A Data-driven Expert System For ProducingCoral Bleaching Alerts

As a recent enhancement to the SEAKEYS (Sustained Ecological Research Related to Management of the Florida Keys Seascape) environmental monitoring network, an expert system shell was employed to provide daily interpretations of near real-time acquired combinations of meteorological and oceanographic parameters as they meet criteria generally thought to be conducive to coral bleaching. These interpretations were automatically posted to the World-Wide Web and emailed to FKNMS managers and scientists so they could witness and study bleaching events as they might happen, and so that a model could be developed with greater precision in identifying physical factors conducive to coral bleaching. The expert system, as a model, was successful in showing that certain assumptions by experts regarding coral bleaching apparently do not hold at Sombrero Reef. Transactions on Ecology and the Environment vol 25, © 1998 WIT Press, www.witpress.com, ISSN 1743-3541