Extreme Convective Storms Over High‐Latitude Continental Areas Where Maximum Warming Is Occurring

Deep convective storms play a key role in severe weather, the hydrological cycle, and the global atmospheric circulation. Historically, little attention has been paid to the intense convective storms in the high latitudes. These regions have been experiencing the largest increases of mean surface temperature over the last century. The Global Precipitation Measurement core satellite, which features a space‐borne Dual‐frequency Precipitation Radar providing near‐global coverage (65°S to 65°N), has made it possible to establish the occurrence of convective storms at high latitudes. Analysis of the three‐dimensional radar echoes seen by Global Precipitation Measurement over a 5‐year period (2014–2018) shows that extremely intense deep convective storms do occur often during the warm season (April–September) in the high‐latitude continents where the increase of surface temperature has been greatest. The associated thermodynamical environments suggest that high‐latitude extreme convection could be more common in a continually warming world. Plain Language Summary Over the last century, the North Hemisphere high‐latitude continental regions (Siberia, northern Europe, and northern Canada) have experienced the greatest surface temperature increase on Earth. Launched in 2014, the Global Precipitation Measurement core observatory satellite with Dual‐frequency Precipitation Radar has been providing observations at these high latitudes. These observations show that extreme convective storms are occurring in these high‐latitude continental regions. Five years of these satellite radar data show statistics of these convective systems based on their three‐dimensional radar reflectivity structures. The patterns of occurrence are consistent with the statistics of reanalysis data on the surface wind, temperature, and humidity as well as thermodynamic profiles during the times of satellite‐observed storms.

[1]  Thomas M. Smith,et al.  NOAA's Merged Land-Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis , 2012 .

[2]  R. Sausen,et al.  Severe Convective Storms in Europe: Ten Years of Research and Education at the European Severe Storms Laboratory , 2017 .

[3]  Chuntao Liu,et al.  Global distribution of deep convection reaching tropopause in 1 year GPM observations , 2016 .

[4]  C. W. Newton,et al.  Severe Convective Storms , 1967 .

[5]  Robert A. Houze,et al.  Monsoon convection in the Himalayan region as seen by the TRMM Precipitation Radar , 2007 .

[6]  R. Houze 100 Years of Research on Mesoscale Convective Systems , 2018 .

[7]  R. Houze,et al.  The variable nature of convection in the tropics and subtropics: A legacy of 16 years of the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission satellite , 2015, Reviews of geophysics.

[8]  R. Houze Mesoscale convective systems , 2004 .

[9]  J. Thepaut,et al.  The ERA‐Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system , 2011 .

[10]  Steven A. Ackerman,et al.  Comparison of Satellite-, Model-, and Radiosonde-Derived Convective Available Potential Energy in the Southern Great Plains Region , 2017 .

[11]  A. Sobel,et al.  Projected Future Seasonal Changes in Tropical Summer Climate , 2011 .

[12]  M. Moncrieff,et al.  The dynamics and simulation of tropical cumulonimbus and squall lines , 1976 .

[13]  Toshio Iguchi,et al.  Rain type classification algorithm for TRMM precipitation radar , 1997, IGARSS'97. 1997 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium Proceedings. Remote Sensing - A Scientific Vision for Sustainable Development.

[14]  Yunyan Zhang,et al.  Interactions between cumulus convection and its environment as revealed by the MC3E sounding array , 2014 .

[15]  Antonio Pflüger,et al.  Executive Summary. , 2012, Journal of the ICRU.

[16]  Toshio Iguchi,et al.  GPM/DPR Level-2 Algorithm Theoretical Basis Document , 2010 .

[17]  L. Leung,et al.  More frequent intense and long-lived storms dominate the springtime trend in central US rainfall , 2016, Nature Communications.