Modeling Public Mood and Emotion: Twitter Sentiment and Socio-Economic Phenomena

We perform a sentiment analysis of all tweets published on the microblogging platform Twitter in the second half of 2008. We use a psychometric instrument to extract six mood states (tension, depression, anger, vigor, fatigue, confusion) from the aggregated Twitter content and compute a six-dimensional mood vector for each day in the timeline. We compare our results to a record of popular events gathered from media and sources. We find that events in the social, political, cultural and economic sphere do have a significant, immediate and highly specific effect on the various dimensions of public mood. We speculate that large scale analyses of mood can provide a solid platform to model collective emotive trends in terms of their predictive value with regards to existing social as well as economic indicators.

[1]  Johan Bollen,et al.  Between Conjecture and Memento: Shaping A Collective Emotional Perception of the Future , 2008, AAAI Spring Symposium: Emotion, Personality, and Social Behavior.

[2]  M. Bradley,et al.  Affective Norms for English Words (ANEW): Instruction Manual and Affective Ratings , 1999 .

[3]  Kate Crawford These Foolish Things: On Intimacy and Insignifi cance in Mobile Media , 2009 .

[4]  Brendan T. O'Connor,et al.  From Tweets to Polls: Linking Text Sentiment to Public Opinion Time Series , 2010, ICWSM.

[5]  ThelwallMike,et al.  Sentiment strength detection in short informal text , 2010 .

[6]  J O Prochaska,et al.  Factor structure of the Profile of Mood States (POMS): two partial replications. , 1984, Journal of clinical psychology.

[7]  Johan Bollen,et al.  Twitter mood predicts the stock market , 2010, J. Comput. Sci..

[8]  Isabell M. Welpe,et al.  Predicting Elections with Twitter: What 140 Characters Reveal about Political Sentiment , 2010, ICWSM.

[9]  M. Lorr,et al.  Profile of mood states , 1971 .

[10]  Ramanathan V. Guha,et al.  The predictive power of online chatter , 2005, KDD '05.

[11]  Mike Thelwall,et al.  Data mining emotion in social network communication: Gender differences in MySpace , 2010, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[12]  Gilad Mishne,et al.  Capturing Global Mood Levels using Blog Posts , 2006, AAAI Spring Symposium: Computational Approaches to Analyzing Weblogs.

[13]  Hugo Liu,et al.  A Corpus-based Approach to Finding Happiness , 2006, AAAI Spring Symposium: Computational Approaches to Analyzing Weblogs.

[14]  Jeonghee Yi,et al.  Sentiment analysis: capturing favorability using natural language processing , 2003, K-CAP '03.

[15]  M. de Rijke,et al.  Decomposing Bloggers' Moods , 2006 .

[16]  Siu Yin Cheung,et al.  An Innovative Shortened Bilingual Version of the Profile of Mood States (POMS-SBV) , 2005 .

[17]  Martin F. Porter,et al.  An algorithm for suffix stripping , 1997, Program.

[18]  Rudy Prabowo,et al.  Sentiment analysis: A combined approach , 2009, J. Informetrics.

[19]  Michael Gamon,et al.  Sentiment classification on customer feedback data: noisy data, large feature vectors, and the role of linguistic analysis , 2004, COLING.

[20]  Timothy W. Finin,et al.  Why we twitter: understanding microblogging usage and communities , 2007, WebKDD/SNA-KDD '07.

[21]  Razvan C. Bunescu,et al.  Sentiment analyzer: extracting sentiments about a given topic using natural language processing techniques , 2003, Third IEEE International Conference on Data Mining.

[22]  Gilad Mishne,et al.  Predicting Movie Sales from Blogger Sentiment , 2006, AAAI Spring Symposium: Computational Approaches to Analyzing Weblogs.

[23]  S. Shacham,et al.  A shortened version of the Profile of Mood States. , 1983, Journal of personality assessment.

[24]  Mike Thelwall,et al.  Sentiment in short strength detection informal text , 2010 .

[25]  Bo Pang,et al.  Seeing Stars: Exploiting Class Relationships for Sentiment Categorization with Respect to Rating Scales , 2005, ACL.