A comparison of 1701 snow models using observations from an alpine site

Results from four snow models-two used in climate models, one being developed for hydrological forecasting and one used for avalanche forecasting-are compared with observations made during two contrasting winters at a site in the French Alps. The models are all driven with hourly measurements of air temperature, windspeed, humidity, snowfall and downward longwave and shortwave radiation, but they differ greatly in complexity. Results from the models are compared with measurements of snowdepth, snow water equivalent, surface temperature, runoff and albedo. The models all represent the duration of snow cover well, but differ in their predictions of peak accumulation and timing of runoff. Experience gained in this study is used to make recommendations for a more ambitious intercomparison between a larger number of models for a wide range of environments.

[1]  R. Dickinson,et al.  The Representation of Snow in Land Surface Schemes: Results from PILPS 2(d) , 2001 .

[2]  David A. Robinson,et al.  Improved simulations of snow extent in the second phase of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP-2) , 2003 .

[3]  Jean-François Mahfouf,et al.  A new snow parameterization for the Météo-France climate model , 1995 .

[4]  D. Verseghy,et al.  CLASS-A Canadian Land Surface Scheme for GCMs , 1993 .

[5]  Pierre Etchevers,et al.  Parameter sensitivity in simulations of snowmelt , 2004 .

[6]  Zong-Liang Yang,et al.  An observation-based formulation of snow cover fraction and its evaluation over large North American river basins , 2007 .

[7]  A. Wood,et al.  Towards the systematic simplification of mechanistic models , 2006 .

[8]  E. Soulis,et al.  Implications during transitional periods of improvements to the snow processes in the land surface scheme ‐ hydrological model WATCLASS , 2002 .

[9]  Dmitri Kavetski,et al.  Pursuing the method of multiple working hypotheses for hydrological modeling , 2011 .

[10]  Jeff Dozier,et al.  Climate and energy exchange at the snow surface in the Alpine Region of the Sierra Nevada: 2. Snow cover energy balance , 1992 .

[11]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Modeling snow accumulation and ablation processes in forested environments , 2009 .

[12]  E. Brun,et al.  A numerical model to simulate snow-cover stratigraphy for operational avalanche forecasting , 1992, Journal of Glaciology.

[13]  C. Justice,et al.  A revised land surface parameterization (SiB2) for GCMs. Part III: The greening of the Colorado State University general circulation model , 1996 .

[14]  Dmitri Kavetski,et al.  Representing spatial variability of snow water equivalent in hydrologic and land‐surface models: A review , 2011 .

[15]  J. Pomeroy,et al.  Characteristics of the Near-Surface Boundary Layer within a Mountain Valley during Winter , 2012 .

[16]  S. Morin,et al.  Numerical and experimental investigations of the effective thermal conductivity of snow , 2011 .

[17]  Soroosh Sorooshian,et al.  Comparative Analyses of Physically Based Snowmelt Models for Climate Simulations , 1999 .

[18]  C. Zender,et al.  Snowpack radiative heating: Influence on Tibetan Plateau climate , 2005 .

[19]  A. Shmakin The updated version of SPONSOR land surface scheme: PILPS-influenced improvements , 1998 .

[20]  Charles S. Zender,et al.  Linking snowpack microphysics and albedo evolution , 2006 .

[21]  John W. Pomeroy,et al.  Measurements and modelling of snow interception in the boreal forest , 1998 .

[22]  Yongkang Xue,et al.  A simple snow-atmosphere-soil transfer model , 1999 .

[23]  D. Mocko,et al.  Simulation of high-latitude hydrological processes in the Torne-Kalix basin: PILPS phase 2(e) - 1: Experiment description and summary intercomparisons , 2003 .

[24]  M. Bavay,et al.  Understanding snow-transport processes shaping the mountain snow-cover , 2010 .

[25]  J. Louis A parametric model of vertical eddy fluxes in the atmosphere , 1979 .

[26]  R. Oglesby,et al.  An improved snow hydrology for GCMs. Part 1: snow cover fraction, albedo, grain size, and age , 1994 .

[27]  Marc Lynch-Stieglitz,et al.  The development and validation of a simple snow model for the GISS GCM , 1994 .

