Surface-water dynamics and land use influence landscape connectivity across a major dryland region.

Landscape connectivity is important for the long-term persistence of species inhabiting dryland freshwater ecosystems, with spatiotemporal surface-water dynamics (e.g., flooding) maintaining connectivity by both creating temporary habitats and providing transient opportunities for dispersal. Improving our understanding of how landscape connectivity varies with respect to surface-water dynamics and land use is an important step to maintaining biodiversity in dynamic dryland environments. Using a newly available validated Landsat TM and ETM+ surface-water time series, we modelled landscape connectivity between dynamic surface-water habitats within Australia's 1 million km2 semiarid Murray Darling Basin across a 25-yr period (1987-2011). We identified key habitats that serve as well-connected "hubs," or "stepping-stones" that allow long-distance movements through surface-water habitat networks. We compared distributions of these habitats for short- and long-distance dispersal species during dry, average, and wet seasons, and across land-use types. The distribution of stepping-stones and hubs varied both spatially and temporally, with temporal changes driven by drought and flooding dynamics. Conservation areas and natural environments contained higher than expected proportions of both stepping-stones and hubs throughout the time series; however, highly modified agricultural landscapes increased in importance during wet seasons. Irrigated landscapes contained particularly high proportions of well-connected hubs for long-distance dispersers, but remained relatively disconnected for less vagile organisms. The habitats identified by our study may serve as ideal high-priority targets for land-use specific management aimed at maintaining or improving dispersal between surface-water habitats, potentially providing benefits to biodiversity beyond the immediate site scale. Our results also highlight the importance of accounting for the influence of spatial and temporal surface-water dynamics when studying landscape connectivity within highly variable dryland environments.

[1]  W. Williams Conservation of wetlands in drylands: a key global issue , 1999 .

[2]  A. Georges,et al.  Habitat utilization and its relationship to growth and reproduction of the eastern long-necked turtle, Chelodina longicollis (Testudinata: Chelidae), from Australia , 1990 .

[3]  Alison Specht,et al.  When trends intersect: The challenge of protecting freshwater ecosystems under multiple land use and hydrological intensification scenarios. , 2015, The Science of the total environment.

[4]  David G Angeler,et al.  The role of reserves and anthropogenic habitats for functional connectivity and resilience of ephemeral wetlands. , 2014, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

[5]  Geoffrey M. Henebry,et al.  Hydrological dynamics of temporary wetlands in the southern Great Plains as a function of surrounding land use , 2014 .

[6]  C. Wright,et al.  Spatiotemporal dynamics of prairie wetland networks: power-law scaling and implications for conservation planning. , 2010, Ecology.

[7]  M. Tulbure,et al.  Surface water extent dynamics from three decades of seasonally continuous Landsat time series at subcontinental scale in a semi-arid region , 2016 .

[8]  P. Sunnucks,et al.  Evolutionary refugia and ecological refuges: key concepts for conserving Australian arid zone freshwater biodiversity under climate change , 2013, Global change biology.

[9]  The importance of habitat design and aquatic connectivity in amphibian use of urban stormwater retention ponds , 2012, Urban Ecosystems.

[10]  C. T. Butts,et al.  Revisiting the Foundations of Network Analysis , 2009, Science.

[11]  Timothy H. Keitt,et al.  LANDSCAPE CONNECTIVITY: A GRAPH‐THEORETIC PERSPECTIVE , 2001 .

[12]  Gaël Varoquaux,et al.  The NumPy Array: A Structure for Efficient Numerical Computation , 2011, Computing in Science & Engineering.

[13]  C. Pringle HYDROLOGIC CONNECTIVITY AND THE MANAGEMENT OF BIOLOGICAL RESERVES: A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE , 2001 .

[14]  Karin Frank,et al.  Analyzing the effect of stepping stones on target patch colonisation in structured landscapes for Eurasian lynx , 2011, Landscape Ecology.

