Implementation of classifiers for choosing insurance policy using decision trees: a case study

In this paper, we use decision trees to establish the decision models for insurance purchases. Five major types of insurances are involved in this study including life, annuity, health, accident, and investment-oriented insurances. Four decision tree methods were used to build the decision models including Chi-square Automatic Interaction Detector (CHAID), Exhaustive Chi-square Automatic Interaction Detector (ECHAID), Classification and Regression Tree (CRT), and Quick-Unbiased-Efficient Statistical Tree (QUEST). Six features were selected as the inputs of the decision trees including age, sex, annual income, educational level, occupation, and risk preference. Three hundred insurants from an insurance company in Taiwan were used as examples for establishing the decision models. Two experiments were conducted to evaluate the performance of the decision trees. The first one used the purchase records of primary insurances as examples. The second one used the purchase records of primary insurances and additional insurances. Each experiment contained four rounds according to different partitions of training sets and test sets. Discussion and concluding remarks are finally provided at the end of this paper.

[1]  Chun Che Fung,et al.  Uncertainty assessment using neural networks and interval neutrosophic sets for multiclass classification problems , 2007 .

[2]  Bo-Suk Yang,et al.  VIBEX: an expert system for vibration fault diagnosis of rotating machinery using decision tree and decision table , 2005, Expert Syst. Appl..

[3]  Sholom M. Weiss,et al.  Estimating Performance Gains for Voted Decision Trees , 1998, Intell. Data Anal..

[4]  Che-Chern Lin,et al.  Determination of insurance policy using a hybrid model of AHP, fuzzy logic, and Delphi technique: a case study , 2008 .

[5]  Geetika Munjal,et al.  Comparative study of ANN for pattern classification , 2006 .

[6]  R. Lippmann,et al.  An introduction to computing with neural nets , 1987, IEEE ASSP Magazine.

[7]  Arnold F. Shapiro,et al.  The merging of neural networks, fuzzy logic, and genetic algorithms , 2002 .

[8]  João Miguel da Costa Sousa,et al.  Decision tree search methods in fuzzy modeling and classification , 2007, Int. J. Approx. Reason..

[9]  Shogo Nishida,et al.  Implementation and refinement of decision trees using neural networks for hybrid knowledge acquisition , 1995, Artif. Intell. Eng..

[10]  Che-Chern Lin,et al.  Evaluation Models for Choosing Insurance Policy Using the AHP, Fuzzy Logic, and Delphi Technique , 2008 .

[11]  Pi-Sheng Deng,et al.  Using case-based reasoning approach to the support of ill-structured decisions , 1996 .

[12]  Andrew Hunter,et al.  Polynomial-fuzzy decision tree structures for classifying medical data , 2003, Knowl. Based Syst..

[13]  Richard J. Roiger,et al.  Data Mining: A Tutorial Based Primer , 2002 .

[14]  Jar-Long Wang,et al.  Stock market trading rule discovery using two-layer bias decision tree , 2006, Expert Syst. Appl..

[15]  F. Sarasin Decision analysis and its application in clinical medicine. , 2001, European journal of obstetrics, gynecology, and reproductive biology.

[16]  Bunthit Watanapa,et al.  Classification of extended control chart patterns: a neural networks approach , 2006 .