Moving Up a Gear: The Impact of Compressing Instructional Time into Fewer Years of Schooling

Policy-makers face a trade-off between the provision of higher levels of schooling and earlier labour market entries. A fundamental education reform in Germany tackles this trade-off by reducing high school by one year while leaving the total instructional time unchanged. Employing administrative data on all high school graduates in 2002-2013 in Germany, we exploit both temporal and regional variation in the implementation of the reform and study the overall effectiveness of this reform. We find that compressing the high school track by one year reduces the mean high school graduation age by about 10 months. The probability to repeat a grade level in the course of high school increases by 21 percent (3 percentage points), peaking in the final three years before graduation. However, the high school graduation rate is not affected. The results indicate the reform’s success in reducing the graduation age, though it stays behind its potential benefits for labour markets and social security schemes because of higher grade repetition rates.

[1]  John H. Bishop,et al.  The Effect of National Standard and Curriculum- Based Exams on Achievement , 1997 .

[2]  O. Ashenfelter,et al.  Estimating the Effect of Training Programs on Earnings , 1976 .

[3]  Harry A. Krashinsky How Would One Extra Year of High School Affect Academic Performance in University? Evidence from an Educational Policy Change (Comment est‐ce Qu'une Année Additionnelle au Secondaire Affecte la Performance Scolaire à l'Université? Résultats d'un Changement de Politique Éducationnelle) , 2014 .

[4]  S. Machin,et al.  Education and Mobility , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[5]  Mike Brewer,et al.  Inference with Difference-in-Differences Revisited , 2013, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[6]  Stephen G. Donald,et al.  Inference with Difference-in-Differences and Other Panel Data , 2007, The Review of Economics and Statistics.

[7]  Jeffrey M. Woodbridge Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data , 2002 .

[8]  M. Gaini,et al.  School as a Shelter? School Leaving-Age and the Business Cycle in France , 2012 .

[9]  Sandra E. Black,et al.  Too young to leave the nest? The effects of school starting age , 2008 .

[10]  S. Holden Education at a Glance , 2006, The SAGE Encyclopedia of Higher Education.

[11]  Dan Goldhaber,et al.  Grade Retention: What Are the Costs and Benefits? , 2005 .

[12]  L. Wößmann,et al.  Schooling Resources, Educational Institutions, and Student Performance: The International Evidence , 2000 .

[13]  Marianne Bertrand,et al.  The Trouble with Boys: Social Influences and the Gender Gap in Disruptive Behavior , 2011 .

[14]  Patrick A. Puhani,et al.  The Long�?Term Effects of Early Track Choice , 2017 .

[15]  Tuomas Pekkarinen,et al.  School tracking and intergenerational income mobility: Evidence from the Finnish comprehensive school reform , 2009 .

[16]  Silke Anger,et al.  The Impact of Education on Personality: Evidence from a German High School Reform , 2014, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[17]  P. Fredriksson,et al.  Life�?Cycle Effects of Age at School Start , 2014 .

[18]  David B. Mustard,et al.  Noncognitive Skills and the Gender Disparities in Test Scores and Teacher Assessments: Evidence from Primary School , 2013, The Journal of Human Resources.

[19]  Louis-Philippe Morin Estimating the Benefit of High School for University‐Bound Students: Evidence of Subject‐Specific Human Capital Accumulation , 2013 .

[20]  L. Cahill Why sex matters for neuroscience , 2006, Nature Reviews Neuroscience.

[21]  Stephan L. Thomsen,et al.  Variation of learning intensity in late adolescence and the effect on personality traits , 2014 .

[22]  Patrick A. Puhani,et al.  Does the early bird catch the worm? , 2007 .

[23]  A. Börsch-Supan,et al.  Aging in Europe: Reforms, International Diversification and Behavioral Reactions , 2014 .

[24]  J. Goldstein,et al.  Has East Germany overtaken West Germany? Recent trends in order-specific fertility. , 2011, Population and development review.

[25]  Stephan L. Thomsen,et al.  How Important is Secondary School Duration for Post-school Education Decisions? Evidence from a Natural Experiment , 2012 .

[26]  C. Meghir,et al.  Maternal Education, Home Environments and the Development of Children and Adolescents , 2007 .

[27]  Jörn-Steffen Pischke,et al.  The Impact of Length of the School Year on Student Performance and Earnings: Evidence from the German Short School Years , 2003, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[28]  Stephan L. Thomsen,et al.  Are We Spending Too Many Years in School? Causal Evidence of the Impact of Shortening Secondary School Duration , 2015 .

[29]  Joseph S. Shapiro,et al.  The Benefits of Delayed Primary School Enrollment , 2012, The Journal of Human Resources.

[30]  Katja Görlitz,et al.  The Effects of Increasing the Standards of the High School Curriculum on School Dropout , 2015, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[31]  Kelly Bedard,et al.  School-Entry Policies and Skill Accumulation Across Directly and Indirectly Affected Individuals , 2012, The Journal of Human Resources.

[32]  A. Brugiavini,et al.  THE LENGTH OF WORKING LIVES IN EUROPE , 2005 .

[33]  David Card The Causal Effect of Education on Learning , 1999 .

[34]  Patrick A. Puhani,et al.  Does the Early Bird Catch the Worm? Instrumental Variable Estimates of Educational Effects of Age of School Entry in Germany , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[35]  E. Duflo,et al.  How Much Should We Trust Differences-in-Differences Estimates? , 2001 .

[36]  Kelly Bedard,et al.  The Persistence of Early Childhood Maturity: International Evidence of Long-Run Age Effects , 2006 .

[37]  Kerstin Schneider,et al.  The Effect of Central Exit Examinations on Student Achievement: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Timss Germany , 2003, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[38]  Cristián Bellei,et al.  Does lengthening the school day increase students’ academic achievement? Results from a natural experiment in Chile , 2009 .

[39]  Lance Lochner,et al.  Non-Production Benefits of Education: Crime, Health, and Good Citizenship , 2011 .

[40]  H. D. Webbink Returns to University Education: Evidence from a Dutch Institutional Reform , 2007 .

[41]  A. Poropat A meta-analysis of the five-factor model of personality and academic performance. , 2009, Psychological bulletin.

[42]  R. Riphahn,et al.  Timing of school tracking as a determinant of intergenerational transmission of education , 2006 .

[43]  Michael Grossman,et al.  Education and Nonmarket Outcomes , 2005 .

[44]  M. Fitzpatrick,et al.  What a difference a day makes: Estimating daily learning gains during kindergarten and first grade using a natural experiment , 2011 .

[45]  Marita Gareis,et al.  Bildung in Deutschland , 2010 .

[46]  Julian R. Betts,et al.  Safe Port in a Storm: The Impact of Labor Market Conditions on Community College Enrollments , 1995 .

[47]  D. Schunk,et al.  Strategic Responses: A Survey Experiment on Opposition to Pension Reforms , 2013 .

[48]  A. Chevalier,et al.  Economic Uncertainty, Parental Selection, and the Criminal Activity of the 'Children of the Wall' , 2013, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[49]  Ludger Wo ¨ ßmann Schooling Resources, Educational Institutions and Student Performance: the International Evidence , 2003 .