PERSEVEREBiomarkers Predict Severe Acute Kidney Injury andRenal Recovery in Pediatric Septic Shock

Rationale: Acute kidney injury (AKI), a common complication of sepsis, is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality and lacks definitive disease-modifying therapy. Early, reliable identification of at-risk patients is important for targeted implementation of renal protective measures. The updated Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model (PERSEVERE-II) is a validated, multibiomarker prognostic enrichment strategy to estimate baseline mortality risk in pediatric septic shock. Objectives: To assess the association between PERSEVERE-II mortality probability and the development of severe, sepsisassociated AKI on Day 3 (D3 SA-AKI) in pediatric septic shock. Methods:We performed secondary analysis of a prospective observational study of children with septic shock in whom the PERSEVERE biomarkers were measured to assign a PERSEVERE-II baseline mortality risk. Measurements andMain Results:Among 379 patients, 65 (17%) developed severe D3 SA-AKI. The proportion of patients developing severe D3 SA-AKI increased directly with increasing PERSEVERE-II risk category, and increasing PERSEVERE-II mortality probability was independently associatedwith increasedoddsof severeD3SA-AKIafter adjustment for age and illness severity (odds ratio, 1.4; 95% confidence interval, 1.2–1.7; P, 0.001). Similar associations were found between increasing PERSEVERE-II mortality probability and the need for renal replacement therapy. Lower PERSEVERE-II mortality probability was independently associated with increased odds of renal recovery among patients with early AKI. A newly derived model incorporating the PERSEVEREbiomarkers andDay 1AKI statuspredicted severeD3 SAAKI with an area under the received operating characteristic curve of 0.95 (95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.98). Conclusions: Among children with septic shock, the PERSEVERE biomarkers predict severeD3 SA-AKI and identify patients with early AKI who are likely to recover.

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