[28]  B. Brasnett,et al.  A Global Analysis of Snow Depth for Numerical Weather Prediction , 1999 .

[29]  Olga N. Nasonova,et al.  The land surface parameterization scheme SWAP: description and partial validation , 1998 .

[30]  F. Perron,et al.  Radar investigations of melt pathways in a natural snowpack , 1999 .

[31]  R. Jordan A One-dimensional temperature model for a snow cover : technical documentation for SNTHERM.89 , 1991 .

[32]  M. Zappa,et al.  ALPINE3D: a detailed model of mountain surface processes and its application to snow hydrology , 2006 .

[33]  G. Balsamo,et al.  Complexity of Snow Schemes in a Climate Model and Its Impact on Surface Energy and Hydrology , 2012 .

[34]  Jeff Dozier,et al.  Spectral snow-reflectance models for grain-size and liquid-water fraction in melting snow for the solar-reflected spectrum , 2002, Annals of Glaciology.

[35]  Zong-Liang Yang,et al.  Validation of the energy budget of an alpine snowpack simulated by several snow models (Snow MIP project) , 2004, Annals of Glaciology.

[36]  Eleonora P Zege,et al.  Scattering optics of snow. , 2004, Applied optics.

[37]  R. Koster,et al.  The Rhône-Aggregation Land Surface Scheme Intercomparison Project: An Overview , 2002 .

[38]  Martin Wild,et al.  A new snow cover fraction parametrization for the ECHAM4 GCM , 2001 .

[39]  Kumiko Takata,et al.  Development of the minimal advanced treatments of surface interaction and runoff , 2003 .

[40]  C. Justice,et al.  A Revised Land Surface Parameterization (SiB2) for Atmospheric GCMS. Part II: The Generation of Global Fields of Terrestrial Biophysical Parameters from Satellite Data , 1996 .

[41]  E. Anderson,et al.  A point energy and mass balance model of a snow cover , 1975 .

[42]  Zeng Qingcun,et al.  A land surface model (IAP94) for climate studies part I: Formulation and validation in off-line experiments , 1997 .

[43]  John W. Pomeroy,et al.  A distributed model of blowing snow over complex terrain , 1999 .

[44]  Sun Shufen,et al.  Implementing a new snow scheme in Simplified Simple Biosphere Model , 2001 .

[45]  Kelly Elder,et al.  Evaluation of forest snow processes models (SnowMIP2) , 2009 .

[46]  Piers J. Sellers,et al.  A Simplified Biosphere Model for Global Climate Studies , 1991 .

[47]  Andreas Roesch,et al.  Evaluation of surface albedo and snow cover in AR4 coupled climate models , 2005 .

[48]  Kelly Elder,et al.  An Improved Snow Scheme for the ECMWF Land Surface Model: Description and Offline Validation , 2010 .

[49]  Soroosh Sorooshian,et al.  Toward improved calibration of hydrologic models: Multiple and noncommensurable measures of information , 1998 .

[50]  Yongkang Xue,et al.  Impact of parameterizations in snow physics and interface processes on the simulation of snow cover and runoff at several cold region sites , 2003 .

[51]  Y. Yen Review of Thermal Properties of Snow, Ice and Sea Ice, , 1981 .

[52]  Alain Pietroniro,et al.  A Land Cover-Based Snow Cover Representation for Distributed Hydrologic Models , 1995 .

[53]  D. Verseghy,et al.  Evaluation of snow cover in CLASS for SnowMIP , 2006 .

[54]  J. Crank,et al.  A practical method for numerical evaluation of solutions of partial differential equations of the heat-conduction type , 1947 .

[55]  J. Randerson,et al.  Technical Description of version 4.0 of the Community Land Model (CLM) , 2010 .

[56]  D. Verseghy,et al.  Modified snow algorithms in the Canadian land surface scheme: Model runs and sensitivity analysis at three boreal forest stands , 2006 .

[57]  Kelly Elder,et al.  An Evaluation of Forest Snow Process Simulations , 2009 .

