Input-Output Models and Derived Indicators: A Critical Review

Input-Output literature can be characterized as complicated and chaotic. The complications concern the nomenclature of concepts for the derived indices from the multipliers’ models, their mathematical expressions and computable applications. The terminologies’ inconsistencies often end up to a deviation between the description for these indices and their actual computation, or/and to a misunderstanding as for their usefulness and outcomes. The aim of the paper is to help the readers to face the weaknesses in the literature. In this way, the paper provide an overview with a critical look to the constructed multipliers’ matrices and their derived indicators from the I-O models, and elaborate the causes for the scrutinized confusions. The paper proposes both terminological and computational adjustments and differentiated approaches for the models and their indices, in order to ameliorate their capabilities and to exploit their peculiarities for the developmental patterns. Alternative interpretative ways and applicable expansions are suggested.

[1]  Bo Meng,et al.  Application of the Input-Output Decomposition Technique to China's Regional Economies , 2007 .

[2]  Louis de Mesnard A biproportional filter to compare technical and allocation coefficient variations , 1997 .

[3]  Wassily Leontief Input-Output Economics , 1966 .

[4]  Jan Oosterhaven,et al.  Analytical and Empirical Comparison of Policy-Relevant Key Sector Measures , 2014 .

[5]  Assessing development efficiency in Malaysian economy: input-output approach , 2012 .

[6]  Ferran Sancho Some conceptual difficulties regarding ‘net’ multipliers , 2013 .

[7]  C. Milana,et al.  DIRECT AND INDIRECT REQUIREMENTS FOR GROSS OUTPUT IN INPUT–OUTPUT ANALYSIS(*) , 2006 .

[8]  Louis de Mesnard Note About the Concept of 'Net Multipliers' , 2002 .

[9]  Arpita Ghosh,et al.  Input-Output Approach in an Allocation System , 1958 .

[10]  J. Diamond Inter-industry indicators of employment potential , 1975 .

[11]  The Identification of Structure at the Sectoral Level: a Reformulation of the Hirschman–Rasmussen Key Sector Indices , 1992 .

[12]  Louis de Mesnard A critical comment on Oosterhaven–Stelder net multipliers , 2007 .

[13]  P. Rogerson,et al.  Dynamic flow modeling with interregional dependency effects: an application to structural change in the U.S. migration system , 1986, Demography.

[14]  J. Stage,et al.  Key Sectors of the Namibian Economy , 2013 .

[15]  N. B. Long AN INPUT-OUTPUT COMPARISON OF THE ECONOMIC STRUCTURE OF THE U.S. AND THE U.S.S.R. , 1970 .

[16]  Louis de Mesnard Biproportional Method for Analysing Interindustry Dynamics: the case of France , 1990 .

[17]  Alice H. Amsden,et al.  Inductive theory in economic development: A tribute to Wassily Leontief on his 90th birthday , 1995 .

[18]  J. Oosterhaven Leontief versus Ghoshian Price and Quantity Models , 1996 .

[19]  Rodney C. Jensen,et al.  Some reflections on input-output multipliers , 1980 .

[20]  Alberto Heimler,et al.  Linkages and Vertical Integration in the Chinese Economy , 1991 .

[21]  Louis de Mesnard Reply to Oosterhaven’s: the net multiplier is a new key sector indicator , 2007 .

[22]  H. A. Bekhet Output, Income and Employment Multipliers in Malaysian Economy: Input-Output Approach , 2010 .

[23]  Louis de Mesnard IS THE GHOSH MODEL INTERESTING , 2009 .

[24]  Ferran Sancho,et al.  A multiplier evaluation of primary factors supply–shocks in a regional economy , 2017, Papers in Regional Science.

[25]  Erik Dietzenbacher,et al.  More on Multipliers , 2005 .

[26]  Erik Dietzenbacher,et al.  In Vindication of the Ghosh Model: A Reinterpretation as a Price Model , 1997 .

