Impact of interconnection photovoltaic/wind system with utility on their reliability using a fuzzy scheme

Reliability analysis has been considered as an important step in any system design process. A reliable electrical power system means a system which has sufficient power to feed the load demand during a certain period or, in other words, has small Loss of Load Probability (LOLP). LOLP is defined as an expected fraction of load not met by its power needs from electrical power system during its lifetime. Photovoltaic (PV)/Wind Energy System (WES) Hybrid Electric Power System (PV/WES HEPS) differs considerably from the Utility Grid (UG) in its performance and operating characteristics. With the interconnection of PV/WES as a HEPS into the UG, the fluctuating nature of the energy produced by these systems has a different effect on the overall system reliability than that of the fluctuating nature of energy produced by UG. Therefore, this paper presents a complete study, from reliability point of view, to determine the impact of interconnecting PV/WES HEPS into UG. Four different configurations of PV/WES/UG have been investigated and a comparative study between these four different configurations has been carried out. The overall system is divided into three subsystems, containing the UG, PV and WES. The generation capacity outage table has been built for each configuration of these subsystems. These capacity outage tables of UG, PV/UG, WES/UG and PV/WES/UG are calculated and updated to incorporate their fluctuating energy production. This paper also presents a fuzzy logic technique to calculate and assess the reliability index for each HEPS configuration under study.