[58]  Paul Roebber,et al.  Improving Snowfall Forecasting by Diagnosing Snow Density , 2003 .

[59]  E. L. Andreas Parameterizing Scalar Transfer over Snow and Ice: A Review , 2002 .

[60]  William L. Quinton,et al.  The cold regions hydrological model: a platform for basing process representation and model structure on physical evidence , 2007 .

[61]  R. Betts,et al.  The impact of new land surface physics on the GCM simulation of climate and climate sensitivity , 1999 .

[62]  Peter E. Thornton,et al.  Technical Description of the Community Land Model (CLM) , 2004 .

[63]  T. Oki,et al.  Multimodel Estimate of the Global Terrestrial Water Balance: Setup and First Results , 2011 .

[64]  Jan-Gunnar Winther,et al.  Intercomparison and validation of snow albedo parameterization schemes in climate models , 2005 .

[65]  P. Bartelt,et al.  A physical SNOWPACK model for the Swiss avalanche warning: Part I: numerical model , 2002 .

[66]  D. Randall,et al.  A Revised Land Surface Parameterization (SiB2) for Atmospheric GCMS. Part I: Model Formulation , 1996 .

[67]  Ann Henderson-Sellers,et al.  Biosphere-atmosphere transfer scheme(BATS) version 1e as coupled to the NCAR community climate model , 1993 .

[68]  Emmanuel Paquet,et al.  Retour d'expérience et perspectives d'exploitation des Nivomètres à Rayonnement Cosmique d'EDF , 2006 .

[69]  U. Strasser,et al.  Inter-Comparison of two Snow Models with Different Complexity using Data from an Alpine Site , 2002 .

[70]  Kevin W. Manning,et al.  The community Noah land surface model with multiparameterization options (Noah-MP): 1. Model description and evaluation with local-scale measurements , 2011 .

[71]  P. Bartelt,et al.  A physical SNOWPACK model for the Swiss avalanche warning Part III: meteorological forcing, thin layer formation and evaluation , 2002 .

[72]  Matthew Sturm,et al.  A snow-transport model for complex terrain , 1998 .

[73]  Dmitri Kavetski,et al.  Ancient numerical daemons of conceptual hydrological modeling: 1. Fidelity and efficiency of time stepping schemes , 2010 .

[74]  Jean-François Mahfouf,et al.  A new snow parameterization for the Météo-France climate model: Part I: validation in stand-alone experiments , 1995 .

[75]  Stanley G. Benjamin,et al.  Parameterization of cold-season processes in the MAPS land-surface scheme , 2000 .

[76]  A. Sato,et al.  Numerical modeling of liquid water movement through layered snow based on new measurements of the water retention curve , 2010 .

[77]  Robert J. Gurney,et al.  Simulating wind-affected snow accumulations at catchment to basin scales , 2013 .

[78]  S. Sorooshian,et al.  A Shuffled Complex Evolution Metropolis algorithm for optimization and uncertainty assessment of hydrologic model parameters , 2002 .

[79]  J. Monteith,et al.  Boundary Layer Climates. , 1979 .

[80]  D. Verseghy,et al.  Class—A Canadian land surface scheme for GCMS. I. Soil model , 2007 .

[81]  Xubin Zeng,et al.  Evaluation of snow albedo in land models for weather and climate studies , 2010 .

[82]  Naota Hanasaki,et al.  GSWP-2 Multimodel Analysis and Implications for Our Perception of the Land Surface , 2006 .

[83]  A. Pitman,et al.  The validation of a snow parameterization designed for use in general circulation models , 1998 .

[84]  E. Blyth,et al.  Modelling albedo and distributed snowmelt across a low hill in Svalbard. , 2005 .

[85]  P. Cox,et al.  The Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES), model description – Part 1: Energy and water fluxes , 2011 .

[86]  G. Liston Representing Subgrid Snow Cover Heterogeneities in Regional and Global Models , 2004 .

[87]  H. Douville,et al.  A comparison of four snow models using observations from an alpine site , 1999 .

[88]  S. Warren,et al.  A Model for the Spectral Albedo of Snow. I: Pure Snow , 1980 .