[27]  Günter Strassert,et al.  Zur Bestimmung strategischer Sektoren mit Hilfe von Input-Output-Modellen , 1968 .

[28]  Bo Meng,et al.  Measuring China’s domestic production networks through Trade in Value-added perspectives , 2017 .

[29]  Scott Kelly,et al.  Estimating economic loss from cascading infrastructure failure: a perspective on modelling interdependency , 2015 .

[30]  J. Szyrmer,et al.  Input—Output Coefficients and Multipliers from a Total-Flow Perspective , 1992 .

[31]  Erik Dietzenbacher,et al.  Sectoral and spatial linkages in the EC production structure , 1997 .

[32]  Erik Dietzenbacher,et al.  Interregional Multipliers: Looking Backward, Looking Forward , 2002 .

[33]  Peter A. Rogerson,et al.  Modeling temporal change in flow matrices , 1984 .

[34]  Jan Oosterhaven,et al.  Net Multipliers Avoid Exaggerating Impacts: With a Bi-Regional Illustration for the Dutch Transportation Sector , 2002 .

[35]  D. Roberts,et al.  The employment and output effects of changing patterns of afforestation in Scotland , 2002 .

[36]  G. Poggi Economy and Society: An Outline of Interpretive Sociology , 1969 .

[37]  Jin shui Zhang Iterative method for finding the balanced growth solution of the non-linear dynamic input-output model and the dynamic CGE model , 2001 .

[38]  Jan Oosterhaven,et al.  THE SUPPLY-DRIVEN INPUT-OUTPUT MODEL - A NEW INTERPRETATION BUT STILL IMPLAUSIBLE , 1989 .

[39]  W. Leontief Quantitative Input and Output Relations in the Economic Systems of the United States , 1936 .

[40]  Straightening out the concept of direct and indirect input requirements , 2011 .

[41]  PingSun Leung,et al.  Linkage Measures: a Revisit and a Suggested Alternative , 2004, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manag..

[42]  J. Oosterhaven On the definition of key sectors and the stability of net versus gross multipliers , 2004 .

[43]  Galina Ivanova The mining industry in Queensland, Australia: Some regional development issues , 2014 .

[44]  A. Freytag,et al.  Sectoral linkages of financial services as channels of economic development—An input–output analysis of the Nigerian and Kenyan economies☆ , 2017 .

[45]  B. Hazari,et al.  Linkages and imports: A comparative study of India and Pakistan , 1971 .

[46]  Louis de Mesnard Understanding the shortcomings of commodity-based technology in input-output models: an economic-circuit approach , 2004 .

[47]  O. Bjerkholt When input-output analysis came to Norway , 1995 .

[48]  Maria Augusztinovics What Input-Output is about , 1995 .

[49]  Jan Oosterhaven,et al.  Clusters, Linkages and Interregional Spillovers: Methodology and Policy Implications for the Two Dutch Mainports and the Rural North , 2001 .

[50]  Umed Temurshoev,et al.  Identifying Optimal Sector Groupings with the Hypothetical Extraction Method , 2009 .

[51]  Gene W. Gruver,et al.  ON THE PLAUSIBILITY OF THE SUPPLY—DRIVEN INPUT‐OUTPUT MODEL: A THEORETICAL BASIS FOR INPUT‐COEFFICIENT CHANGE , 1989 .

[52]  J. Oosterhaven The net multiplier is a new key sector indicator: reply to De Mesnard’s comment , 2007 .

[53]  Gerd Gigerenzer,et al.  Heuristic decision making. , 2011, Annual review of psychology.

[54]  Jonathan F. Donges,et al.  Towards representing human behavior and decision making in Earth system models – an overview of techniques and approaches , 2017 .

[55]  Manuel Alejandro Cardenete,et al.  THE ROLE OF SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS IN MULTIPLIER ANALYSIS , 2012 .

[56]  Konstadinos Mattas,et al.  A new approach to determining sectoral priorities in an economy: input–Output elasticities , 1991 .

