Regional Drought Resiliency and Vulnerability

AbstractDrought is a natural phenomenon that can occur in almost any region. Vulnerability and resiliency are two important concepts in studying any natural hazard, including drought. This study investigates the application of both of these concepts in drought management in East Azerbaijan province in Iran. A vulnerability map of the region was developed by considering the spatial characteristics of some important parameters in drought in a geographic information system environment. A general framework is also presented for quantifying system’s resiliency to drought in the Aharchay watershed, which contains the important Sattarkhan Dam Reservoir. This watershed is one of the important watersheds in the case study. To develop this framework, the characteristics related to four resiliency components—rapidity, robustness, resourcefulness, and redundancy—are determined. The relative importance of these components is determined using multicriteria decision making (MCDM). By combining resiliency and vulnerabili...

[1]  R. Kasperson,et al.  A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[2]  Huicong Jia,et al.  Resilience to natural hazards: a geographic perspective , 2010 .

[3]  P. Vincke,et al.  Note-A Preference Ranking Organisation Method: The PROMETHEE Method for Multiple Criteria Decision-Making , 1985 .

[4]  Robert J. Nicholls,et al.  Resilience to natural hazards: How useful is this concept? , 2003 .

[5]  M. Karamouz,et al.  Development of Integrated Drought Evaluation and Monitoring System: Case Study of Aharchay River Basin , 2013 .

[6]  J. Brans,et al.  Geometrical representations for MCDA , 1988 .

[7]  T. L. Saaty.  A Scaling Method for Priorities in Hierarchical Structures , 1977 .

[8]  S. Reddy,et al.  An empirical method for the estimation of total solar radiation , 1971 .

[9]  M. Daneshyar,et al.  Solar radiation statistics for Iran , 1978 .

[10]  W. Liu,et al.  Monitoring regional drought using the Vegetation Condition Index , 1996 .

[11]  N. Howden.  The relationship between land use and surface water resources in the UK , 2009 .

[12]  Rao S. Govindaraju,et al.  Identification of hydrologic drought triggers from hydroclimatic predictor variables , 2013 .

[13]  Michel Bruneau,et al.  A Framework to Quantitatively Assess and Enhance the Seismic Resilience of Communities , 2003 .

[14]  Mohammad Karamouz,et al.  Analysis of Hydrologic and Agricultural Droughts in Central Part of Iran , 2004 .

[15]  W. L. Shirley,et al.  Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards , 2003 .

[16]  T. Saaty,et al.  The Analytic Hierarchy Process , 1985 .

[17]  G. W. Paltridge,et al.  Monthly mean solar radiation statistics for Australia , 1976 .

[18]  A. Angstrom.  Solar and terrestrial radiation. Report to the international commission for solar research on actinometric investigations of solar and atmospheric radiation , 2007 .

[19]  Mohammad Karamouz,et al.  Integrated Planning of Land Use and Water Allocation on a Watershed Scale Considering Social and Water Quality Issues , 2012 .

[20]  Vladimir U. Smakhtin,et al.  Mapping drought patterns and impacts: a global perspective. , 2009 .

[21]  A. Sayigh,et al.  Estimation of the total solar radiation from meteorological data , 1977 .

[22]  Mohammad Karamouz,et al.  Development of a Hybrid Index for Drought Prediction: Case Study , 2009 .

[23]  Ching-Lai Hwang,et al.  Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making - Methods and Applications , 1992, Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems.

[24]  G. Gallopin.  Linkages between vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity , 2006 .

[25]  D. Wilhite,et al.  CHAPfER2UNDERSTANDING THE DROUGHT PHENOMENON:THE ROLE OF DEFINITIONS , 1985 .

[26]  R. Maity,et al.  Meteorological Drought Quantification with Standardized Precipitation Anomaly Index for the Regions with Strongly Seasonal and Periodic Precipitation , 2015 .