What do the experts know? Calibration, precision, and the wisdom of crowds among forensic handwriting experts

[1]  Richard D. Morey,et al.  Baysefactor: Computation of Bayes Factors for Common Designs , 2018 .

[2]  Jessica Brand,et al.  It is Now Up to the Courts: "Forensic Science in Criminal Courts: Ensuring Scientific Validity of Feature-Comparison Methods" , 2017 .

[3]  G. Edmond,et al.  Rethinking Expert Opinion Evidence , 2017 .

[4]  Ellen Schuetzner,et al.  Measuring the Frequency Occurrence of Handwriting and Handprinting Characteristics , , 2017, Journal of forensic sciences.

[5]  Itiel E. Dror,et al.  A Hierarchy of Expert Performance , 2016 .

[6]  K. Ericsson,et al.  Peak: Secrets from the New Science of Expertise , 2016 .

[7]  Michael Vitale,et al.  The wisdom of crowds , 2016, The Lancet.

[8]  Michael D. Lee,et al.  Using cognitive models to combine probability estimates , 2014, Judgment and Decision Making.

[9]  Jonathan Baron,et al.  Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model , 2014 .

[10]  Paolo Garbolino,et al.  The subjectivist interpretation of probability and the problem of individualisation in forensic science. , 2013, Science & justice : journal of the Forensic Science Society.

[11]  Karl Pearson,et al.  On the Mathematical Theory of Errors of Judgment, With Special Reference to the Personal Equation , 2013 .

[12]  David V. Budescu,et al.  A model-based approach for the analysis of the calibration of probability judgments , 2011, Judgment and Decision Making.

[13]  Daniele Schön,et al.  Musical Expertise and Statistical Learning of Musical and Linguistic Structures , 2011, Front. Psychology.

[14]  Jan De Kinder,et al.  Expressing evaluative opinions: a position statement. , 2011, Science & justice : journal of the Forensic Science Society.

[15]  I. Dror,et al.  The vision in “blind” justice: Expert perception, judgment, and visual cognition in forensic pattern recognition , 2010, Psychonomic bulletin & review.

[16]  Edgar C. Merkle,et al.  Calibrating Subjective Probabilities Using Hierarchical Bayesian Models , 2010, SBP.

[17]  National Research Council Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States: A Path Forward , 2009, CrimRxiv.

[18]  Francesina R. Jackson Outliers: The Story of Success , 2009 .

[19]  Bryan Found,et al.  The probative character of Forensic Handwriting Examiners' identification and elimination opinions on questioned signatures. , 2008, Forensic science international.

[20]  David L. Faigman Anecdotal Forensics, Phrenology, and Other Abject Lessons from the History of Science , 2008 .

[21]  James Shanteau,et al.  People Who Judge People , 2006 .

[22]  Bryan Found,et al.  Visual Attention and Expertise for Forensic Signature Analysis , 2006, Journal of forensic sciences.

[23]  B. Scholl,et al.  The Automaticity of Visual Statistical Learning Statistical Learning , 2005 .

[24]  J. Koehler,et al.  The Coming Paradigm Shift in Forensic Identification Science , 2005, Science.

[25]  David J. Weiss,et al.  Empirical Assessment of Expertise , 2003, Hum. Factors.

[26]  Martyn Plummer,et al.  JAGS: A program for analysis of Bayesian graphical models using Gibbs sampling , 2003 .

[27]  Bryan Found,et al.  Forensic handwriting examiners' expertise for signature comparison. , 2002, Journal of forensic sciences.

[28]  R. Aslin,et al.  Statistical learning of higher-order temporal structure from visual shape sequences. , 2002, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.

[29]  R. Aslin,et al.  PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE Research Article UNSUPERVISED STATISTICAL LEARNING OF HIGHER-ORDER SPATIAL STRUCTURES FROM VISUAL SCENES , 2022 .

[30]  C. Aitken,et al.  De Finetti's subjectivism, the assessment of probabilities and the evaluation of evidence: a commentary for forensic scientists , 2001 .

[31]  M. Kam,et al.  Signature authentication by forensic document examiners. , 2001, Journal of forensic sciences.

[32]  D. Prelec The Probability Weighting Function , 1998 .

[33]  K. A. Ericsson,et al.  Expert and exceptional performance: evidence of maximal adaptation to task constraints. , 1996, Annual review of psychology.

[34]  Ted Goertzel,et al.  Belief in Conspiracy Theories , 1994 .

[35]  Robert J. Crutcher,et al.  The role of deliberate practice in the acquisition of expert performance. , 1993 .

[36]  A. H. Murphy,et al.  Impacts of Feedback and Experience on the Quality of Subjective Probability Forecasts. Comparison of Results from the First and Second Years of the Zierikzee Experiment , 1984 .

[37]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980 , 1982 .

[38]  W. G. Cochran Errors of Measurement in Statistics , 1968 .