Lateral prefrontal cortex contributes to maladaptive decisions

Humans consistently make suboptimal decisions involving random events, yet the underlying neural mechanisms remain elusive. Using functional MRI and a matching pennies game that captured subjects’ increasing tendency to predict the break of a streak as it continued [i.e., the “gambler's fallacy” (GF)], we found that a strong blood oxygen level-dependent response in the left lateral prefrontal cortex (LPFC) to the current outcome preceded the use of the GF strategy 10 s later. Furthermore, anodal transcranial direct current stimulation over the left LPFC, which enhances neuronal firing rates and cerebral excitability, increased the use of the GF strategy, and made the decisions more “sticky.” These results reveal a causal role of the LPFC in implementing suboptimal decision strategy guided by false world models, especially when such strategy requires great resources for cognitive control.

[1]  Timothy E. J. Behrens,et al.  Review Frontal Cortex and Reward-guided Learning and Decision-making Figure 1. Frontal Brain Regions in the Macaque Involved in Reward-guided Learning and Decision-making Finer Grained Anatomical Divisions with Frontal Cortical Systems for Reward-guided Behavior , 2022 .

[2]  Timothy E. J. Behrens,et al.  Counterfactual Choice and Learning in a Neural Network Centered on Human Lateral Frontopolar Cortex , 2011, PLoS biology.

[3]  John M. Pearson,et al.  Posterior cingulate cortex: adapting behavior to a changing world , 2011, Trends in Cognitive Sciences.

[4]  S. Wise,et al.  Frontal pole cortex: encoding ends at the end of the endbrain , 2011, Trends in Cognitive Sciences.

[5]  P. Dayan,et al.  Model-based influences on humans’ choices and striatal prediction errors , 2011, Neuron.

[6]  M. Nitsche,et al.  Physiological Basis of Transcranial Direct Current Stimulation , 2011, The Neuroscientist : a review journal bringing neurobiology, neurology and psychiatry.

[7]  Gui Xue,et al.  An fMRI study of risk‐taking following wins and losses: Implications for the gambler's fallacy , 2011, Human brain mapping.

[8]  C S Green,et al.  Alterations in choice behavior by manipulations of world model , 2010, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[9]  J. Cleaveland,et al.  An effect of inter-trial duration on the gambler's fallacy choice bias , 2010, Behavioural Processes.

[10]  V. Walsh,et al.  Transcranial Direct Current Stimulation Facilitates Decision Making in a Probabilistic Guessing Task , 2010, The Journal of Neuroscience.

[11]  Aldo Genovesio,et al.  Evaluating self-generated decisions in frontal pole cortex of monkeys , 2009, Nature Neuroscience.

[12]  M. Frank,et al.  Prefrontal and striatal dopaminergic genes predict individual differences in exploration and exploitation. , 2009, Nature neuroscience.

[13]  Timothy Edward John Behrens,et al.  How Green Is the Grass on the Other Side? Frontopolar Cortex and the Evidence in Favor of Alternative Courses of Action , 2009, Neuron.

[14]  A. Bechara,et al.  Cerebral Cortex doi:10.1093/cercor/bhn147 Functional Dissociations of Risk and Reward Processing in the Medial Prefrontal Cortex , 2008 .

[15]  Yuhong Jiang,et al.  Inferior parietal lobule supports decision making under uncertainty in humans. , 2009, Cerebral cortex.

[16]  An T. Oskarsson,et al.  What’s Next? Judging Sequences of Binary Events , 2008, Psychological bulletin.

[17]  R. Poldrack,et al.  Neural Substrates for Reversing Stimulus–Outcome and Stimulus–Response Associations , 2008, The Journal of Neuroscience.

[18]  Benjamin Y. Hayden,et al.  Posterior Cingulate Cortex Mediates Outcome-Contingent Allocation of Behavior , 2008, Neuron.

[19]  Mark W. Woolrich,et al.  Robust group analysis using outlier inference , 2008, NeuroImage.

[20]  Arthur W. Toga,et al.  Automatic independent component labeling for artifact removal in fMRI , 2008, NeuroImage.

