Propositions , 2005 .

[46]  Peter H. Bloch,et al.  After the New Wears Off: The Temporal Context of Product Involvement , 1986 .

[47]  Timothy C. Brock,et al.  Unavailability Effects on Message Processing: A Theoretical Analysis an Empirical Test , 1992 .

[48]  M. Sobel Asymptotic Confidence Intervals for Indirect Effects in Structural Equation Models , 1982 .

[49]  V. Mittal,et al.  Regret: A Model of its Antecedents and Consequences in Consumer Decision Making , 2000 .

[50]  V. Folkes,et al.  The Availability Heuristic and Perceived Risk , 1988 .

[51]  The effect of normative beliefs on anticipated emotions. , 1992, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[52]  Dennis W. Rook The Buying Impulse , 1987 .

[53]  Patrick DeGraba Buying Frenzies and Seller-Induced Excess Demand , 1995 .

[54]  Richard L. Celsi,et al.  The Role of Involvement in Attention and Comprehension Processes , 1988 .

[55]  K. B. Monroe Buyers’ Subjective Perceptions of Price , 1973 .

[56]  Peter H. Bloch,et al.  A Theoretical Model for the Study of Product Importance Perceptions , 1983 .