[15]  J. Stanford,et al.  Ecological connectivity in alluvial river ecosystems and its disruption by flow regulation , 1995 .

[16]  C. Max Finlayson,et al.  Australia’s Murray–Darling Basin: freshwater ecosystem conservation options in an era of climate change , 2011 .

[17]  Katharine Hayhoe,et al.  Climate forcing of wetland landscape connectivity in the Great Plains , 2014 .

[18]  Mirela G. Tulbure,et al.  Spatiotemporal dynamics of surface water networks across a global biodiversity hotspot—implications for conservation , 2014 .

[19]  P. Berney,et al.  Opportunities and challenges for water-dependent protected area management arising from water management reform in the Murray–Darling Basin: a case study from the Macquarie Marshes in Australia , 2016 .

[20]  Santiago Saura,et al.  Network analysis to assess landscape connectivity trends: application to European forests (1990–2000) , 2011 .

[21]  N. Davidson How much wetland has the world lost? Long-term and recent trends in global wetland area , 2014 .

[22]  Kerrylee Rogers,et al.  Floodplain Wetland Biota in the Murray-Darling Basin , 2010 .

[23]  Richard T. Kingsford,et al.  Australia's wetlands – learning from the past to manage for the future , 2016 .

[24]  Ernesto Estrada,et al.  Using network centrality measures to manage landscape connectivity. , 2008, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

[25]  L. Waits,et al.  Comparative landscape genetics of two pond‐breeding amphibian species in a highly modified agricultural landscape , 2010, Molecular ecology.

[26]  A. Arthington,et al.  Ecological roles and threats to aquatic refugia in arid landscapes: dryland river waterholes , 2010 .

[27]  M. Fortin,et al.  EDITOR'S CHOICE: Stepping stones are crucial for species' long‐distance dispersal and range expansion through habitat networks , 2014 .

[28]  Ralph Mac Nally,et al.  The Landscape Context of Flooding in the Murray–Darling Basin , 2006 .

[29]  Karin Johst,et al.  Metapopulation persistence in dynamic landscapes: the role of dispersal distance , 2002 .

[30]  Nancy E. McIntyre,et al.  A new, multi-scaled graph visualization approach: an example within the playa wetland network of the Great Plains , 2013, Landscape Ecology.

[31]  Santiago Saura,et al.  A new habitat availability index to integrate connectivity in landscape conservation planning : Comparison with existing indices and application to a case study , 2007 .

[32]  M. Thompson The physiology and ecology of the eggs of the pleurodiran tortoise Emydura macquarii (Gray), 1831 / Michael Baden Thompson , 1983 .

[33]  Melissa M. Foley,et al.  Human impacts on connectivity in marine and freshwater ecosystems assessed using graph theory: a review , 2016 .

[34]  S. Wassens,et al.  Movement patterns of southern bell frogs (Litoria raniformis) in response to flooding , 2008 .

[35]  C. Fellows,et al.  Habitat and Biodiversity of On-Farm Water Storages: A Case Study in Southeast Queensland, Australia , 2008, Environmental management.

[36]  Philip Leitner,et al.  Multiscale connectivity and graph theory highlight critical areas for conservation under climate change. , 2016, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

[37]  Geoffrey M. Henebry,et al.  Dynamic connectivity of temporary wetlands in the southern Great Plains , 2014, Landscape Ecology.

[38]  Brad H McRae,et al.  Connectivity Planning to Address Climate Change , 2013, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[39]  Jordi Bascompte,et al.  Spatial network structure and amphibian persistence in stochastic environments , 2006, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[40]  David A Siegel,et al.  Patch definition in metapopulation analysis: a graph theory approach to solve the mega-patch problem. , 2014, Ecology.

[41]  Dean L Urban,et al.  Graph theory as a proxy for spatially explicit population models in conservation planning. , 2007, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

[42]  M. Fortin,et al.  How spatio-temporal habitat connectivity affects amphibian genetic structure , 2015, Front. Genet..

