Multiperiod Portfolio Selection and Capital Asset Pricing

The purpose of this paper is to derive a simple capital asset pricing model in a multiperiod setting based on a microeconomic model of multiperiod portfolio selection. Capital asset pricing theory has been developed by Sharpe [1964], Lintner [1965] and Mossin [1966] in a oneperiod context using the microeconomic model of portfolio selection advanced by Markowitz [1959]. The first multiperiod models intended an extension of Markowitz’s results to several periods; the first of these models work with a utility function defined cawealth at the planning horizon (e.g. Smith [1967], Mossin [1968], Chen, Jen and Zionts [1971]). A somewhat newer approach that is more in the tradition of microeconomic theory, uses utility functions defined on the vector of present and future consumption streams (e.g. Hakansson [1969], Samuelson [1969], Fama [197o] and in a continuous time framework Merton [1971]). Usually, these approaches make a profit by the assumption of additive utility or of serial independence of subsequent rates of return on every risky asset (for a more detailed discussion of the literature see Long [1972, pp. 146–15o]).

[1]  J. Mossin Optimal multiperiod portfolio policies , 1968 .

[2]  Michael C. Jensen,et al.  Studies in the Theory of Capital Markets. , 1973 .

[3]  R. C. Merton,et al.  AN INTERTEMPORAL CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL , 1973 .

[4]  M. Subrahmanyam,et al.  A Multiperiod Equilibrium Asset Pricing Model , 1978 .

[5]  John B. Long,et al.  Stock prices, inflation, and the term structure of interest rates , 1974 .

[6]  P. Samuelson LIFETIME PORTFOLIO SELECTION BY DYNAMIC STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING , 1969 .

[7]  J. Mossin EQUILIBRIUM IN A CAPITAL ASSET MARKET , 1966 .

[8]  E. Fama,et al.  The Theory of Finance , 1974 .

[9]  W. Sharpe CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* , 1964 .

[10]  Keith V. Smith,et al.  A TRANSITION MODEL FOR PORTFOLIO REVISION , 1967 .

[11]  J. Long Consumption-investment decisions and equilibrium in the securities market , 1971 .

[12]  Derek W. Bunn,et al.  Multiple Criteria Problem Solving , 1979 .

[13]  Richard Roll,et al.  CAPITAL BUDGETING OF RISKY PROJECTS WITH “IMPERFECT” MARKETS FOR PHYSICAL CAPITAL , 1974 .

[14]  Roy Radner,et al.  Existence of Equilibrium of Plans, Prices, and Price Expectations in a Sequence of Markets , 1972 .

[15]  S. Turnbull,et al.  CAPITAL BUDGETING AND THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL: GOOD NEWS AND BAD NEWS , 1977 .

[16]  Richard C. Stapleton,et al.  PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS, STOCK VALUATION AND CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISION RULES FOR RISKY PROJECTS , 1971 .

[17]  I. Fisher,et al.  The theory of interest , 1956 .

[18]  Mark Rubinstein,et al.  The Valuation of Uncertain Income Streams and the Pricing of Options , 1976 .

[19]  Alan Kraus,et al.  MARKET EQUILIBRIUM IN A MULTIPERIOD STATE PREFERENCE MODEL WITH LOGARITHMIC UTILITY , 1975 .

[20]  Jochen Wilhelm,et al.  Objectives and Multi-objective Decision Making Under Uncertainty , 1975 .

[21]  E. Fama Multiperiod Consumption-Investment Decisions , 1970 .

[22]  E. Fama Risk-adjusted discount rates and capital budgeting under uncertainty , 1977 .

[23]  F. Black Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing , 1972 .

[24]  Harold Bierman,et al.  Capital Budgeting Under Uncertainty: A Reformulation , 1973 .

[25]  R. C. Merton,et al.  Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous - time model Journal of Economic Theory 3 , 1971 .

[26]  Stanley Zionts,et al.  The Optimal Portfolio Revision Policy , 1971 .

[27]  J. Lintner SECURITY PRICES, RISK, AND MAXIMAL GAINS FROM DIVERSIFICATION , 1965 .

[28]  N. H. Hakansson. OPTIMAL INVESTMENT AND CONSUMPTION STRATEGIES UNDER RISK, AN UNCERTAIN LIFETIME, AND INSURANCE* , 1969 .

[29]  Richard Roll,et al.  A Critique of the Asset Pricing Theory''s Tests: Part I , 1977 .

[30]  P. Farquhar Interdependent Criteria in Utility Analysis , 1978 .