[21]  Á. Pascual-Leone,et al.  Diminishing Risk-Taking Behavior by Modulating Activity in the Prefrontal Cortex: A Direct Current Stimulation Study , 2007, The Journal of Neuroscience.

[22]  H. Seo,et al.  Dynamic signals related to choices and outcomes in the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex. , 2007, Cerebral cortex.

[23]  Á. Pascual-Leone,et al.  Activation of Prefrontal Cortex by Transcranial Direct Current Stimulation Reduces Appetite for Risk during Ambiguous Decision Making , 2007, The Journal of Neuroscience.

[24]  H. Seo,et al.  Mechanisms of Reinforcement Learning and Decision Making in the Primate Dorsolateral Prefrontal Cortex , 2007, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences.

[25]  Sabrina M. Tom,et al.  The Neural Basis of Loss Aversion in Decision-Making Under Risk , 2007, Science.

[26]  M. Jenkinson Non-linear registration aka Spatial normalisation , 2007 .

[27]  P. Dayan,et al.  Cortical substrates for exploratory decisions in humans , 2006, Nature.

[28]  Michael B. Miller,et al.  Brain activations associated with probability matching , 2005, Neuropsychologia.

[29]  P. Dayan,et al.  Uncertainty-based competition between prefrontal and dorsolateral striatal systems for behavioral control , 2005, Nature Neuroscience.

[30]  Hanna Damasio,et al.  Investment Behavior and the Negative Side of Emotion , 2005, Psychological science.

[31]  Peter Ayton,et al.  The hot hand fallacy and the gambler’s fallacy: Two faces of subjective randomness? , 2004, Memory & cognition.

[32]  D. Barraclough,et al.  Prefrontal cortex and decision making in a mixed-strategy game , 2004, Nature Neuroscience.

[33]  Bruce D Burns,et al.  Randomness and inductions from streaks: “Gambler’s fallacy” versus ”hot hand“ , 2004, Psychonomic bulletin & review.

[34]  M. Nitsche,et al.  Safety criteria for transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) in humans , 2003, Clinical Neurophysiology.

[35]  D. M. Boynton,et al.  Superstitious responding and frequency matching in the positive bias and gambler’s fallacy effects , 2003 .

[36]  Lana M Trick,et al.  Grouping and gambling: a Gestalt approach to understanding the gambler's fallacy. , 2003, Canadian journal of experimental psychology = Revue canadienne de psychologie experimentale.

[37]  D. Shanks,et al.  A Re-examination of Probability Matching and Rational Choice , 2002 .

[38]  G. McCarthy,et al.  Perceiving patterns in random series: dynamic processing of sequence in prefrontal cortex , 2002, Nature Neuroscience.

[39]  Robert T. Knight,et al.  Making order from chaos: the misguided frontal lobe , 2002, Nature Neuroscience.

[40]  Frank A. Schmid,et al.  Gambler’s fallacy? , 2002 .

[41]  Stephen M. Smith,et al.  A global optimisation method for robust affine registration of brain images , 2001, Medical Image Anal..

[42]  John R. Anderson,et al.  The role of prefrontal cortex and posterior parietal cortex in task switching. , 2000, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[43]  J. Cohen,et al.  Dissociating the role of the dorsolateral prefrontal and anterior cingulate cortex in cognitive control. , 2000, Science.

[44]  M. Rabin Inference by Believers in the Law of Small Numbers , 2000 .

[45]  A. Dove,et al.  Prefrontal cortex activation in task switching: an event-related fMRI study. , 2000, Brain research. Cognitive brain research.

[46]  A. Damasio,et al.  Deciding Advantageously Before Knowing the Advantageous Strategy , 1997, Science.

[47]  Masataka Watanabe Reward expectancy in primate prefrental neurons , 1996, Nature.

[48]  W. Estes Toward a Statistical Theory of Learning. , 1994 .

[49]  Sandy Lovie How the mind works , 1980, Nature.

[50]  A. Tversky,et al.  BELIEF IN THE LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS , 1971, Pediatrics.

[51]  G. S. Tune RESPONSE PREFERENCES: A REVIEW OF SOME RELEVANT LITERATURE. , 1964, Psychological bulletin.