[43]  Jeffrey A. Cardille,et al.  Applying Circuit Theory for Corridor Expansion and Management at Regional Scales: Tiling, Pinch Points, and Omnidirectional Connectivity , 2014, PloS one.

[44]  William F Fagan,et al.  Transient windows for connectivity in a changing world , 2014, Movement Ecology.

[45]  P. McIntyre,et al.  Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity , 2010, Nature.

[46]  J. Evans,et al.  Quantifying Bufo boreas connectivity in Yellowstone National Park with landscape genetics. , 2010, Ecology.

[47]  Alexandra Pavlova,et al.  Aquatic communities in arid landscapes: local conditions, dispersal traits and landscape configuration determine local biodiversity , 2015 .

[48]  M. Tulbure,et al.  Spatiotemporal dynamic of surface water bodies using Landsat time-series data from 1999 to 2011 , 2013 .

[49]  B. Robson,et al.  Local and regional macroinvertebrate diversity in the wetlands of a cleared agricultural landscape in south‐western Victoria, Australia , 2005 .

[50]  Odete Rocha,et al.  Can hydrologic management practices of rice fields contribute to macroinvertebrate conservation in southern Brazil wetlands? , 2009, Hydrobiologia.

[51]  M E J Newman,et al.  Modularity and community structure in networks. , 2006, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[52]  Steven J. Cooke,et al.  Conservation of Aquatic Resources through the Use of Freshwater Protected Areas: Opportunities and Challenges , 2007, Biodiversity and Conservation.

[53]  K. A. Parton,et al.  The status of wetlands and the predicted effects of global climate change: the situation in Australia , 2011, Aquatic Sciences.

[54]  R. Clarke,et al.  Do frogs bounce, and if so, by how much? Responses to the ‘Big Wet’ following the ‘Big Dry’ in south-eastern Australia , 2014 .

[55]  Viral B. Shah,et al.  Using circuit theory to model connectivity in ecology, evolution, and conservation. , 2008, Ecology.

[56]  D. Theobald,et al.  Achieving climate connectivity in a fragmented landscape , 2016, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[57]  R. Allan,et al.  Distribution and persistence of temporary wetland habitats in arid Australia in relation to climate , 2001 .

[58]  Alexandra Pavlova,et al.  Swimming through sand: connectivity of aquatic fauna in deserts , 2015, Ecology and evolution.

[59]  B. Robson,et al.  Anthropogenic refuges for freshwater biodiversity: Their ecological characteristics and management , 2013 .

[60]  Arthur Georges,et al.  Temporal and spatial variation in landscape connectivity for a freshwater turtle in a temporally dynamic wetland system. , 2009, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

[61]  M. Smith,et al.  Dispersal and the metapopulation paradigm in amphibian ecology and conservation : are all amphibian populations metapopulations? , 2005 .

[62]  Raja Sengupta,et al.  The Potential Connectivity of Waterhole Networks and the Effectiveness of a Protected Area under Various Drought Scenarios , 2014, PloS one.

[63]  V. Vredenburg Reversing introduced species effects: Experimental removal of introduced fish leads to rapid recovery of a declining frog. , 2004, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[64]  Albert I. J. M. van Dijk,et al.  A review of historic and future hydrological changes in the Murray-Darling Basin , 2012 .

[65]  S. Jennings,et al.  Human effects on ecological connectivity in aquatic ecosystems: Integrating scientific approaches to support management and mitigation. , 2015, The Science of the total environment.

[66]  Dean L Urban,et al.  A Graph‐Theory Framework for Evaluating Landscape Connectivity and Conservation Planning , 2008, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[67]  M. Tulbure,et al.  Surface water network structure, landscape resistance to movement and flooding vital for maintaining ecological connectivity across Australia’s largest river basin , 2015, Landscape Ecology.

[68]  Angela H. Arthington,et al.  The impacts of drought on freshwater ecosystems: an Australian perspective , 2008, Hydrobiologia.