[57]  Yacov Y. Haimes,et al.  Managing the risk of terrorism to interdependent infrastructure systems through the dynamic inoperability input–output model , 2006, Syst. Eng..

[58]  Jeffrey B. Nugent,et al.  A Balanced-Growth Version of the Linkage Hypothesis: A Test , 1973 .

[59]  A. Kontogeorgos,et al.  Key-sectors attractiveness of the Greek economy: An input-output approach , 2018 .

[60]  Hollis B. Chenery,et al.  International Comparisons of the Structure of Production , 1958 .

[61]  Konstadinos Mattas,et al.  Structural Changes in Less Developed Areas: An Input- Output Framework , 2004 .

[62]  Peter A. Rogerson,et al.  A causative matrix approach to interpreting structural change , 1990 .

[63]  Manfred Lenzen,et al.  INPUT–OUTPUT ANALYSIS: THE NEXT 25 YEARS , 2013 .

[64]  W. Coleman Monetary Economics: An Integrated Approach to Credit, Money, Income, Production and Wealth , 2007 .

[65]  Matthias Schroder,et al.  Input–Output Analysis , 2011 .

[66]  R. Koopman,et al.  Domestic Foundations of Global Value Chains , 2015 .

[67]  Guido Cella,et al.  THE INPUT‐OUTPUT MEASUREMENT OF INTERINDUSTRY LINKAGES* , 2009 .

[68]  William B. Beyers,et al.  Empirical Identification of Key Sectors: Some Further Evidence , 1976 .

[69]  A. Valadkhani Using Input-Output Analysis to Identify Australia's High Employment Generating Industries , 2003 .

[70]  Siegfried Schultz,et al.  Approaches to identifying key sectors empirically by means of input‐output analysis , 1977 .

[71]  Sergio J. Rey,et al.  Integrated regional econometric+input-output modeling: Issues and opportunities , 2000 .

[72]  F. Duchin In honor of Wassily Leontief's 90th birthday , 1995 .

[73]  Benedict Clements,et al.  Linkages and economic development : the case of Brazil reconsidered , 1991 .

[74]  Ferran Sancho,et al.  A Comparison Of Input-Output Models:Ghosh Reduces To Leontief (But 'Closing' Ghosh Makes It More Plausible) , 2010 .

[75]  Leroy P. Jones The Measurement of Hirschmanian Linkages , 1976 .

[76]  A. Hirschman,et al.  The strategy of economic development , 1959 .

[77]  W. Baumol,et al.  A key role for input-output analysis in policy design , 1994 .

[78]  J. Oosterhaven ON THE PLAUSIBILITY OF THE SUPPLY-DRIVEN INPUT-OUTPUT MODEL , 1988 .

[79]  A. Michailidis,et al.  Linkages of the energy sector in the Greek economy: an input-output approach , 2015 .

[80]  Douglas Crawford-Brown,et al.  Exploring Vulnerability and Interdependency of UK Infrastructure Using Key-Linkages Analysis , 2016 .

[81]  M. Alauddin Identification of key sectors in the Bangladesh economy: A linkage analysis approach , 1986 .

[82]  Henrique Dantas Neder,et al.  Sraffa, Leontief, Lange: The political economy of input–output economics , 2017 .

[83]  Isidoro Romero,et al.  Fragmentation and complexity: Analyzing structural change in the Chicago regional economy , 2009 .

[84]  R. C. Jensen,et al.  Regional Economic Planning: Generation of Regional Input-output Analysis , 2017 .

[85]  M. Sonis,et al.  Linkages, Key Sectors and Structural Change: Some New Perspectives , 1995 .

[86]  B. Hazari,et al.  Empirical Identification of Key Sectors in the Indian Economy , 1970 .

[87]  Benedict Clements,et al.  On the decomposition and normalization of interindustry linkages , 1990 .

[88]  J. Oosterhaven Key Sector Analysis: A Note on the Other Side of the Coin , 2017 .