Precursors to potential severe core damage accidents, 1969-1979, a status report
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Descriptions of 169 operational events reported as Licensee Event Reports, which occurred at commercial light-water reactors during 1969-1979 and which are considered to be precursors to potential severe core damage, are presented, along with associated event trees and categorizations and subsequent analyses. The report summarizes work in (1) the development of methods used to screen approx. 19,400 LER abstracts for potential precursors, (2) the initial screening of those abstracts to determine which should be reviewed in detail, (3) the detailed review of those selected LERs that yielded the 169 events, (4) the categorization of the 169 events, (5) the calculation of function failure estimates based on precursor data, (6) the use of probability of severe core damage estimates to rank precursor events and estimate the frequency of severe core damage, (7) the identification of 52 events considered significant, (8) trends analyses of those significant events, and (9) the identification of the other events of interest that occurred within 1 month of significant events.
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