[89]  Zong-Liang Yang,et al.  Validation of the Snow Submodel of the Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme with Russian Snow Cover and Meteorological Observational Data , 1997 .

[90]  S. Colbeck,et al.  A Theory of Water Percolation in Snow , 1972, Journal of Glaciology.

[91]  G. Niu,et al.  The Versatile Integrator of Surface and Atmosphere processes: Part 1. Model description , 2003 .

[92]  P. Houser,et al.  The Impact of Snow Model Complexity at Three CLPX Sites , 2008 .

[93]  P. Dirmeyer,et al.  Improving the quality of simulated soil moisture with a multi‐model ensemble approach , 2007 .

[94]  D. Mocko,et al.  Simulation of high latitude hydrological processes in the Torne-Kalix basin : PILPS phase 2(e) - 2: Comparison of model results with observations , 2003 .

[95]  Newsha K. Ajami,et al.  Addressing snow model uncertainty for hydrologic prediction , 2010 .

[96]  John S. Kimball,et al.  The sensitivity of snowmelt processes to climate conditions and forest cover during rain‐on‐snow: a case study of the 1996 Pacific Northwest flood , 1998 .

[97]  Mary R. Albert,et al.  A fast, physically based point snowmelt model for use in distributed applications , 1998 .

[98]  Martyn P. Clark,et al.  Framework for Understanding Structural Errors (FUSE): A modular framework to diagnose differences between hydrological models , 2008 .

[99]  Zong-Liang Yang,et al.  Simulations of a boreal grassland hydrology at Valdai, Russia: PILPS phase 2(d). , 2000 .

[100]  A. J. Pitmana,et al.  The CHAmeleon Surface Model : description and use with the PILPS phase 2 ( e ) forcing data , 2003 .

[101]  S. Derbyshire Boundary-Layer Decoupling over Cold Surfaces as a Physical Boundary-Instability , 1999 .

[102]  Matthias Drusch,et al.  ECMWF's Global Snow Analysis: Assessment and Revision Based on Satellite Observations , 2004 .

[103]  R. Dickinson,et al.  Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS) version le as coupled to the NCAR community climate model. Technical note. [NCAR (National Center for Atmospheric Research)] , 1993 .

[104]  Bryan A. Tolson,et al.  Dynamically dimensioned search algorithm for computationally efficient watershed model calibration , 2007 .

[105]  John W. Pomeroy,et al.  Implications of spatial distributions of snow mass and melt rate for snow-cover depletion: theoretical considerations , 2004, Annals of Glaciology.

[106]  M. Kodama Continuous monitoring of snow water equivalent using cosmic ray neutrons , 1980 .

[107]  M. König,et al.  The thermal conductivity of seasonal snow , 1997, Journal of Glaciology.

[108]  H. Roché Jules Et Jim , 1989 .

[109]  Pierre Etchevers,et al.  An Intercomparison of Three Snow Schemes of Varying Complexity Coupled to the Same Land Surface Model: Local-Scale Evaluation at an Alpine Site , 2001 .

[110]  P. Bartelt,et al.  A physical SNOWPACK model for the Swiss avalanche warning: Part II. Snow microstructure , 2002 .

[111]  E. Martin,et al.  Turbulent fluxes above the snow surface , 1998, Annals of Glaciology.

[112]  S. Morin,et al.  Data files for: A 18-years long (1993 - 2011) snow and meteorological dataset from a mid-altitude mountain site (Col de Porte, France, 1325 m alt.) for driving and evaluating snowpack models , 2012 .

[113]  E. Martin,et al.  The detailed snowpack scheme Crocus and its implementation in SURFEX v7.2 , 2012 .

[114]  D. Gustafsson,et al.  Factors governing the formation and persistence of layers in a subalpine snowpack , 2004 .

[115]  Robert E. Dickinson,et al.  Intercomparison of Bulk Aerodynamic Algorithms for the Computation of Sea Surface Fluxes Using TOGA COARE and TAO Data , 1998 .

[116]  D. Lettenmaier,et al.  Seasonal Hydrologic Forecasting: Do Multimodel Ensemble Averages Always Yield Improvements in Forecast Skill? , 2010 .