The Interpretation of Probability, De Finetti’s Representation Theorem, and their Implications to the Use of Expert Opinions in Safety Assessment
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] B. M. Hill,et al. Dutch Books, the Jeffreys—Savage Theory of Hypothesis Testing and Bayesian Reliability , 1993 .
[2] D. Okrent,et al. Inclusion of organizational factors into probabilistic safety assessments of nuclear power plants , 1992, Conference Record for 1992 Fifth Conference on Human Factors and Power Plants.
[3] G. Apostolakis. The concept of probability in safety assessments of technological systems. , 1990, Science.
[4] Ronald L. Iman,et al. Expert opinion in risk analysis: the NUREG-1150 methodology , 1989 .
[5] Qin Zhang. A general method dealing with correlations in uncertainty propagation in fault trees , 1989 .
[6] L. Abramson. The philosophical basis for the use of probabilities in safety assessments , 1988 .
[7] Choose the philosophy to fit the task , 1988 .
[8] G. Parry. On the meaning of probability in probabilistic safety assessment , 1988 .
[9] C. A. Clarotti,et al. Failure rate estimation, a dangerous nonsense in a Bayesian view , 1988 .
[10] A. F. M. Smith,et al. Some Bayesian Thoughts on Modelling and Model Choice , 1986 .
[11] Ali Mosleh,et al. A systematic procedure for the incorporation of common cause events into risk and reliability models , 1986 .
[12] G. Apostolakis,et al. Pitfalls in risk calculations , 1981 .
[13] S. Kaplan,et al. On The Quantitative Definition of Risk , 1981 .
[14] G. Apostolakis. Bayesian Methods in Risk Assessment , 1981 .
[15] G. W. Parry,et al. Characterization and evaluation of uncertainty in probabilistic risk analysis , 1981 .
[16] A. Tversky,et al. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , 1974, Science.
[17] Leonard J. Savage,et al. The Foundations of Statistics Reconsidered , 1961 .
[18] L. J. Savage,et al. The Foundations of Statistics , 1955 .